Ibaitik Itsasora
******
Gaza BEFORE Israel showed up
Israel is a criminal state
Bideoa: https://x.com/i/status/1887980771178070396
******
******
Zionists in 2025… “Palestine never existed”
Zionists in 1899… “We will colonise Palestine”
******
ooo
Scott Ritter and Mohammad Marandi: Bone-Chilling Geopolitical Lessons from Russia and Yemen
(https://www.youtube.com/live/5c5AnhJpvzc)
Transkripzioa:
0:04
hi everybody today is Tuesday May 13 2025 and our friends Scott Reer and
0:09
Professor Miranda are back with us welcome back thanks thank you Neiman
0:16
and let’s get started Scott with you and the new I
0:22
don’t know if you saw the new article in the New York Times are talking about that Houthies and were able to shot down F-16
0:31
and F-35 jets and is that what it one of the main
0:38
reason that Donald Trump has decided to get something in with Yemen
0:44
no not at all um there’s a difference between this this is written by somebody
0:51
who doesn’t understand anything about combat etc um you know if you fly an
0:56
aircraft into a defended airspace um you can be shot
1:03
down because they’re they have defensive capabilities this is why we train our pilots and certain tactics this is why
1:10
we use um you know electronic warfare uh etc to prevent from being shot down but
1:17
the there’s a difference between being engaged and um and being shot down
1:22
there’s no doubt that the Hoodi engaged F-16 and F-35 aircraft there’s no doubt that uh American aircraft had to take um
1:30
you know defensive u measures uh to avoid being shot down welcome to war um
1:36
this that this this is missing the point the point isn’t that the Hoodi engaged
1:43
F-16s and F-35s the point is that the Hoodi beat the United States that’s what
1:48
we have to let’s think strategically let’s stop getting down into the weeds i’m not picking on you but I mean this
1:54
is an absurdity um the United States entered a military
2:00
campaign let’s let’s just be fair to General Currilla and the central command
2:05
um they rightfully said uh that they needed to engage in a multi-monthlong
2:11
campaign to degrade Yemen’s air defense capabilities and to you know this this
2:16
this strategic air campaign designed to defeat Yemen um very expensive and we
2:23
would have run out of ammunition um and the political direction was no we need
2:28
to compress this into a 30-day campaign um which General Carrilla attempted to
2:34
do and we failed we didn’t defeat the Hoodi we didn’t suppress the Hoodi they continued to be able to uh not only fire
2:40
against Israel but to also threaten American shipping to include military shipping the most important thing here
2:47
is that the Hoodi uh were developing a um targeting solution for US naval uh
2:54
war um warships including the Harry S truman um we saw this played out uh in
3:02
reality when the Harry S truman had to take um uh emergency evasive action to
3:07
avoid being struck by a hoodie weapon that caused an F-18 that was being uh put into position for launch to be
3:14
thrown overboard that’s uh that means that that tells me that the Hoody
3:19
understood the window of vulnerability you know aircraft carriers when they launch aircraft when they recover
3:24
aircraft are very vulnerable because those are period of times when you can’t maneuver or you shouldn’t be maneuvering
3:30
you should be maintaining a constant heading so the airplanes can take off and airplanes can land and what it is
3:36
that the Hoodi apparently were able to understand when the United States was going to be preparing to launch or
3:43
recover aircraft and to time their attacks accordingly uh this could be fatal for the Harry S truman not only
3:49
that the Truman had run out of ammunition uh it needed to get out of dodge um there was concern that if it
3:56
went through the Sewish Canal it would be a sitting duck it is a sitting duck in the Sewish Canal um and if the the
4:01
Hoodi obviously have weapons that can reach the Suez Canal and that the Truman
4:06
very vulnerable there so it needed to um extricate itself along the coastline and
4:13
uh there was concern that the the Hoodi would be able to strike this so we
4:19
needed to save our ships this is humiliating for the United States absolutely humiliating for the
4:26
United States that’s the story the story isn’t about F-16s and F-35s the story is
4:32
that the United States Navy was not only unable to defeat uh the Hoodi the Ensura
4:40
uh but had put itself in a very exposed position where it could be subjected to
4:47
um tactical defeat the sinking of ships and the bigger story here is that if the
4:53
Hoodi can do this to the United States in the Red Sea imagine what Iran could do in the Persian Gulf or in
5:02
the in the Indian Ocean so uh this is this is a lesson learned to the United
5:08
States and hopefully it’s a u it’s a humbling experience one that we take on
5:14
board uh I don’t want to get ahead of the game but there’s so much else involved in this because this the
5:21
initiative wasn’t the United States dealing with the Hoody or the Hoody dealing with the United States maybe
5:27
pressure Miranda will correct me if I’m wrong but Iran played a very important role in this because
5:33
uh Iran is in the midst of I think what’s going to be a very successful negotiation one that could um bring in
5:42
at least potentially an end to the um threat of war between the United States and Iran but it’s a sensitive period of
5:49
negotiations that could be undermined if the United States were um humbled by
5:56
Houdi compelled to escalate to as Pete Hex the Secretary of Defense said hold
6:01
Iran accountable i mean my god we’re in the midst of negotiations with the Iranians to try and resolve a major
6:06
issue and the Secretary of Defense is talking about bombing Iran bombing Iran with what the same fleet that’s under
