Neoliberalismoa, bukaera? (Thomas Fazi)

Episode 112 – Neoliberalism: The Denouement with Thomas Fazi

(https://realprogressives.org/podcast_episode/episode-112-neoliberalism-the-denouement-with-thomas-fazi/#fwdmspPlayer0?catid=0&trackid=0)

At the start of the pandemic, Thomas Fazi wrote an article entitled “Could Covid-19 Vanquish Neoliberalism?”  It was in response to the optimistic analysis, especially coming from the left who saw in the state’s reaction a deep crisis of neoliberalism. 

In fact, some were predicting the death of neoliberalism and the rise of a new regime, one characterized by greater state intervention and greater state regulation of markets, more active fiscal policies and greater attention to the needs of societies, mostly brought on by the emergency, not due to sudden change of heart on behalf of elites…

In this episode, Fazi explains that neoliberalism is often misconstrued as a political strategy of curtailing the state and empowering the market, but in reality, neoliberalism has been and continues to be characterized by an extremely active state intervention in the economy.  He asserts that neoliberalism isn’t about getting rid of the state, it’s about elites – and especially big capital – taking control and using the state to favor its own interests, where the needs of society are subordinated to the functioning of the market. The most obvious examples are the privatized energy and water systems.  

Part of the façade of neoliberalism is convincing the people that the state doesn’t have any power, because what better way to stop people from demanding their basic necessities – like healthcare, jobs, and housing – than convincing them that these aren’t things that aren’t technically achievable. 

The pandemic has proven, among other things, that the argument in favor of the euro, and the European Union in general, is without merit. There was supposed to be strength in numbers when in practice we’ve seen smaller countries like the UK handle the pandemic much more efficiently than the hulking bureaucracy of the EU.

After loosening the purse strings, most countries are now reverting to type.

Our leaders continue to say, yeah, well, but we can’t spend too much to save people’s lives because Italy has a very big public debt. So the European Union has told us that we have to go easy on spending. And so that’s really the situation we’re in. And again, this crisis has really proven to an even greater degree, just how tragic it is for a country, especially an advanced country such as Italy – that would have huge scope for maneuver if it had its own currency – just how tragic it is for a country to renounce its monetary sovereignty.

Steve asks Fazi to speak about the so-called “great reset,” the latest boogeyman lurking under our beds. Rather than entertain the more outrageous predictions, he talks about crisis capitalism. Anyone who has read “The Shock Doctrine” by Naomi Klein, knows it is not a paranoid fantasy. In Italy, the vast number of small restaurants that suffered from the pandemic and are now in danger of being gobbled up by huge corporate firms. Neoliberalism, business as usual.

Thomas Fazi is a journalist, writer, and translator. He’s co-director of Standing Army, an award-winning feature-length documentary on US military bases featuring Gore Vidal and Noam Chomsky, and author of The Battle for Europe: How an Elite Hijacked a Continent – and How We Can Take It Back. His latest book, Reclaiming the State: A Progressive Vision of Sovereignty for a Post-Neoliberal World, is co-authored with Bill Mitchell. 

@battleforeurope

https://thomasfazi.net/

https://unherd.com/2020/04/could-covid-19-vanquish-neoliberalism/

Entzun hemen:

https://soundcloud.com/user-929708315/thomas-fazi-ep-112-final?ref=twitter&p=a&c=0&utm_campaign=social_sharing&utm_medium=post&utm_source=twitte

Transkribaketa

[00:00:04.000] – Thomas Fazi [intro/music]

This is really the tragedy of our era. So on one hand, you have the neoliberals peddling this narrative, which they know to be false, and on the other hand, you have the leftists, which to a large degree have actually bought into that narrative and actually believe it. And that’s why I’ve fallen out with a large part of the so-called progressive crowd, especially here in Europe.

[00:00:26.430] – Thomas Fazi [intro/music]

A single country that has implemented the biggest fiscal stimulus in response to the pandemic has been New Zealand. Little old New Zealand, with its tiny currency, has in fact been able to implement a huge fiscal stimulus with no adverse consequences whatsoever.

[00:01:35.230] – Geoff Ginter [intro/music]

Now, let’s see if we can avoid the apocalypse altogether. Here’s another episode of Macro N Cheese with your host, Steve Grumbine.

[00:01:43.060] – Steve Grumbine

Yes, this is Steve with Macro N Cheese. We have Thomas Fazi joining us. Thomas Fazi is a journalist and an author, and he has worked extensively with MMT royalty OG Bill Mitchell. And I’m very excited to talk to him because last year, around the April time frame, Thomas wrote a really powerful article in a publication called UnHerd. You can find it on UnHerd.com, and it’s called Could Covid-19 Vanquish Neoliberalism1.

Now, this article made a lot of claims early in the pandemic, claims that I support, by the way. And we want to test the veracity of some of those claims here in 2021, as we’ve experienced about a year of pandemic living and the impacts of those. But one of the big things is Thomas is in Italy. And as a result of that, he has an EU perspective. He understands the European impacts of the Covid-19 virus as well.

And so I wanted to bring him on and also tie in not only the look back, but to look ahead and understand the great reset that is frequently talked about as a result of neoliberalism ending and moving on into a kind of a different world, whether you support the Great Reset or never heard of it or you’ve heard of it, but you heard about it in the wrong way. We’re going to try and touch on that as well. So without further ado, let me introduce my guest. Thomas Fazi, welcome to the show, sir.

[00:03:17.950] – Thomas Fazi

Hi, guys. It’s a pleasure to be back.

[00:03:20.590] – Grumbine

Thank you so much. So in this article, you really took a pretty thorough exam of the pandemic and how it – I love the word shibboleth. You basically attacked all these strongholds that neoliberalism trots out as the disinformation that they sell you on. And you took each one of these head-on. And I’m just curious, going back then, what was your impetus then to write this? What were some of the indicators that made you write this article?

[00:03:52.150] – Fazi

I guess it was a response to a lot of optimistic analysis that I was reading early on in the pandemic, especially coming from the left, whereby a lot of people reading the government’s reaction, the state’s reaction to a pandemic was that we were witnessing a deep crisis of neoliberalism.

In fact, some were predicting the death of neoliberalism and the rise of a new regime, one characterized by greater state intervention and greater state regulation of markets, more active fiscal policies and greater attention to the needs of societies, mostly brought on by the emergency, not due to sudden change of heart on behalf of elites, but nonetheless, a lot of people saw this sort of fact that elites were forced in a way to resort to these extraordinary measures as a sign that neoliberalism was coming to an end.

And I wasn’t as optimistic as these analyses. And what I say in the article is that these factors in and of themselves, the greatest intervention that we’ve seen, the massive use of fiscal levers and so on, doesn’t in itself mean that neoliberalism was dying or is dead today. And that’s because my understanding of neoliberalism is not the one that is usually given.

Neoliberalism is often seen as a theory and a political strategy aimed at curtailing the state and empowering the market. And essentially often seen as a small government ideology whereby all that neoliberalism wants to do is get rid of the state and let the market reign free. But that’s really not what neoliberalism is about.

I mean, if we look at the track record of neoliberalism, you see that neoliberalism has been and continues to be characterized by, in fact, quite an active state intervention in the economy. And that’s perfectly understandable because regardless of what neoliberal theorists and free market theorists might say, the truth is that markets aren’t able to regulate themselves, aren’t able to self-regulate.

They really aren’t able to function without constant state intervention aimed at creating the conditions for a market-based logic to function efficiently, but that doesn’t happen by itself. This requires governments constantly intervening in the economy in order to police workers, for example, to open up new markets, including through military means to privatize what may be previously state-owned public assets and so on.

And so these are all things that require very heavy-handed state intervention. So neoliberalism isn’t really about getting rid of the state. It’s about elites and especially big capital, taking control of the state, harnessing the state, and using the state to favor its own interests, to favor the interests of the top pyramid in society. And that’s basically what we’ve witnessed over the past 30 years, over the path of liberalism.

So if you look at neoliberalism this way, then everything that we’ve seen during a pandemic isn’t necessarily at odds with neoliberalism. And what we’re seeing, I would say, is kind of a different version of what we saw in the aftermath of the 2008 financial crisis, where, yes, we saw states  intervening massively in the economy, most notably to bail out banks, but more in general a bailout of the economy.

And even back then, a lot of people saw this as a resurgence of Keynesianism when, in fact, what we were witnessing was pure neoliberalism, when a state was used to essentially socialize losses after profits have been privatized for so long and to essentially recreate the conditions for accumulation or privatization. And I think 10 years on, we can clearly say that the financial crisis of 2008 did not signal the death of neoliberalism, in fact, as a lot of people predicted even at the time.

But in fact, it signaled and really paved the way to, I would say, an even harsher, fiercer version of neoliberalism, especially in Europe, but not only. And so I’m not  saying this is exactly how it’s going to play out this time around, but the point I was trying to make in the article was basically a warning to say, look, what we’re seeing could just be that elites realize that they have to temporarily use the levers of the state to essentially guarantee the survival of the system.

But this in and of itself doesn’t represent necessarily a change in the balance of power between classes or a change in the distributional statu quo and so on. And we could simply be witnessing elites doing whatever it takes, to quote Mario Draghi, in order to stave off more radical alternatives that may emerge as a result of the crisis with the clear intention, though, to keep the balance of power in society completely unchanged and with the intention of reverting as soon as possible to a situation where the powers that be essentially remain in power and that position isn’t challenged.

And I think a year on, I think we can say that I was onto something because we can clearly see – we’re seeing a comeback, for example, of austerity-based narratives, especially in Europe. We keep hearing in Europe – probably a bit different than in the US, it’s a very different context – but in the European context, we’re hearing a lot of talk, which basically amounts to, OK, yes, we have to resort to extraordinary measures to fight the pandemic, but sooner or later and sooner rather than later, ideally, we’re going to have to go back to “normal,” quote-unquote.

And so I think this is really the challenge we have ahead. Of course, what we’ve seen does create an opportunity in a sense that, of course, the fact that all these neoliberal shibboleths have fallen and are falling does, of course, make it harder for elites to just go back to the way things were because certain lies and fallacies in the neoliberal narrative have been exposed to such an extent that we can see that the crisis of that narrative to try to push for a more progressive agenda. But it’s not something that’s going to be handed down to us. That was the basic point of my article.

[00:10:27.040] – Grumbine

As I read through this, first of all, I loved it when it came out and I still love it. It still holds up.

