Ukrainako operazio, inbasio, gatazka, gerla edo dena delakoa, jende ez arruntentzat

Hauxe da benetan etorkizuna aldez aurretik asmatzea.

Gogoratu data hauek:

Will Schryver-en twitterrak: 2022ko urtarrilaren 13an

Errusiaren operazioa Ukrainan: 2022ko otsailaren bukaeran.

Will Schryver@imetatronink

urt. 13

The End of NATO, American Imperial Hegemony, and The Rebirth of A Multipolar World A short? It’s appearing increasingly likely that the Russians are going to remedy the “strategic depth” issue they perceive in eastern Ukraine — and probably much sooner than later. 1/8

Erakutsi haria

As I have noted numerous times in recent months, Ukraine has but two options: accept their role as a buffer state between Russia and NATO, or be dismembered. It would now seem they have eschewed the former, and therefore they will cease to persist as presently constituted. 2/8

11:46 PM · 2022 urt. 13·Twitter Web App

@imetatronink

erabiltzaileari erantzuten

That said, I am convinced Russia has no intention whatsoever to assimilate the entirety of Ukraine. Rather, I expect them to destroy Ukrainian military capabilities, and to annex eastern Ukraine to the Dnieper River, thereby also establishing a land bridge to Crimea. 3/8

Will Schryver@imetatronink

What will be the US/NATO response? Well, I consider it 99.99% certain there will be no military response – none whatsoever. There is no way in hell the Pentagon is going to risk having the myth of US military impregnability exposed in a futile attempt to help Ukraine. 4/8

The US will thump its chest, announce various “severe sanctions” (including excommunicating Russia from SWIFT), and also attempt to impose a blockade of Russian energy exports to Europe. But this will fail, for the simple reason that Germany will not / cannot accede to it. 5/8

The US will command the world to cease exporting to Russia a long list of items. Then a long parade of DC #ThinkTankMonkeys will make the rounds of the MSM news channels confidently guaranteeing the imminent destruction of the Russian economy and the end of the Putin era. 6/8

But most of the world will simply ignore the toothless US edicts. Large portions of SWIFT volume will move to alternative platforms (already in place); trade settlement in USD will decrease dramatically, Nordstream2 will start delivering gas to Germany before next winter … 7/8

US sanctions on Russia will prove utterly impotent; regional trade and currency blocs will rapidly gain market share, and the hard reality of a new era of multipolarity and the effective end of NATO and the once-mighty American empire will become undeniably apparent to all. 8/8

Parekatu twitter horiek azken bolada luze honetan Euskal Herri osoko hainbat txoriburu kaskarin eta astakilok etengabe idatzi dutenekin.

Lotsagarria, ezta?

Baina segitzen dute beren ezjakintasun sakonean.

Zertxobait jakin nahi baduzu, hemen duzu bi bide zehatz:

a) Ekonomian, ikasi MMT, Moneta Teoria Modernoa, bereziki Neil Wilson-en eskutik (https://new-wayland.com/blog/), batez ere Errusia / Ukraina arteko gatazkari dagozkionak1.

b) Politikan, irakurri UEUko blog honetan, gure sarreretan, azken otsailetik aurrera, Alfred de Zayas-en artikulu eta twitter zenbait2.


2 From 2012 until April 2018, de Zayas was the United Nations (UN) Independent Expert on the Promotion of a Democratic and Equitable International Order (also known as Special Rapporteur), appointed by the United Nations (UN) Human Rights Council.

Utzi erantzuna

Zure e-posta helbidea ez da argitaratuko. Beharrezko eremuak * markatuta daude