6:12
threat from the Hoodi i think the Iranians wisely stepped in and said “We need to deescalate this situation so
6:18
that these negotiations have a fair chance.” There’s no guaranteed outcome on these negotiations but the I’ve heard
6:26
positive things coming out of the Iranian side that I haven’t heard in a long time and I’ve heard similarly
6:31
positive things coming out from the United States and it would just be a shame that this chance for a negotiated
6:37
settlement on this major issue Iran’s nuclear program um and the potential
6:43
lifting of sanctions and and I’m not going to say normalization of relations but stabilizing relations between United
6:48
States Iran that it would be put at risk because Ensrala kicked America’s butt in
6:54
the Red Sea so I think Iran played a major role in this that’s the other aspect of the story that’s so much more
7:00
important than whether an F-16 was forced to take evasive maneuverings or an F-35 had to likewise you know fire
7:07
off chaff and flares and and um and avoid being shot down
7:16
professor Mandi go ahead your take on what Scott said
7:21
i think that um Scott is absolutely correct the uh
7:27
United States failed in the Red Sea it was a catastrophic mistake i think all
7:33
of us were uh on different programs uh saying that this will end in failure the
7:40
only people who apparently didn’t see it coming was the US government for one
7:46
reason or another um it’s important that uh in this sense
7:52
that Ansar law uh was al not only able to fire its missiles and drones and
7:59
harass the Americans they lost three F-18s for one reason or another they
8:04
lost a number of very expensive drones uh which were very key uh for their
8:10
operations but also the fact that uh F-35s in particular were threatened
8:18
uh according to the New York New York Times shows that ANSA has a a very high
8:23
degree of sophistication and if they can uh track US uh stealth uh jets then as
8:33
uh Scott was alluding to in a different way imagine what Iran can do in the Persian Gulf or the Indian Ocean or even
8:40
in the Red Sea because Iran reach Iran’s reach goes all the way to the Mediterranean and the Red Sea so I think
8:48
it is a lesson for the Americans to learn that military conflict with the
8:54
United with Iran a conventional war would would
8:59
would end in failure and from my understanding uh from the very beginning
9:06
was uh escalating was managing escalation and from my understanding
9:14
they do have the ability to strike uh the ships and to strike uh the aircraft
9:21
carrier but they chose not to use their more sophisticated weapons because they
9:27
did not want extreme escalation so uh and this is true about Hezbollah and
9:33
Lebanon as well it’s true about the axis of resistance the whole policy in
9:39
defense of the Palestinians has been uh death by a thousand cuts uh in the
9:46
sense that uh not to push too far not to push too hard uh but to keep uh the
9:53
pressure going so for example well there are capabilities that Hezbollah has that
9:58
it didn’t use for its own reasons there are capabilities that had uh that they
10:04
don’t use but um but I think it is important that the United States was forced to back down with regards to the
10:11
nuclear negotiations it’s very difficult to say what Scott says is true but it’s
10:16
true for today but you know five minutes from now we could have something on true social which is completely different um
10:23
one of the things that I find interesting which has nothing to do with Iran is the fact that Trump backed down
10:30
in the trade war against China and he effectively capitulated now that may be
10:36
a failure for for Trump but it it it does show that he has the ability
10:43
to change his position and instead of just going down a one-way street he he
10:50
has the ability to retreat now he may he’s very good at promoting himself and
10:57
he’s very good at um with the with the media so he may be able to try to create
11:03
an image for for many that he succeeded with China that’s not really the point the point is that he uh changed
11:11
direction so it is pos and the same is true with an he he said capitulated he
11:18
used that word in fact but the reality was literally the opposite but still what is important is not whether he w in
11:25
this context whether he was dishonest or not or whether he was honest or not but the fact that he was able to instead of
11:33
doubling down and going after an further or doubling down and con and continuing
11:39
with the trade war with China and bringing down probably the the the US
11:44
economy to some deep recession at least he changed course and that is possible
11:51
therefore or with Iran so when we hear some very let’s say discouraging words
11:59
from Witkov uh because Witov initially he spoke uh very positively and very
12:06
reasonably and then two things happened more recently one was he retweeted the
12:11
secretary of uh defense’s um tweet against Iran which Scott alluded to
12:17
which uh surprised many that he would retweet that uh the second was when he
12:23
did an interview with Breitbart and he said that no enrichment and that all has
12:29
to go but because of what we’re seeing
12:35
in with regards to China with and Yemen
12:41
but also some of the changes that are taking place which I don’t know really how far it’s going to go but there’s
12:47
direct negotiations with Hamas and and that sort of thing that that to me means
12:54
that it’s possible that Whit in private could be saying something else he could be more reasonable because ultimately
13:00
Iran’s not going to accept uh the shutting down of its nuclear program or
13:05
it uh enrichment uh program iran and I I
13:10
think I should point this out even though it’s not directly linked to our discussion enrichment for Iran is