[00:10:32.830] – Fazi

Thanks, man.

[00:10:33.400] – Grumbine

And one of the big things that I want to start out with because it is the wellspring from where all the other nonsense comes from, the nature of sovereign currencies in nation-states, and the ability for these nation-states to meet the needs of the people without the austerity narratives that you mentioned. This has blown the lid off that.

If people haven’t figured that out by now, they’ve been sleeping or their head’s been in the sand. Take a shot momentarily at describing the lie, the shibboleth of the currency, and the austerity narrative just at the idea that we can’t take care of people, the insolvency lie.

[00:11:11.110] – Fazi

Sure. Well, I think above that we have an even greater lie which is the notion that we’ve been fed for decades, that states have become essentially powerless, that even if it might be desirable to have greater state intervention, greater regulation of markets, that’s simply not technically possible because of globalization and because we have this hyper internationalization of finance and because banks have become so powerful that it’s simply utopian to even think that states can stand up to finance.

And so we’ve been hearing this for ages. And, of course, some of us have been saying for quite some time that was a complete lie. As I was saying earlier, states haven’t been rendered powerless. To a large extent, they have wittingly and deliberately ceded power to international and supranational institutions with the aim of essentially severing the tie between macroeconomic policies and democratic decision-making processes.

[00:12:15.840] – Grumbine

In the United States, what you’ve just said, I want to state clearly we had a guy named Jimmy Dore who tried to get progressives to hold the new progressives in Congress to account to vote for Medicare for All. And the idea was they don’t have enough power, there’s not enough of them. They’re too young, they’re too small. They can’t do anything.

And so there was a paternalistic approach to shouting down activists who were agitating, who were advancing this idea that, yes, you can do things, but in light of what you just said, all I can think of is look at all these apologists trying to make it out that the state doesn’t have the power to take care of the people.

[00:12:58.979] – Fazi

Sure.

[00:13:00.170] – Grumbine

It’s just too great a lift. It’s impossible. And this is coming from people who are fellow travelers. This isn’t the powers that be doing it. This is the level of indoctrination and propaganda that they’ve ingested, that the state just simply isn’t strong, that it can’t do these things. And it’s very troubling because every time somebody steps up and tries to make a demand of these individuals, there’s another paternalist shouting down and scolding them for being divisive.

The idea of holding them to account to actually serve the people is treated like we’re being divisive. When what you’re telling me is that the state has plenty of power, they’re choosing to cede it to big business. They’re choosing to cede it to Wall Street and banking, not to the people.

And I think it’s in that moment of clarity that I think everybody needs to just take a step back and say, wow, I just wanted to clear that up, because in the United States, there is a huge contingent of fellow travelers that will tell progressives and activists to shut up, sit down, eat your peas, accept the fact that they’re just not strong enough and stop pushing for better. That’s scary, is it not?

[00:14:10.100] – Fazi

Yeah, absolutely. And it doesn’t surprise me at all. I think one of the paradoxes of our age is that I would say that, by and large, right-wing conservatives, call them how you want for lack of a better term, because what do these names mean anymore? But let’s say right-wing commentators and politicians, I would say, have a pretty clear understanding of how the system actually works and of the power that states and governments actually have.

But they had all this narrative that the state doesn’t have any power because this is functional to their aims. This is a way of disempowering demands for radical social change. And so in a way they’re pretending I would say to a large degree. A lot of them, I think, know perfectly well how the system works, but they see it as very much in their interests for the people to believe that the state doesn’t have any power.

Because what better way to stop people from demanding what is their God-given right – right to healthcare, right to a decent job, a right to a roof over their heads – than convincing people that these aren’t things that are not desirable, these are not things that are technically achievable. This has been really the great achievement of neoliberalism.

I mean, if we look at the great part of the postwar period, so-called Keynesian era, and even before that, what we saw was very much an ideological battle between different visions of society. You have the left on one side which argued for policies that were in the interest of workers, then you had the conservatives that would argue for policies that were in the interest of businesses and capital. And this was a battle of ideas.

No one came forward and said, no, what you are asking for is not technically achievable. So with the battle over what was the best way of organizing society and instead that whole debate was killed off by – basically it’s genius, in a way, the sleight of hand that neoliberals were able to achieve, which was to convince people that we’re not even going to debate whether what you’re proposing is desirable or not. We’re simply going to say it’s not technically achievable.

And so there’s not even any need to debate whether, yeah, I might even agree with you that that’s something that would be desirable but unfortunately it can’t be done. And that’s been a very powerful narrative in really disempowering demands for radical social change. On the other hand, on the left, what I see is a lot of people actually believe this narrative. This is really the tragedy of our era.

So on one hand, you have the neoliberals peddling this narrative, which they know to be false. And on the other hand, you have the leftists, which to a large degree have actually bought into that narrative and actually believe it. And that’s why I’ve fallen out with a large part of the so-called progressive crowd, especially here in Europe.

And this next, to your initial question, because the situation is even more extreme here in Europe, where you have leftists that have completely bought the argument that national states have no more power to the point that they had no choice but to cede currency sovereignty to the European Union. This was the only way you’ve got a leftist twist on European integration, which is, yes, we need to pool our sovereignty together.

And that’s going to make us more powerful. And that’s where we’re going to be able to stand up to big capital much more efficiently. So we’ve been hearing this argument for decades and we still hear it. Most leftists in Europe continue to support the European Union and even more tragically, the single currency, even though – and this is another one of the shibboleths that has really fallen – even though the pandemic has clearly demonstrated A – that this notion that if you’re bigger, you’re somehow stronger, that the European Union has completely botched the vaccination procurement and distribution program.

And in fact, the most paradoxical aspect of all this is that after years of hearing of the absolute tragedy that would have befallen the UK following its exit from the European Union, and funnily enough, you know, there was talk of shops not being able to have aspirins on the shelves, you know, and we’re going to have food shortages and it’s going to be absolute chaos.

And instead, what we see a year into that, a few months after the vaccines have started to be rolled out, is that the UK has vaccinated huge proportion of the population, while the European Union has been completely paved over by big pharmaceutical companies. And in fact, it’s really straddling behind practically every other advanced country in the world in terms of rolling out the vaccination program.

Again, if any of this was true, one thing you’ve taken away our currency sovereignty. You’ve taken away our democracies to a large degree. You’ve concentrated power at the helm of this hugely powerful supranational organization. If anything, that should help to organize something like a continent-wide vaccination program, getting vaccines to countries, striking better deals with the pharmaceutical companies than individual states would be able to do.

If there was any truth to that narrative, we should have at least seen this. And instead, what we saw, this massive bureaucratic monster, in fact, has been a huge obstacle to the efficient rolling out of vaccination programs to the extent that poor little-old UK which was supposed to be completely devastated by Brexit, is in fact very much better in terms of the vaccination program, but also economically than a number of European Union countries and especially euro countries.

And again, yes, the question of the absolute importance of currency sovereignty has been another thing that has been completely exposed by this crisis. Now we hear a lot of talk of the fact that, oh, the European Union has completely changed. Yeah, we’ve seen the ECB is engaged in a huge bond buying program. The European Union’s infamous fiscal rules have been suspended.

And therefore, you know, governments can now spend as much as they want. And so some have even argued that now you could say that European countries enjoy monetary sovereignty thanks to the pandemic. And there have also been some MMT exponents here in Europe that have argued for this. But that’s, of course, not at all true.

And in fact, if I was to look at the difference in the level of the fiscal stimulus that we’ve seen in advanced countries that have currency sovereignty compared to the fiscal stimulus of your other countries, and it’s just incomparable. I mean, if you look most advanced countries have monetary sovereignty, have basically engaged in fiscal stimuli in the order of 15, 20 percent of GDP.

And this is not just the United States, which is often said to be a special nation by virtue of its incredibly powerful currency. This goes for advanced nations, small, medium and big. And in fact, the single country that has implemented the biggest fiscal stimulus in response to the pandemic has been New Zealand2, little old New Zealand, with its own tiny currency, which most people have never even seen or held in their hands, has in fact been able to implement the huge fiscal stimulus with no adverse consequences whatsoever.

And instead, Euro countries such as mine, Italy, which continue to be very heavily constrained by this absolutely diabolical architecture, whereby we continue to basically depend on the pittance of the European Union, on the kindness of the European Central Bank, and where our room for maneuver is essentially decided by the powers that are beyond our control.

We definitely have not regained currency sovereignty as a result of this crisis. The rules have been relaxed, but as I was saying earlier, all the talk is about how can we return to the kind of system of disciplining and punishment that the euro is based on, and that is based on the creation of an artificial scarcity of money. And we’re still in that paradigm.

Our leaders continue to say, yeah, well, but we can’t spend too much to save people’s lives because Italy has a very big public debt. So European Union has told us that we have to go easy on spending. And so that’s really the situation we’re in. And again, this crisis has really just proven to an even greater degree, just how tragic it is for a country – especially an advanced country such as Italy, that would have huge scope for maneuver if it had its own currency – just how tragic it is for a country to renounce its monetary sovereignty.

[00:22:41.230] – Grumbine

Let me tell you something. Within the United States, everybody spent four years. It started before Trump in office. This whole idea of getting rid of Trump and it was ridiculous. Look, Trump was horrible. Let me be crystal clear. There’s nothing about Trump that was good. But the pattern that they did, everything is just going to be OK if you just vote blue no matter who.

And you could almost feel the lack of thinking going on. It was so palpable how not thinking people were and they were making no demands. And then when they did make demands, even as we went through this ridiculous election, Biden promised everyone that he would give everyone $2,000 checks. Then he backed off of that and went down to $1,400. But we were able to find a way to immediately bomb Syria without any flinch whatsoever.

We’ve got Texas, who practically is another country in and of itself because they privatized everything and they just had a climate-driven deep freeze that caused pipes to bust. Electric was out for the entire state because glory of private markets, they’re charging these people $16,000 for their electric bills. It’s ridiculous the price gouging that’s going on.

And then what’s worse is we’ve got these what I call the power advocates, the power progressives, these super activists that are kind of seen as royalty, but they aren’t quite royalty and they’re pushing for state-based Medicare. We got California pushing for it. We got Washington State pushing for it. And they’ve never taken time to understand how the federal government operates.

