Aterako ote da Grezia eurogunetik? Aterako ote dute?

1) Grexit?1

Linkean hiru aukera daude:

a) Greece surely isn’t going to abandon the euro, as there is an overwhelming political consensus against that direct act. However, expulsion from the EZ is certainly a possibility, if not probability if Syriza follows through with it’s stated program

b) Greece will leave euro, …Greece will have its own currency in march

c) Greece cannot get out of the situation without a de facto default on it’s debt, either through debt haircuts, jubilees or neo-drachmas devaluation

2) Arazoa Nazioarteko Moneta Fondoa da (IMF)2.

Syriza is not really up against the EU or ECB, or the Troika, that’s a sideshow. They’re taking the battle to the IMF, a sort of silent partner in the Troika, and the organization that rules the world for the rich and the banks they own. And that, if they had paid a bit more attention and a bit less hubris, could have gone on the way they have, small squeeze after small squeeze, without hardly anyone noticing, until the end of – this – civilization. But no. It had to be more.

It’s going to be a bloody battle. And it hasn’t even started yet. But kudos to all Greeks for starting it. It has to be done. And I don’t see how the euro could possibly survive it.”

3) Greziak Europaren etorkizuna alda lezake3.

3a) EBZ eta AEBko Fed:

  1. Contrary to popular belief, the authorities do not fear that a Greek exit could cause a serious financial crisis of the euro.

  2. The ECB can create money like the US Federal Reserve, and has all the firepower it needs to make sure that a Greek exit would not cause serious damage to the eurozone financial system.

  3. ECB President Mario Draghi proved this in July 2012 when he brought an end to the financial crisis of the eurozone — and doubts about the survival of the single-currency bloc itself — by merely stating that he would do “whatever it takesto defend the euro.

3b) Benetako beldurra:

  1. The real fear is that Greece might leave the currency and, after weathering the flight of capital and an initial crisis, recover much more quickly than the rest of Europe, prompting other governments to also want to leave the euro.

  2. The entire currency union could be threatened. Bluffs and bluster fill the financial press at the moment, but the smarter people in Brussels and Frankfurt understand this reality, and will want to make some concessions to the new government in Greece.

Eurogunearen bukaera ote?: Either way, this is the beginning of the end of the eurozone’s long nightmare.

2 Ikus It’s Greece vs Wall Street:

3 Ikus How Greece Could Change the Future of Europe:

Iruzkinak (3)

  • joseba

    The Return Of The German Question

    “It is hard to see how the leaders of France, Italy and Greece can create growth and jobs without a big shift in Eurozone economic policy. But it is also increasingly hard to see how they can force such a shift unless they join forces and take a more confrontational approach to Germany – as many are now urging them to. Thus the geopolitical dilemmas that Europe struggled with for centuries seem to have returned in geo-economic form, centred this time on the conflict between the interests of creditor and debtor countries locked into a single currency. What is unclear is how much conflict within Europe will be needed to resolve this dynamic.”

  • joseba

    Bill Mitchell: Time is running out for neo-liberalism

    “Whether Syriza keeps its end of the bargain is difficult to know. My friend the Finance Minister confused things yesterday when he told the BBC that he was in favour of privatisation. What?
    The other problem for these against-austerity parties in the Eurozone is that they cannot achieve their aims within the fiscal rules of the zone. Once stabilised with low unemployment and sustainable growth rates, the fiscal deficits might be able to be below the 3 per cent threshold on an on-going basis.
    But given the depth of the crisis in Greece, the fiscal deficits will have to be well above 3 per cent for an extended period to reach that level of stability in the real economy.
    It is almost impossible to see how that can achieve real change while remaining under the yoke of the Stability and Growth Pact, the debt issues aside.”

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