So once again, they’re taking that neoliberal paradigm. They’re trying to use commercial banks. They’re trying to create public banks by funding them through the rich people to donate to them. They think that they can create a network of these state-based banks to finance a Green New Deal. None of them understand any of what they’re saying. And all of this is based on a currency user model. They don’t even fully understand what’s going on.

When you try and talk to them about it, they blow you off. It’s scary. And then when you do criticize the elected officials and the people that are pushing this stuff, it’s as if you slaughtered someone’s child. They’re so mortified and upset at you. It’s ridiculous. And this, my friend, is the great lie that you said that neoliberalism was masterful in presenting to these people.

Outside of California, try and do any of these major state plans in Delaware, in Alabama, or Mississippi, or Maryland. You can’t do it. And so these mega states that are basically countries unto themselves as currency users, though still, still haven’t quite figured out that there’s a reason why there’s FEMA, even for California or Texas, is because if there’s a horrible crisis, a hurricane or a tsunami or anything else, that they’re going to require the federal government to step in.

And the pensions that are state-based are all being dried up. They’re being converted to 401k’s. Privatization is real. They’re still trying to create state-based programs, not understanding the currency issuer or currency user model, and has gotten nuts. Because people are dying right now. And the well-meaning people, right, these people are people that we should be able to talk to and explain how this works.

They won’t even listen. It’s just as bad in the United States. In the second point you bring up, which is where I want to tail into this is the lie about how state and local solutions are somehow better – these public-private partnerships are somehow better than central planning and a federal government. Talk to me about central planning versus the alternative.

[00:26:23.880] – Fazi

Well, in very basic terms, I would say the question is, should the needs of society be subordinated to the needs of the market or should the needs of the market and more generally, of the economy be subordinated to the needs of society? The needs of people? And what neoliberalism has entailed is basically to reengineer and reorganize the society.

And again, this requires a state intervention to create the kind of legal framework for this to happen. But the system we’ve created is one where essentially, yes, the needs of society are dependent, subordinated to the functioning of the market. And the most obvious example, of course, is privatization of provision of energy and water and so on is absolute madness.

And we’re seeing this more and more. But even in more basic terms, just to understand just how deeply ingrained this notion is – this notion of, for example, only the private sector can provide jobs. And so the ability of someone to have a decent, well-paying job is dependent on the ability of private markets and private businesses to provide a job to that person.

And without even realizing it, most people on the left subscribe to this idea of the job market, where essentially jobs, of course, are much more than simply something that you need to pay the rent and to be able to live day to day. But we dedicate most of our time when we have one or two jobs, and so work is our lives. And so what you’re saying is that people’s entire lives and their ability to live fulfilling decent lives is essentially subordinated to the mechanics of private capitalist markets.

Now, that’s completely absurd. It’s basically like saying that human beings are a commodity like steel or oil. But a different way of organizing society, organizing our lives is one whereby the economy is there, and the market is there to serve the needs of people. But this can only happen if there’s an institution, if there’s an actor which regulates the state, which sets the rules, which says there are some things that cannot be left to the market.

There are basic social-economic rights that cannot be left to the market, and that requires the state not just setting the rules, but requires it to actually provide what people needed for the state to provide what the market isn’t able to provide. And that could be jobs, but it can also be the necessary investment and research that is needed, for example, to transition to a more sustainable economy.

That’s something that markets are never going to do by themselves. And we’re talking about literally the survival of life on earth. And even in the face of this massive, unprecedented crisis that we face as a human species, we’re not able to see the obvious, and that is that these changes the only actor, actors – because, of course, it’s not something that can be done through a centralized global authority, can only be done by individual nation states – the only actors that can do that are states and governments.

These are the only actors that are able to function according to a logic that is not that of profitmaking. So we’re talking of reorganizing a system where basically as communities, as societies, we decide collectively what kind of society we want to live in. And then we use the state to get us there. The system we’re living in now, if you think about it, it’s completely anarchic, where we have to hope that enough private companies realize that investing in green energy, just to give an example, is in their own interest and so our survival hinges on the decisions of private companies.

That’s absolute madness. Now, I mean, I can only imagine how a more evolved society will look back at the system and what it will think of it. We’re condemning ourselves to the brink of extinction by essentially betting our future on the decision of private profit-making entities, i.e. businesses. So all this requires the terrible thing that is central government planning.

Now, this means that the state and ideally, through the state, the people, decide where we want to be as a society in five, 10, 15 years, and we take the necessary steps to get there. Now, this doesn’t mean complete collectivization, this doesn’t mean the Soviet Union. Now, this is a system that allows for private enterprise to exist, indeed to flourish. Private markets can play a very important role in coming up with great gadgets and services that we use and that we love.

The point is, at the same time, this has to happen within a wider framework. What a state establishes, OK, this is where we want to be in 10 years in macro terms, as a society. Now, within that system, and so long as the profit-making needs of companies don’t infringe on the social and economic rights of society, private companies can flourish.

[00:31:47.970] – Intermission

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[00:32:37.130] – Grumbine

Let me ask you a question on that real quick. This is important. With intellectual property being a very key legal arrangement, not just in nation-states, but global IP, you’re saying as long as private property, private markets do not infringe upon the welfare or the well-being of the people. But what we’re seeing today is that IP is being used as a weapon against the people. It’s creating food shortages. It’s doing all kinds of things, throwing food away rather than giving it away. What are your thoughts on that?

[00:33:10.010] – Fazi

Well, this harks back to what I was saying earlier. So there are certain things in society that cannot be left to the market, and that includes the provision of jobs, the provision of life-saving medicines, the provision of social media networks where we basically spend most of our lives nowadays, the provision of access to energy, access to water.

There are certain things that simply cannot be left to the market. A lot of these are what we call natural monopolies, where you can’t even have a well functioning, competition-based system. So you can’t even justify the privatization of those assets based on purely capitalist logic. I mean, that is literally the private appropriation of public capital.

This, of course, doesn’t mean that you can’t have other domains where companies can keep their intellectual property rights. If someone has invented a really cool shoe, then I don’t see any reason why, you know, that company shouldn’t be able to exert its intellectual property rights over that great shoe design that they’ve come up with, which everyone wants.

Companies should have an incentive to come out with great shoes. That makes the world a much more stylish place. And I’m all for that. But at the same time, they shouldn’t be able to exercise that right over what we could call public goods. So this is the essential distinction. But at this point, it’s not even become a question again of the kind of system we would prefer to see.

It’s really become, again, a question of survival in general terms. But even what I think is most paradoxical about this whole situation is that we keep hearing that the West is engaged in this struggle and global competition with China, for example, and other rising Asian nations. And we don’t realize that it’s going to be absolutely impossible to compete with China, assuming that that’s an end that one should aim for.

And I’m not saying it is, but even taking mainstream logic, i.e., the notion that we have to compete with these rising powers, then we’re destined to lose. A system where a largely centrally planned economy like China, we don’t stand a chance as an economic system, I think, against that kind of centralized economic planning. So, again, you know, it would be, even if you’re an imperialist that thinks that the West has to win at least the economic war with China, then it makes no sense to continue to hold onto these failed models.

On the one hand, you have a system that is able to plan long term, that is able to direct resources where they’re needed to better form the development of the economy. And on the other hand, you have a system where private companies have become so powerful that to some extent we’re allowing these companies to dictate public policy.

And you can see how that’s not a system that can come out victorious in a struggle between these two systems. And so the point is not, OK, we’ll adopt the Chinese one-party system. But the point is recognizing that kind of level of centralized planning is more and more going to become a measure of a nation’s success, even purely in economic terms basically.

[00:36:22.920] – Grumbine

Your third thing, the item here about who enjoys the benefits, I think I want to take a crack at part of this, right. It seems like a lot of public space was created before neoliberalism ran out of fuel, before capital started having to eat itself. And there was a lot of really nice programs you can see around the world, especially Europe and Australia and New Zealand and Canada.

Everyone seems to have, you know, health care for their people. And the U.S. is busy exporting its neoliberalism around the world. You said something a little while ago that really shocked me in a good way or bad way, I don’t know. But it caught my attention. And that is you said it’s kind of anarchist the way this is happening. In other words, there are no state boundaries for these corporations.

These corporations are acting without any kind of boundaries. They have, in essence, created a stateless globe that they just treat as their own playground. And when they look at a place that they’d like to do business and they see that that is a public service, instantly they begin attacking that public service so that they can, in turn, privatize it and earn a buck off of it. Is that a fair statement?

[00:37:34.570] – Fazi

Well, again, shouldn’t exaggerate just how much these companies have – and I’m partially contradicting what I said earlier. Of course, these companies are incredibly powerful. That’s obvious. But it would be a mistake to think that they’re so powerful as to have transcended states and governments. In fact, I would say that is not really the case.

All these companies require being protected and having a sort of legal system, for example, concerning intellectual property rights that allowed them to survive in their home nations. But even when they go looking for profit opportunities abroad, again, their ability to make profit depends on nation states opening up their borders to these companies and allowing these companies to do whatever the hell they want to do.

And of course, that’s partially because having private capital become so powerful, it has essentially captured entire governments. That’s one of the big problems that we face is that not that states themselves and governments don’t have the power to regulate these companies or even to break them up if they want to do. We’ve done it before, we could do it again and we should do it again in the case of a number of these companies.

The question is, when you allow these companies, these private entities to become so powerful, then, of course, they tend to capture the political system, especially in so-called liberal democracies such as ours, where you can get a huge influence, even in terms of public debate by buying off the mass media, engaging in massive donations and collusion with officials and so on. And so that’s the real challenge that we face.

How do we push back through democratic institutions? How do we push back the power of these companies? How do we essentially reduce the strong hold they have over states and governments? And more in general, over our democratic systems, and you think that’s the real challenge. A lot of it really boils down to corruption. You don’t have to resort to crazy conspiracies to explain how they do this.

I mean, when you have basically endless amounts of cash that you can spend, which a lot of these companies have, it’s quite easy to practically buyout everyone, including the most honest politician in the world. And of course, we know that if need be, they can even go beyond that, especially in poor Third World countries. If money doesn’t buy influence, then they don’t think twice about pulling out the guns. But in the West, that’s quite rare. So all they have to do is basically open their wallet.

[00:40:14.310] – Grumbine

You bring up a great point. We have another podcast that’s a sister to this called The New Untouchables: The Pecora Files, and it’s all about how Wall Street and the Fed backstop a criminal enterprise, which really is the way they did the housing market here in the United States. But this is a larger problem, right? This is bigger than just the United States.

This is happening around the world. And this business model that we’re talking about, it is how, in fact, they capture governments. It is how they capture institutions such as the Fed and other central banks. And as long as they can backstop their losses and let us drown in it, the power never shifts. I find it interesting that your point about it’s not some grand conspiracy. True.

But by de facto, you said earlier that one of the greatest victories or genius, if you will, of neoliberalism is how it made the state look feckless and how it made corporations look omniscient and the state just simply can’t do anything about it. So whether it be real or whether it simply be the story we tell our kids at night before they go to bed, it doesn’t really matter.

It is by default, whether it be something we can easily change if we just got our states to act like they had power again, it is what it is. They are controlling these things. They have captured them. And that’s exactly why you see neoliberalism so ingrained around the globe. Everything is run with a neoliberal paradigm.

[00:41:42.870] – Fazi

No, absolutely. It really is in a way, a totalitarian system. It’s a form of extreme, I would say, neocorporatism that isn’t really that with all due differences, there are some fundamental similarities with the fascist systems that we saw in Europe in the 20th century. I mean, what was fascism if not a fusion of big capital and state?

And thus, to a large degree, what we have nowadays as really is, I would say, a modern form of economic fascism with in some cases it might have a smiley face. You might have Black Lives Matter stickers on bombs falling on Syria. I actually saw that on a picture and it seemed real.  But yes, this is a situation we’re in.

Again, what we’re talking about, what we say about what states and governments can do, we’re talking in theoretical terms. Yes, and we’re absolutely right. Question is, how do you take back power? How do you take back public and state and government institutions? Or how do you wrestle power away from these huge powers? And that’s a trick question.

I think what we do on a constant basis, trying to educate people is absolutely very important. Again, it can be easy to fall into a defeatist attitude when we talk about things in the terms that we’re using. What’s the point of trying to fight against these massive powers? But in fact, we shouldn’t ignore the fact that we have achieved a lot, even just if we look at the achievements of MMT. I think we’ve made huge strides forward, even just compared to a few years ago. And we shouldn’t ignore

[00:43:17.860] – Grumbine

Indeed

[00:43:18.460] – Fazi

How important that is. On a number of issues, public opinion is turning. And if we look at just the growth of the awareness of MMT, it’s happened, I wouldn’t say overnight, but almost, of course, it’s the result of the work of years. But it’s interesting how at some point we reach a tipping point where all the right pieces just seem to come together and you have this explosion of awareness.

I think that’s what we’ve seen with MMT over the course of a few years. And so I think we have reasons to be optimistic, but we also have reasons to be worried about, because what we’re witnessing is, in a way, a new revolt of the elites. I would say to quote a great book from a few years back whereby what was termed kind of the populist uprising that happened around 2016, 2017.

So you had Trump, you had Brexit, you had a number of new, more or less radical parties emerging across Europe. Now, a lot of that has been, in a way, pushed back. And I would say there’s many reasons for that. But that’s because, one of the reasons that there wasn’t a clearer understanding of how the system works, and that’s why I think the work we’re doing here is so important, not enough to get into power. You’ve got to get into power and know how the system works

[00:44:36.400] – Grumbine

And maintain it

[00:44:37.930] – Fazi

to get power you’ll truly have. And what you were saying earlier is that if these well-intentioned progressives were even able to get into government, to get in power, would they know what to do with it or would they continue operating based on a completely flawed idea of how the system works?

[00:44:54.230] – Grumbine

The last thing that I want to tell you, and that was spot on, that was a great way to enter into this next part. Your final thing was regarding the global supply chain, which clearly demonstrated all the weaknesses in that system as we shut down the world through the pandemic. And you see semiconductors being completely on back order, things that are required to keep dams going and security systems blowing, and there’s just not enough of them.

[00:45:19.910] – Fazi

True.

[00:45:19.910] – Grumbine

And you saw the shelves completely empty in a lot of stores. Now we’ve seen some of that come back, but still a lot of shortages in many key things. Discuss the global supply chain. But then I want you to talk a little bit about this concept of the “great reset.”

[00:45:35.870] – Fazi

Well, global supply chains really offer another example of just how flawed the neoliberal narrative is. We’ve been told that the more integrated the global markets are, the more integrated countries are, the stronger, more efficient we are. And in fact, what we saw was that by having these incredibly long supply chains that go all across the world through dozens of countries, you create a system where, as you’re saying, all it takes is for one link in that chain to come undone, for the whole system to come apart.

This isn’t a system that makes any country stronger. It made corporations hugely rich for a very long time, but didn’t make our societies stronger or better protected in any way. And I think we’re seeing an awareness of this even in elite circles. I think what we are witnessing in some respects and what we’re going to witness more and more in coming years is definitely a re-localization, if not re-nationalization, definitely re-regionalization of supply chains.

So supply chains are going to be brought closer to home by all major economies. And, I think what we’re going to see is the emergence of competing blocs of supply chain regions. So China is going to have its own largely self-sufficient supply chain and the United States is increasingly going to build its own, I would say, regional supply chain and so on. And a lot of that is already happening, especially with regards to really sensitive goods.

You know, you mentioned conductors, the semiconductors a lot of which have civil and military applications – a lot of production of a lot of these things is going to be, I think, slowly brought back home. And Biden has been very explicit about this. And that’s another funny thing – you mentioned progressives vis à vis Trump.

A lot of the criticism was addressed at Trump’s alleged protectionism and refusal to embrace the rules of global free trade. But if you look at Biden’s economic agenda, it’s almost even more protectionist than Trump’s one was. It’s all about “make American, buy American,” prioritize American companies when it comes to procurement.

These are secular, so to speak, dynamics which transcend individual politicians and individual governments. And I think, yes, this is the direction we’re going in. And I would say, in general terms, it’s a good thing, even purely in environmental terms. I would say that the strongest case for producing at home, whatever you can produce at home, is an environmental case.

It makes absolutely no sense to have products that you can build at home be shipped from the other side of the world, which just makes absolutely no sense, first and foremost in environmental terms. And so I think there’s an environmental need also to reduce the volume and the intensity of global trade. There’s, of course, a positive side to global trade.

There are things that are essential resources some countries don’t have, and they have to be able to access those through global markets. But so much of the stuff that gets shipped around is just a way for companies to make a greater profit by basically engaging in labor cost competition. That’s really all it boils down to. And there’s really no justification for that.

[00:49:00.510] – Grumbine

Very interesting, I guess the next question here is a lot of people are talking about this “great reset” and a lot of people are afraid of it. It sounds scary. There’s a lot of right wing talking points associated with this. Based on our conversation offline, it sounds like maybe that wasn’t really based off of the book or based off of the literature and documents. It was sort of based off of people painting conspiracy theory, misrepresenting what it stood for, maybe shading it a little differently. Can you explain the great reset and what it’s all about?

[00:49:36.440] – Fazi

This is a very tricky, tricky argument. Yes, you have these conspiracy theories which basically argued a pandemic – whether the virus was artificially created or not, subscribers to this theory believe at the very least, a pandemic is being used to reengineer societies and create hyper-totalitarian societies where we’re all going to be controlled as we go about our daily lives and how vaccine passports and so on are part of this project of controlling people.

And you’ve got infinite variations of those theories, some are wackier than others. But I’ve often been accused of being a conspiracy theorist, for example, just for criticizing the European Union. So I don’t dismiss conspiracy theories up front. I think they can often be a kernel or more than a kernel of truth in a lot of these theories.

I think before we move on to the great reset itself, I think it’s not outrageous to think that governments would use an emergency-like situation such as the one that we’re all living to promote their interests, to stay in power, to strengthen their power, to weaken democracies, to resort to more repressive methods when it comes, for example, to managing public security or big demonstrations or whatever.

I mean, I think all this, I think, is quite straightforward. I think we’ve seen a lot of cases where you just look at how convenient it has been, for example, for a government like the French one that has been rattled by huge antigovernment demonstrations for years now with the French president Emmanuel Macron enjoying the polling at record low levels.

How convenient it’s been, for example, for the French government to basically shut down all these protests by appealing to the need to keep the virus at bay. So this is a case where clearly the situation has gone to the benefit of that government, maybe without that government itself actually doing anything, but that just goes to show that there’s nothing particularly radical or outrageous in saying that whoever’s in power can welcome emergency-like situations to strengthen or solidify its power. I don’t think there’s anything particularly crazy about that. It’s always happened throughout history, and I don’t see why this should be different.

[00:52:00.000] – Grumbine

Rahm Emanuel, who is a neoliberal pitbull out of Chicago. This guy had the quote of the century, which plays right into this. He said, “Never let a good crisis go to waste.”

[00:52:11.550] – Fazi

Well, look. One of the darlings of the progressive left, Naomi Klein, has written a whole darn book called The Shock Doctrine, that she literally lists a very long list of examples where governments have used emergency-like situations. She mentions natural disasters and so on and so forth, and how governments exploit these situations to forward, sometimes nefarious ends.

So people that have been glorifying Naomi Klein for years have been reading these books, have been publicizing these books, have been raging at what they call shock doctrine capitalism for years now are at the forefront of shutting down any possible debate over the fact that governments might be tempted in some way or manner to use this crisis to strengthen their power, their strong hold over government, or to forward whatever means they had in mind.

Again, you know, it’s the idiosyncrasies and paradoxes of the left. The great reset itself, yes. I’m not so much of an expert. I know what some of the popular theories are. I would mentioned some of them earlier. Honestly, I mean, what I find unconvincing about these theories where they claim that governments want to introduce these totalitarian systems of control, is that I don’t think the governments were so out of control to start with.

We were coming from a 1970s like situation where societies were being literally rocked by civil conflicts and uprisings and political struggles. Alas, our societies are relatively pacified, especially compared to past times, even relatively recent decades. And so to think that they would have to go to such great lengths just to control people even more considering that we’re already very tightly controlled as it is, I don’t totally buy that.

It’s enough to look at official documents. So, for example, we’ve now got Mario Draghi, the saviour of the euro, at the helm of government. And the last document that he signed off as co-president of the G30, which is a think tank of the financial lobby, I would say. The last document that he put a signature to, which came out in December by the G30, essentially argued for the need for extreme measures of creative destruction, which harks back, of course, to Schumpeter’s definition of creative destruction.

But what they see as creative destruction is that, okay, this is an opportunity to get rid of what they call unproductive capital and to redirect resources towards more efficient production processes and so on. So they explicitly talk about the need or the opportunity this crisis offers for restructuring capitalism. Again, nothing particularly conspiratorial about that.

We know that throughout history, capital has always sought to restructure itself. We’ve had endless restructurings of capital. And if you look at a country like Italy, for example, we have a situation where you have in the restaurant sector and the service sector a very molecular kind of capitalism where capital is spread across hundreds of thousands of small, in many cases family run businesses.

Which is why, for example, Italy has a wealth inequality which is very low compared to other countries such as the United States, where capital is hugely concentrated. Italy has a situation where capital is still quite widely dispersed. And so when you hear Draghi in his first statement to parliament saying – which harks straight back to that G30 document I mentioned where he didn’t speak of creative destruction, but he does say we’re going to have to let go of some companies because some of these companies simply aren’t going to be able to make it in this new brave new world that’s emerging as a result of the pandemic.

It’s not completely crazy to think that there could be a very powerful interest, for example, that see, say, the restaurant sector as a huge business. Italians love to eat out. So you can imagine I mean, that’s a sector, an industry that’s worth billions of euros. But that money is now very evenly dispersed across hundreds of thousands of companies.

And I can see why some very powerful food businesses, for example, catering services or service sector companies, would want to get into that business and concentrate that capital in their hands. And letting hundreds of thousands of small and medium restaurants die is the ideal way to do that. So is that part of a Great Reset? Yes, in a way it is.

It doesn’t have to do with microchips being implanted into our bodies, but we are talking quite a radical form of capitalist restructuring that the pandemic has favored. And just to close, I’ve read the actual book. Maybe there are the documents out there, but I read the book that’s called The Great Reset by Klaus Schwab, who’s the head of the World Economic Forum and supposedly the great mastermind behind the great reset.

And I didn’t find, in the book, all these crazy social engineering theories. What I found was obviously quite a radical critique of neoliberalism and what he says in the book, he discusses in the book a lot of the things that we discussed tonight: the failure of hyper integrated global supply chains, the failure of extending a kind of market based logic to sectors such as public health care and so on.

The problem of unemployment and the need to rethink full employment policies. I mean, you could say that is quite a Keynesian approach. Now, that doesn’t mean that he’s a fellow traveler, as you would say. Not at all. What I took away from the book is that elites are scared shitless of the implications of this crisis. And I think they realize they’ve pulled a cord a bit too much and it’s about to break or it’s already broken, and as a result of the crisis, yes, the crisis can be an opportunity for them.

But a lot of them, I think, maybe even exaggerate their fears because I’m afraid we’re not so well organized. But you can almost read through the lines that some of them are kind of scared that heads might start rolling at some point, you know. They’re kind of afraid of the guillotines being rolled out again. And so what I took away from that book is that even at the highest echelons of global elites they’re saying we’ve gone a bit too far with this kind of extreme form of neoliberalism.

We’re gonna have to tone it down a bit, which means we will have to provide more jobs. We’re going to have to provide health care to more people. Otherwise, you know, they’re going to run out the guillotines at some point and the party’s going to be over.  And we’ve got to loosen the leash a bit. Otherwise, the dogs are going to turn on us. And again, you know, that’s not to say that we can just sit back and they’re going to give us socialism. But this situation does, again, open up some windows of opportunity, which if we’re good enough, we can seize.

[00:59:09.710] – Grumbine

This is a fantastic interview, Thomas, I really appreciate you taking the time here with me today. How can folks follow you? This is a lot of great information. How can we find you?

[00:59:20.500] – Fazi

I’m on all social media, so I mostly write in English on Twitter so you can follow me in English, on Twitter. And I mostly use Facebook in Italian. But Twitter is a good place to find me.

[00:59:31.960] – Grumbine

The Battle for Europe [@battleforeurope], you’ve got your website.

[00:59:34.630] – Fazi

Yeah, I’ve got ThomasFazi.net where I publish all my articles, so you can follow me there. If you want to read up on my most recent book that’s Reclaiming the State, which I co-wrote with Bill Mitchell. And we hope to have something new out at some point this year.

[00:59:51.310] – Grumbine

Very good. Look. It was wonderful to be with you here. I hope we can talk again soon. It’s been way too long. I think we did a full year since our last one.

[00:59:59.920] – Fazi

Yeah, it’s not right for so much time to go by.

[01:00:03.400] – Grumbine

All right. Well, look, folks, thank you so much for joining us. This is Steve Grumbine with Macro N Cheese with Thomas Fazi. We’re out of here.

[01:00:16.240] – Ending credits

Macro N Cheese is produced by Andy Kennedy, descriptive writing by Virginia Cotts, and promotional artwork by Mindy Donham. Macro N Cheese is publicly funded by our Real Progressives Patreon account. If you would like to donate to Macro N Cheese, please visit patreon.com/realprogressives.


Iruzkinak (1)

  • joseba

    The Breaking of the World with Thomas Fazi

    https://realprogressives.org/podcast_episode/episode-199-the-breaking-of-the-world-with-thomas-fazi/

    Transkripzioa:

    Macro N Cheese – Episode 199
    The Breaking of the World with Thomas Fazi
    November 19, 2022

    [00:00:04.620] – Thomas Fazi [intro/music]

    So, what transpired in UK context was actually quite extraordinary, because it was, I think, a rare instance of the central bank of a currency issuing country deliberately acting to sabotage a government.

    [00:00:23.060] – Thomas Fazi [intro/music]

    So I think part of it is creating an artificial spending crisis in order to justify new austerity measures. And part of the austerity measures is simply convincing people, once again, that there are very tight limits on what governments can and can’t do, even though the pandemic has shown that, to a large extent, to be a lie.

    [00:01:35.140] – Geoff Ginter [intro/music]

    Now, let’s see if we can avoid the apocalypse altogether. Here’s another episode of Macro N Cheese with your host, Steve Grumbine.

    [00:01:43.080] – Steve Grumbine

    And yes, this is Steve with Macro N Cheese. If you can’t hear this sexy, Barry White like voice, folks, I have been hit with this bug and has really impacted me. So, hopefully you can tolerate Steve an octave lower. We have a great guest. Last week I was in Italy with Clara Mattei talking about the capital order and how economists invented austerity.

    I liked it so much over here in Italy that I decided to stick around and talk to my good friend Tom Fazi. Thomas has been on here several times and is co-author with Bill Mitchell of the book “Reclaiming the State”. He’s also a journalist and an activist, writes at the UNHERD. That’s U-N-H-E-R-D. I just was so excited about several articles that he’s written lately, but it really got me thinking after the last interview how important it would be to bring Thomas in to talk about some of the class war that is going on, banker style.

    The banking elite across the world have had their way with society as a whole and have embarked upon some really shady business. And stuff that, if you’re a Modern Monetary Theory activist/adherent/aware/informed, you know what they’re doing. It’s an attack on the working class. And Thomas really is able to present this stuff well. You can follow Thomas on Twitter at Battle for Europe. And without further ado, let me bring on my guest, Thomas Fazi. Welcome to the show, sir.

    [00:03:24.340] – Thomas Fazi

    Hey. Hi there. Thanks for having me on the show. It’s a pleasure to be back.

    [00:03:28.760] – Grumbine

    Absolutely. This article you wrote is called “The Bankers Have Launched A Class War: What’s Really Causing the Public Spending Crisis”. And I know this is UK centric, so let’s start there, then let’s work across this paradigm, how it plays out on a much larger basis. Very insightful writing here, sir.

    [00:03:50.520] – Fazi

    Thanks a lot. Well, yeah, so I’ve been following very closely the events that transpired in the UK over the past month or so and I think they’re very instructive of the kind of power dynamics that are at play more in general, I would say, across western countries. So, pretty extraordinary events have happened in the UK over the past month and I think it’s really useful to go over that because I think it tells us a lot about what’s happening behind the scenes, at major policymaking elite levels.

    Again, not just in UK, more broadly in the west and possibly even beyond the west. So, of course, it all started with Liz Truss’ shortly lived, very shortly lived government just over a month ago. She came to power just less than two months ago and has been kicked out just as quickly and I think it’s interesting to look at what’s happened there.

    So, basically we were told Liz Truss comes from the right wing of the Conservative Party, from the right libertarian, free market neoliberal wing of the British Conservative Party. And basically shortly after coming to power she approved a budgetary package. And that budgetary package, basically, had various measures, some were supply side and some were tax side and some were spending side.

    But all the focus of the media, of the national establishment was on one measure, which was these tax cuts that Liz Truss was trying to push. And of course from a distributional perspective they were very bad. They were cutting the tax rate for the highest incomes. So, of course, it was a classic neoliberal pro rich measure and in that sense it was really bad. But we’ve seen these kind of measures before.

    This is what neoliberals do, they get into power and they try to reduce taxes for corporations and for their wealthy friends. This is what they do. And usually the establishment is quite happy about these kinds of measures. They don’t tend to complain about them. What we saw in this case was everyone just went crazy.

    Massive hysteria in the media, massive hysteria in the elite financial circles where everyone started saying, oh, this is absolutely crazy to have these tax cuts at a time of high inflation. It’s absolutely unacceptable. And, essentially, what happened was that first the country’s Treasury Minister was forced to resign, and shortly thereafter, Liz Truss herself was forced to resign because of the huge palaver that was made around this budget.

    It was said that the budget had caused government interest rates to rise, it caused the value of the pound to collapse, and that, basically, the British economy was on the verge of apocalypse. And she needed to go. And the narrative was that this was all because she tried to push through these tax cuts, which apparently markets weren’t happy about, and so they had punished the government by pushing up interest rates and selling off the pound and that this had caused the British economy to crash and she needed to go.

    And she was soon enough replaced by the former Chancellor of the Exchequer in British terms, or the former finance minister who has now become the new Prime Minister. And he came in saying, I’m going to fix the mess that Truss created by attempting this crazy tax cut, which opened a huge hole in the budget deficit, almost caused the economy to implode.

    And so what we need to do now is, of course, stay on the path of fiscal sustainability. We got to reassure markets, we got to reassure investors. I’m going to do that by, essentially, cutting back deficit, paying back the debt, and, essentially, bringing the country back on a path of fiscal sustainability, ie austerity. And of course, this is how it’s all been presented.

    And I would say this is how the average British person or anyone that’s been following these events, this is the understanding of what has happened. You’ve got this ultra free market, pro market Prime Minister that comes to power, tries to push through these crazy tax cuts, which almost destroy the economy. And, luckily, shortly before the economy is completely destroyed, a much more responsible person comes in to save the day and to put the country and the British economy back on track by, basically, pursuing responsible public finances.

    And so gone are the tax cuts and problem solved. Now, almost nothing of this narrative is true. In fact, what we see is that, well, first of all, it doesn’t make much sense that markets and international financial institutions or technocratic institutions such as the IMF and the World Bank suddenly have developed a sensibility for distributional matters and have suddenly turned against tax cuts for the rich.

    Anyone can see there’s something off there. So, it was pretty clear for me right from the beginning that the target of the attack on Truss, on the government’s budget wasn’t the actual tax cuts themselves, which, in fact, were a very small part of the budget. Most of the budget was taken up by, basically, energy relief measures, so spending measures aimed at reducing the energy bills for households and businesses.

    And that was done by, essentially, the government coming in and spending and covering part of those costs through, essentially, fiscal policy. So, that’s what most of the budget was taken up by a spending side measure, not by the tax cuts, but everyone was talking about tax cuts. In fact, I think what really made policy elites mad was even though politics of Truss were really bad and, as I said, libertarian, right wing, pro market policies, and, of course, as I said, tax cuts were very bad from the distributional perspective.

    But I think that’s not why she annoyed so many people in elite circles. What annoyed them was that what Truss and what her Finance Minister said more than once was that, yes, even though there’s high inflation, we’re going to finance these measures through deficit spending because we don’t think it’s that big a deal. So, that’s one interesting aspect.

    Truss’ politics were bad, but she understood how government finances work, as a lot of neoliberal politicians do. So, she didn’t have too many qualms about engagement deficit spending to finance these spending measures, but, also, to cut taxes or help wealthy friends. So, clearly part of the aim of these policies was highly criticizable.

    But the underlying framework which was operating, I think, was a good one. She was operating within a framework where she understood how the finances of a modern currency issuing country work. And I think that’s what really pissed people off. The fact that what she was doing was defying the orthodoxy, the consensus which says that at a time of high inflation you absolutely can’t spend, you can’t deficit spend, because that’s inflationary.

    And, so, I think that was a problem. What they were really afraid was the fact that she was going to lift the veil of how government finances work and the fact that even at the time of high inflation there’s nothing. And even though the UK government has accrued a lot of debt throughout the pandemic, as a lot of other countries have done, this doesn’t pose any problem whatsoever in terms of fiscal sustainability and so on and so forth.

    And we know these things to be true. And Truss, I think, understood that as well as her Finance Minister did. She understood these issues quite well. And, in fact, one could look at what happened and say “oh, but she wasn’t right because there was a crisis”. But, first of all, what was this crisis that supposedly almost crashed the British economy?

    What we saw was an increase in government bond interest rates. Why were the interest rates rising? They were rising because the Bank of England had been raising rates, interest rates, for quite some time and in fact, long term British bond interest rates had been rising even before Truss came to power. And once Truss came to power, the Bank of England announced that it would have continued raising rates.

    So, effectively, this wasn’t the markets punishing Truss or anything of the sort, because markets don’t tend to think like that, even though a lot of people on the left tend to think that markets have feelings and emotions and tend to punish governments that do things they don’t like. But that’s not really how governments operate.

    This wasn’t some kind of morality tale that their markets were trying to impart to the British government. Interest rates were rising mainly due to the actions of the Bank of England, which clearly was aiming at creating problems for the government. I think that’s pretty clear. So, in fact, what we saw at play was something that we’re used to seeing, for example, in the Eurozone context, where, clearly, you have governments on the one hand and then you have a supranational central bank that essentially controls governments and decides what governments can and can’t do.

    It’s like a fully independent central bank in the truest sense of the word, with all that this entails, and we’ve spoken about this in the past. But in currency issuing countries, you don’t usually see such overt tensions between central banks and government. Even though most central banks are formally independent, they tend to support whatever budgetary or fiscal policy the government decides to pursue.

    So, what transpired in the UK context was actually quite extraordinary because it was I think a rare instance of the central bank of a currency issuing country deliberately acting to sabotage a government. And it’s not just me that says this. You’ve got Narayana Kocherlakota, who’s a former president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, wrote an article, I think, in the Washington Post which was titled “Markets Didn’t Oust Truss. The Bank of England Did.” 

    So, anyone that understands the dynamics that are going on behind the scenes understands what went on. So, what went down was something akin to a coup, I would say. The closest thing to a financial coup or monetary coup that you can have, at least in a currency issuing country. But, of course, that also had to do with the fact that among the pillars of the orthodoxy that Truss was challenging, there was also the alleged independence of the bank of England.

    On more than one occasion, Truss and Kwarteng, her finance minister, had challenged the notion of the Bank of England’s independence, saying that Bank of England should be more accommodating of government policies in terms of interest rates and so on and so forth. And that’s clearly another thing that didn’t buy her any support in those circles, in the technocratic circles of the British deep state.

    And, so, I think that simply made the Bank of England even more prone to get rid of her because all the power of the Bank of England rests on this idea of independence. And, in fact, what we saw was that the Bank of England in that case was acting quite independently of the government. Clearly, there wasn’t much coordination there.

    So, that’s really what went down and the objective of that operation, or coup, if you want to call it that, we can say was completely reached. Because they got rid of Truss and they put someone in her place, Rishi Sunak, who fully adheres to the orthodox view of fiscal policy. And, so, since he’s come to power, we’ve heard him reiterate the usual shopping bag of banalities about the need to cut back spending, cut back debt to pursue austerity and so on.

    So, basically, they’ve managed to reassert the orthodoxy and I think that was a problem with Truss. And I think, as usual, the left adopted a completely myopic, short sighted and, ultimately, self defeating attitude in the whole crisis because it, basically, sided with the market, with the Financial Times, with the IMF, with all those players that were saying that Truss’s budget was completely responsible, was going to crash the economy.

    So, instead of criticizing content of her policies, which was completely legitimate and it’s something that I did myself in several articles, her neo-Thatcherite policies. And, so, instead of actually criticizing the content of our policies they just went along with the mainstream narrative that the problem wasn’t so much that these policies were bad from a distributional perspective, but that they were unsustainable from a fiscal standpoint.

    And, of course, what the left ended up doing and, of course, I’m talking not just the Labour Party but also the left of the Labour Party. With few exceptions they all went along with this narrative. And what’s the result? All that you’ve achieved is, yes, you got rid of Truss who was a neoliberal who at least wasn’t queasy about engaging in deficit spending and you’ve replaced that with another neoliberal who has a completely austerity bent outlook.

    So, where’s the victory there? And in doing so, you’ve completely reinforced the orthodox narrative. And essentially the idea that governments can only get away with the policies that are approved by financial markets, which is, of course, the great lie of modern economics. This idea that currency issuing governments, at the end of the day, can only do what markets let them do because, otherwise, the value of the currency will crash or they’ll send interest rates skyrocketing and so on and so forth.

    And, in fact, we know that’s a complete lie. As I said, the only reason interest rates were rising was because the Bank of England wanted them to rise in order to put pressure on the government. And, in fact, when the collapsing value of the bond yields started creating problems with pension funds that had used these bonds to then invest, then leverage them through very complex financial instruments to raise more money.

    Once they started creating problems for the pension funds because of the hyper financialized nature of pension funds nowadays which rely on safe assets such as bonds to raise money on financial markets which they then used to do risk investing and so on. As soon as their high interest rate policy started created pension funds, the Bank of England intervened and immediately sent interest rates down again, proving that, ultimately, interest rates are entirely controlled by the central bank, in this case by the Bank of England.

    And of course the bank of England could have come out and say we’re going to do whatever it takes to guarantee financial stability in order for the government to pursue whatever policies it chooses to pursue under its democratic mandate. That’s what it should have said but that’s not what it said. Instead the Bank of England was one of the main players fueling this notion that the government’s policies were extremely dangerous and were crashing the British economy.

    And, so, this brings us to where we are today in the UK. But I would say more in general in the west which is a situation where all major powers are trying to, basically, reassert, I would say, the pre-pandemic orthodoxy in terms of government spending and monetary and fiscal policies. And they’re doing that, of course, by raising interest rates across the board.

    All central banks are raising interest rates. In that article I wrote focused on the Bank of England but, of course, the Bank of England’s decision to raise interest rates even more, which it announced just last week, comes on the heels of similar raises by other major central banks. First and foremost the Federal Reserve, which is pursuing quite an aggressive policy of monetary tightening.

    And I think the objective is twofold. On one hand, I think what the objective of this policy is to, as I said, lower once again the veil over the mechanics of government spending. A veil that had been kind of lifted, I would say, throughout the pandemic. Insofar as it was openly acknowledged, essentially, all major governments engaged in massive deficit spending, which was pretty much entirely financed by the central banks.

    Now, we know that central banks always finance government spending, but they made it very overt throughout the pandemic by having the central banks buy up, essentially, all the bonds that were issued by the governments to finance the pandemic measures. So, in the case of the UK, it was so obvious that the British government started differentiating between gross and net public debt.

    So, they were, essentially, admitting, even in their own budgetary statements, that the debt increase accrued throughout pandemic wasn’t actual debt because it was entirely owed by the bank of England. And the same thing happened in the US, in the eurozone, everywhere. So, governments simply issued more bonds to finance these measures, and the bonds were entirely bought up by the relevant central banks of those countries.

    So, that was starting to expose the great lie of how government spending works. And I think just as they did after the financial crisis, after the measures that were put in place to avoid a complete collapse of the system, we know that in 2008 and in the coming years, we also saw massive government spending to bail out big banks.

    And that was done, also, through essentially having the central banks by government bonds, insofar as it was necessary to do what was needed to be done to bail out those responsible for the financial crisis. But soon after the narrative became, “oh, now we’ve accrued all this debt, now we have to bring it back down through austerity”. Even though, of course, that was completely unnecessary.

    There was absolutely no need to engage in austerity after the financial crisis. Again, the need was to lower the veil on how government spending works. Because if people realize “Wait a minute, so you’re telling me that governments can spend within limits, but they can spend pretty much whatever they want and have that be paid by the central bank?” They must ask “If you can do that to bail out banks, or if you can do that to pay people to stay at home during a pandemic, then why can’t you use that power to give people better jobs, better services, better infrastructure, better housing, better transport and so on?”

    And I think that’s what elites really fear, people realizing how government spending really works. So, part of what’s happening is you have to lower the veil back down on how this works. And you do that by engineering an artificial need for austerity through higher interest rates. Of course, we know that higher interest rates don’t per se require governments to lower government spending or to issue less bonds.

    They don’t create any problems of financial sustainability. A currency issuing government can pay whatever interest rates it wants. But because of the myths that we’ve been fed about how government spending works, it’s very easy to make people believe that there’s a spending crisis when interest rates rise.

    Because they look at these high interest rates and they say, oh, well, it’s becoming too expensive for the government to raise debt, even though that’s not a problem, per se. And even though the interest rates are only rising because the central banks want them to rise. So, I think part of it is creating an artificial spending crisis in order to justify new austerity measures.

    And part of the austerity measures is simply convincing people once again that there are very tight limits on what governments can and can’t do, even though the pandemic has shown that to a large extent to be a lie. The idea is that, yes, you can do these things in times of emergency, but you can’t do this in normal times. So, I think that’s one of the aims of this policy.

    And then there’s kind of a more medium, long term aim. And I think that really has to do with what they fear: a strengthening of labor bargaining power as a result of really structural changes in Western economies that have to do with a number of factors. But I would say the major factor is we have already begun this process of de-globalization, of reshoring of production.

    Which is part of a wider geopolitical conflict, where the west is starting to increasingly de-link from China and bring production of supply chains close to home for economic reasons. Because pandemic is also exposed just how fragile these massive supply chains are. But I think also for geopolitical reasons in the context of what is increasingly becoming a new Cold War with China and its allies and of course, Russia.

    And, of course, what this means is that there’s pros and cons, I think, to all of this. But I think one of them at least from the perspective of western working classes, there’s quite an obvious benefit in the sense that one of the major weapons has been used to weaken western working classes has been the shipping of delocalization of production to far flung countries, especially China.

    Once for geopolitical reasons, strategic reasons, you start to bring production back home, clearly, that means that you have to increasingly rely on your own labor force. And that means that these labor forces acquire more bargaining power. And you see the labor capital balance, which has been completely tilted towards capital for the past 30-40 years starting to shift back towards labor.

    And I think they know that this is an inevitable scenario given what are these kind of longer term trends. And, so, I think through these policies they’re also trying, to some extent, to preempt this rise in labor bargaining power. And one of the ways you do that is by essentially artificially raising unemployment. I think that’s one of the aims of this policy.

    [00:26:52.460] – Intermission

    You are listening to Macro N Cheese, a podcast brought to you by Real Progressives, a nonprofit organization dedicated to teaching the masses about MMT or Modern Monetary Theory. Please help our efforts and become a monthly donor at PayPal or Patreon, like and follow our pages on Facebook and YouTube, and follow us on Periscope, Twitter, Twitch, Rokfin and Instagram.

    [00:27:43.390] – Grumbine

    Let me jump in for a second. I’m going to say something and you can push back completely, but here’s what I believe. The interest payment raise is a way of securing the gap between the poor and the rich. By forcing a funneling to claw back the gains of the pandemic, the little bit of money, some may have found a way to free away. This is a way of ensuring that the gap stays intact.

    I believe strongly that austerity is not just simply a gentleman’s disagreement, that it’s beyond class warfare, that it is literal murder. And because you don’t see a gun, people have a hard time tying it together. And I believe it is beyond time for people that understand these things to stop this gentleman’s handshake game.

    And it’s time for us to really talk about these people as murderers, killers, unfit for society. I think you got the world split into a number of ways. The people that like to look at graphs and tables and watch their stock portfolio go up and then the people that are at the bottom that have to find a way to eat, house themselves and survive.

    And because there’s a perverse polite police out there that embrace in friendly terms those people that are killing the poor. It never becomes the real war it needs to be. And so we go through this dance. Every time there’s gains at the bottom, they claw it back through some form of austerity, through interest rate hikes, decreasing deficits, balanced budgets, everything you’ve said. Do you agree that these people amount to murderers or do you think they’re just good misguided people?

    [00:29:37.160] – Fazi

    No, they know perfectly well what they’re doing. They understand how the system works very well. So in that sense, what you’re saying is completely true. I think they are, on some level, sociopaths. There are people that are literally engaging in what Engels called social murder. If you kill one person, you go to jail for life.

    But if you deliberately decide to cut back health spending, which causes the death of tens of thousands of people, you’re just a politician doing what the market demands. Even though I think they know perfectly well what they can and can’t do. I think this to me is very clear. And so, yes, they are engaging in social murder because these policies really make the difference between life or death for hundreds of thousands, millions, billions of people on a global level.

    And I think much of the suffering is completely unnecessary. It is entirely the result of policies that are aimed at maintaining and ensuring that a tiny elite continues to basically hold the rest of society at ransom. And I think this is what interests elites more than anything else, even more than profits. It’s about power that comes before anything else.

    And in fact, if they were simply looking for profits or they were simply looking to boost the economy, including the profits of capitalists, they would spend, they would engage in austerity. Of course spending would raise the living standards of workers or ordinary people, but it would also raise the profits of ordinary businesses, capitalists across the board.

    So clearly you can’t just understand these policies in terms of profit. And in fact, I would say that in order to maintain the power they have over society they are ready to accept even lower profits. So power is more important than profits from their point of view. And as you were saying, what worries them in the current context is that workers might start to demand a bit more than they demanded until now.

    In terms of wages, in terms of living conditions, in terms of basic economic rights, especially in a context of structurally higher prices. What we’re going through isn’t just temporary. So what in the UK, for example, is called a cost of living crisis. This isn’t just about inflation. Year on year inflation is going to go down but prices are going to stay high.

    And so I think they’re really afraid that people are going to become a bit more emboldened and start demanding a little bit more respect. Especially in a context where their bargaining power potentially could increase, where demand for labor is strong and there’s not much slack in labor markets, there’s not so much unemployment.

    In that context, workers would suddenly realize how much power they have and to some extent, at least in some sectors, I think the workers have started. I would say maybe one of the good things of the nightmare of the past three years is that at least in some sectors workers have realized just how crucial they are.

    So if we look at for example, the logistics sector, the trucking sector, you’ve got sectors that have continued to operate all throughout and even when everything else was shut down. When in these sectors workers realized that they had real power, they could shut down the economy if they wanted to. And I think that’s what they’re afraid of, workers realizing that or acquiring the same kind of power and the same kind of leverage in other sectors as well.

    And so in order to preempt that they’re ready to, as you say, murder people. Make people go hungry, die of desperation, they just don’t care. And of course, part of it is that they’re so removed, of course, from the everyday reality of people that I think they might even find ways of rationalizing what they’re doing. Read a great term the other day.

    These aren’t just technocrats or oligarchs that are cosmocrats. That’s a great term, isn’t it? Cosmocrats, which had never come about before. And it says that these people literally rule the world and I think today more than ever. So I think that’s also a problem that we face today in the sense that we are facing a power elite that’s definitely the most powerful power elite that ever existed in the history of humanity.

    Kind of concentration of wealth and power and the nexus of corporate and state and even supra-state power that we see today and I think became apparent and was also in turn and strengthened throughout the pandemic, this nexus of tech-pharma-media. What we have is a concentration of power that’s really unprecedented, I would say, in history of humanity.

    And again, pandemic has really accelerated these trends in terms of widening inequality and increasing concentration of power in the hands of a very small but incredibly powerful oligarchy. Now pretty much has complete control over the flow of information through both traditional media and digital social media.

    And it’s really able to influence the opinions and thoughts of the masses on a level that I think was inconceivable even just a few years ago. So this is kind of the context that we’re in today and this is kind of more sobering part of what we’re going through. But again, the situation I think is going to bring the class conflicts in society back to the fore once again.

    And partly as a result of the policies that they are pursuing in an attempt to preempt the re-emergence of class conflict. They are not going to manage to do that, I think. And of course, they’re going to try to do what they’ve always done: convince people to choose policies that are completely against their interests.

    And they’re gonna try to taper over the material reality of people by projecting this virtual reality and having people live in this virtual reality which is constructed by the media and increasingly so by today digital media. But I think that can only go so far. At some point, the contradictions between actual reality and this virtual reality that they strive to construct I think is going to reach its limits.

    And I think especially in the context of what’s going to be, I think, really growing mass hardship even in countries that haven’t known that kind of hardship in past years. So I think these are also going to be interesting times in many ways. And in terms of interest rates yes, as you were saying. Yes, absolutely. You got to give them credit for having created a system where they always win.

    So they win when there’s extremely low interest rates, for example, through policies, through quantitative easing bond purchasing policies. Policies that we’ve seen over the past ten years, which lower the interest income deriving from, for example, government bonds. And so the kind of corporate subsidies that government bonds represent were lowered through these policies of low interest rates.

    But at the same time, they also injected huge amounts of cash into the financial system, which was then used by banks and investment funds to basically engage in extremely high risk, high return speculation in financial markets. So this is one of the consequences of quantitative easing. And so getting the interest revenue, the interest streams.

    The asset holdings was decreased, but the interest they were receiving from these high risk speculative investments that they were doing as a result of the huge amounts of money that were being injected into the financial system, they made huge amounts of money over the past 10-15 years purely as a result of these low interest policies.

    And now with this shift to high interest policies, clearly maybe they’re going to scale back some investments, maybe some investments are going to become less profitable as a result of the rise in interest rates. But at the same time you’re offering them once again this form of basically subsidies for the rich where the very small minority of people that actually do invest in bonds and assets will see the interest revenues from these assets increase.

    And so once again they can just sit back and wait for the money to start flowing in without doing anything. A lot of people have criticized, of course, the quantitative easing and low interest policies — for the right reasons, not for the stupid reasons you sometimes hear from the mainstream media. We’ve also had legit criticisms of these policies over years, even from myself.

    We know that these QE policies have been very bad in distributional terms. They widened inequality because they boosted value of the assets that are held by the richest sections of society. But unless you change the rules of the game, it’s not by raising interest rates that you’re going to change the balance of power in society because the bank always wins, literally.

    So you got to turn the tables and completely overhaul the system. Higher interest rates, they are going to keep the balance of power in society completely unchanged. And in fact, to the extent that these interest rate hikes are going to be used to implement austerity and cut back on public spending and healthcare spending and so on, they’re almost certainly going to increase the gap between the workers and the ultra rich. So whatever they do, they end up coming on top. They win, as the game is completely rigged.

    [00:40:00.260] – Grumbine

    Let me throw this out there. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez is standing on top of Nancy Pelosi’s desk making bold demands right before she gets into office. Shortly thereafter, she completely stops doing that kind of stuff and is now submissive calling her Mama Bear. Now, the average person has been told, it’s not a matter of finance, we just need the votes.

    And they’ve reduced it to, “sure, you’ve got power. Of course you can vote your way to this beautiful world”. But the way they’ve got this set up, there’s two doors. You go in one door, and you just walk through a rotating door, and it doesn’t take you anywhere. You go in circles and you come out fatigued, feeling like, wow, we fought the good fight. That’s the electoral side.

    Then you’ve got the other side, which is a direct threat to power, where you’re actually building parallel institutions, organizing. You’re not allowing neoliberals to lie to you anymore. You’re not giving them the respect that they don’t deserve anyway. You’re saying you’re the enemy and not allowing them to do this.

    We’re at this point where these naive people will just vote for more progressives, and it’s fundamentally missing the entire dynamic. There’s a layer that this whole elective process doesn’t touch. It feels like nothing ever changes unless the elites decide it’s going to change. And then it changes, but it changes always to our detriment.

    My understanding of modern monetary theory shows me that we can solve all these crises. We’re constantly told we just got to find a way to get the votes. But in the United States alone, as an example, we had the House, we had the Senate, we had the White House, and we were more feckless in power than we were when we were, quote unquote, fighting against Trump.

    And the embrace of the neoliberal NATO approach to slicing the world into two by cutting off Russia, China, and the rest of the non neoliberal countries that aren’t willing to play ball. It’s death to the working class. The way they’ve approached this.

    [00:42:23.210] – Fazi

    I would say that’s pretty accurate description of where we’re at. It would be very naive to think that we live in democracies. I think we live in our oligarchies or plutocracies, where the system is entirely rigged. And not just the reasons I was saying earlier that the electoral system is rigged by big money as well. And you’ve got apparatuses within the state that are able to disempower even executive power now.

    So even getting into government isn’t enough. I think Liz Truss shows in a way when you control the media, when you control the narrative, when you’re able to pressure even the most powerful governments in the world to toe the line, this is where we’re at. They pour huge amounts of money into skewing the electoral system. So that’s rigged itself by money.

    But even if you were to find a way around that and somehow come into power, which is almost impossible to get into power without support money, that’s clearly the case for the US. But similar situation in other countries as well. Even if you found a way to bypass that, you would still find yourself under immense pressure from the so called deep state and from corporate media and from the technocratic institutions that actually run these countries, such as central banks and the big private banks and so on.

    So, yeah, I think there’s no… It’s not helpful to close our eyes to reality. This is the reality of the countries that we live in. As I said, we live in a situation where power is more concentrated than ever. And so just focusing on the electoral cycles is very naive. And of course, I think the only way, or at least a precondition for managing to achieve anything is having strong mass support.

    That would be crucial. Even if you were to get into government, you would be facing such massive powers unless you had huge public support, pressure would be just unbearable, I think. So you would need that kind of support to keep you going. I think that the extra parliamentary work, the extra electoral work that you were talking of is crucial.

    Educating people about the reality of, for example, government spending is fundamental. It’s not sufficient, but it is a necessary precondition to be able to change anything. Otherwise you’ll find yourself in situations such as the one in the UK, where most of the electorate is now convinced that austerity is needed because that’s what they’ve been telling them.

    And so you’ve got people that actually now openly embrace and support measures that are completely against their interests because they’ve been told there’s no alternative. So I think that kind of educational work, which is what course we’ve all been trying to do for years, I think with success, I think is incredibly important.

    But yes, I completely have to agree on the feebleness of the so-called American progressives and even the so called American socialists. The socialist wing of the Democratic Party is really astounding. The way they’ve embraced what are essentially neocon foreign policies with regards to Russia and China is absolutely disgraceful.

    It’s disgraceful in terms of what this means for the world, but it’s also disgraceful in terms of what it means just for the American working class. They have nothing to benefit from continuation of this permanent war economy, and even less so from what is shaping up to be a second or new Cold War against most of the world at this point. This isn’t just US versus Russia and a few proxy countries.

    This new Cold War is a completely different one than the old one. It’s one way. The US is a declining power with declining influence over the rest of the world, where most of the world isn’t following the US. For example, with regards to its policies against Russia and China. The US sphere of influence now is pretty much limited to Europe and Australia and New Zealand, most countries, most middle income, I would say even increasingly most developing countries, aren’t playing along with the US anymore.

    And I think they are increasingly turning to the so called enemies of the US because they’ve seen what the US led neoliberal policies have done to their countries over the decades, and they’re not going to stand for that anymore. And now, for the first time, they have an alternative. And so the US is basically pushing these countries into the arms of Russia and China.

    So even from a geopolitical perspective, it really doesn’t make much sense. I would say it makes even less sense from Europe’s perspective. At least the US, in the very short term is benefiting from the conflict of Ukraine. For example by replacing Russian gas with its own natural gas, which it is now selling to Europe at much higher prices than what we used to pay for Russian gas.

    So at least there are short term gains for the US in this power play, but there’s absolutely no gains whatsoever for Europe, which is in fact heading towards basically long term impoverishment and de-industrialization by going along with US new Cold War strategy. So it’s even more baffling to see just how suicidal policies that Europe is pursuing are. I think it really shows the complete subjugation of European leaders to America, again, completely against the basic national interests of these countries. It really is baffling.

    [00:49:15.640] – Grumbine

    Let me ask you one final question. The United States had built up its glorious monuments and all of its halls of justice throughout the years, and the United States had built up its base during World War Two and the following years that often are seen as the golden years. And we let it go. We allowed ourselves to become a decrepit superpower that had invested its entire energies into the military.

    And here we are now, as China has got its belt and road initiative and has linked up countries around the world in not a master-servant relationship, but more of a cooperative one. And the US licking its wounds from austerity as it destroyed itself in this method, and so it needed enemies. Biden in the State of the Union address had already labeled China the enemy.

    Since 2015, 2016, to cover up Hillary’s loss, they have been busy making Russia the enemy. This is a wounded animal that’s backed into a corner that is trying to maintain its hegemony. What do you foresee as being the net outcome of the US fall from grace? How do you see this playing out?

    [00:50:40.460] – Fazi

    There aren’t that many potential scenarios. The US seems to have chosen the worst possible strategy, which is to do everything that’s in its power to maintain its dominant position in the world, even though that’s clearly an impossibility. Because of the structural changes of the world economy are such that we have already entered a multipolar world. It’s really a reality.

    It’s just a reality that the US elites don’t seem ready to accept. But, brought to extreme conclusions, the endgame is war with China. There aren’t that many ways around it. If the US wants to bring what seems to be a new foreign policy strategy to its extreme consequences. That’s what we’re heading for. But I think any sane person can realize that would have the consequences that are absolutely potentially catastrophic for the entire world.

    And so I think this is probably, I would say, the most dangerous moment that we’ve ever faced, I would say for humanity. But I think even much more dangerous even than the height of the Cold War. I think today the situation is much more dangerous because as you said, the US is a wounded beast. We know that wounded animals tend to act irrationally.

    And so I think we are witnessing much more irrational policies than we witnessed even at the height of the Cold War. And so I think it’s an extremely dangerous situation that we’re in. And I can only hope that at some point there’s enough pressure that builds up in the United States first and foremost, but more in general in the west against this crazy neocon neoimperialist policy.

    Because it’s going to be so damaging also, especially to ordinary people in the west. And so I think at some point there’s going to be inevitably some pushback against these policies. To some extent we are already witnessing quite strong popular opposition in Europe. Especially to the anti-Russian sanctions, just because people are realizing that they’re having destructive consequences for the livelihoods of ordinary people.

    And I think if the US and west more generally continues to go down this path, I think we are inevitably going to see a pushback. And I think that gives us reason to hope that at some point west or the US, in particular, are going to have to just face reality and accept that this multipolarity is going to be the reality of the next century, whether they like it or not.

    So I think the outcome partly depends on us. These are two potential outcomes. One is this utterly destructive conflict with Russia and China, and of course I’m talking military conflict, not just an economic conflict. Or the west is just going to have to adapt to this new reality. I think that partly depends on our ability to apply pressure on our elites as well.

    There aren’t that many outcomes. But I think either way it’s about accepting the old world is gone forever and there’s no turning back. And as you say, it’s not a bad thing. I think the entire world has to benefit from a much more multi polar global reality. I think that’s in the interest of all of humanity, regardless of what one thinks of the political and economic regimes in other countries.

    One can very easily disagree or not like the systems that rule other countries, other major powers such as China and Russia, but at the same time realize that it’s in the interest of all of humanity coexisting with different realities, different political regimes, different economic regimes. And that countries have the right to pursue their own path to development.

    And I think for all that one can criticize China for, I do think that they are pursuing a non imperialist vision of international collaboration. So I think China truly is interested in building a multipolar world because it would be in it’s own interest. I think China, as a rising power clearly has nothing to benefit from an all-out conflict with the US.

    Or with trying to replace the US as the single dominant global superpower. Just like clearly Russia has no interest in all out conflict with the US. And the west more in general. And I think clearly this is the outcome that most of the countries of the world are hoping for. So really, I think it’s up to us as Western citizens. Our countries are the ones that are pushing for this conflict.

    This push towards an all out conflict is not coming from these other countries. For all the failings they may have, it’s coming from us. I think that’s something we have to realize as citizens of the west. And I think we have to step up to our responsibilities and do whatever we can to avoid this outcome.

    [00:56:09.640] – Grumbine

    Thomas, I really appreciate your time with me today. There’s very few interviews that I don’t walk away happy that I did the interview. This is one of the best interviews for me. I want to thank you so much for all your time, Thomas. This has been an incredible journey for me.

    [00:56:28.120] – Fazi

    Thanks for having me on the show.

    [00:56:29.670] – Grumbine

    Appreciate the validation. And with that, folks, I’m Steve Grumbine with Macro N Cheese. And we are out of here.

    [00:56:42.490] – End credits

    Macro N Cheese is produced by Andy Kennedy, descriptive writing by Virginia Cotts and promotional artwork by Andy Kennedy. Macro N Cheese is publicly funded by our Real Progressives Patreon account. If you would like to donate to Macro N Cheese, please visit patreon.com/realprogressives

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