13:16
important because the United States has sanctioned everything in Iran and uh even when
13:25
Trump f or I’m not sure if it was during Trump or Obama perhaps both there was a
13:30
period of time when Iran was importing gasoline and they were trying to prevent Iran from importing gasoline and so that
13:39
led to this policy in Iran that we must be uh able sort of like what Trump is
13:45
nowadays saying about the United States economy but we must become self-sufficient in certain things and
13:51
that includes the nuclear program that includes energy and that’s why Iran will
13:56
simply not compromise on enrichment but on the principle of enrichment but there
14:03
is a possibility obviously that if there is a deal Iran could uh end higher degrees of enrichment or it could it
14:10
won’t destroy any of its equipment but it could put some in uh storage or or
14:15
something like that but um but again because of some of the
14:20
things that we’ve been seeing over the past few days literally I think uh we
14:27
can I think it’s fair to say that despite some of the things that Witoff has said and done um I think it’s quite
14:35
possible that behind the scenes he’s going to be more reasonable at the negotiating table at least yeah by the
14:42
way one of the good signs Scott with Donald Trump and his attitude is the new
14:48
sort of talks between the United States and Hamas and they have achieved they
14:53
have released a prisoner in Israeli American prisoner and to show
15:01
some sort of goodwill gesture to the United States and do you find it right
15:08
now it seems that you you follow the Israeli media it seems that they’re in panic right
15:13
now what’s going on in your opinion with the case of Hamas
15:20
you know as Professor Morandi has noted give
15:25
Trump 24 hours and you’re going to have a completely different uh emotionally based um you know
15:33
foundation of American policy and then give him another 24 hours and it’s going to shift all over the place uh I can’t
15:40
explain why he does this is this strategy on his part is it uh that he’s a weak-minded individual who simply
15:47
repeats the last thing whispered into his ear uh by whatever advisers closest to him um it’s very difficult to assess
15:55
this i I’ve been trying to give Trump the benefit of the doubt i’ve spent a
16:00
lot of time trying to superimpose um strategic uh thinking on his actions
16:08
um shoehorning it in sometimes when it’s difficult to uh to do so
16:15
um I can’t it’s it’s hard i I’ll give you my take but I’m I’m prefacing by
16:21
this is very hard to do it’s very hard to understand what’s going on i think
16:27
I’m done with giving Donald Trump um grand strategic uh capacity meaning you
16:35
know I don’t view him as the you know the the the modern-day Clausowitz or Sunzu or you know masterful tactician is
16:42
Strat i view him as a very simple-minded man who um
16:49
is not able to comprehend fully the complexity of the issues he’s
16:55
articulating about uh he acts on um not on depth of understanding and knowledge
17:02
but on very shallow reasons and because he is a narcissist many of these reasons
17:07
revolve around um issues of um his ego and I think what we see with Israel
17:16
is that he feels betrayed by Benjamin Netanyahu i mean it’s as simple as if
17:21
you’ve watched The Godfather um you know Godfather 2 Michael Corleó um and Fredo
17:28
um you know and Trump has now kissed Fredo and he’s sending him out on a fishing boat and Fredo is going to get a
17:34
bullet in the back of the head that’s Netanyahu’s fate um Netanyahu may not know it right now but he messed with the
17:40
Godfather he lied to the Godfather he betrayed the Godfather he went behind the Godfather’s back he reached out to
17:46
Michael Waltz he set up a secret communication line with Michael Waltz and conspired with Michael Waltz to go
17:51
against Donald Trump’s uh policy objectives and this is unforgivable from the Donald Trump world and so now
17:57
Benjamin Yanhau is going to pay a price and this price then is is translates
18:03
into American policy one of great uh Benjamin Netanyahu’s great greatest domestic political weaknesses is the
18:09
hostage issue if you’ve been studying what’s happening in Israel you know that Netanyahu has lied to the Israeli people
18:16
from day one about the host he has no intention of letting the hostages go he will kill them all and he wants to kill
18:22
them all he is trying to kill them all he’s not trying to rescue them uh this is a man who lied to the Israeli people
18:29
tried to blame Hamas for the failure of the release of the hostages um he’s under investigation right now uh
18:36
according to a an article written by Seymour Hirs and I respect Seymour Hirs and I respect his sources you know
18:41
Netanyahu early on the Israeli forces apparently captured uh some Hamas um
18:48
internal um you know policy documents and one of them was what’s Hamas’s
18:54
posture was vis the hostages and according to this document there was some thinking on the part of some that
19:02
Senoir should take the hostages leave Gaza and take the hostages to Iran
19:07
um but what was missing is how Senoir and everybody came back and said
19:13
“No the hostages remain we will stay here in Gaza we’re not we’re not doing that.” So it was just a it was a
19:19
proposal put out by somebody it was immediately shot down uh but this document exists so what Netanyahu did is
19:25
sent one of his adviserss to this document is so secret that the Israelis refused to acknowledge it exists it’s in
19:31
a reading room in the uh Israeli intelligence headquarters um and you have to sign in you’re not allowed to
19:37
take notes you’re allowed to read the document and leave this guy went in there copied the document verbatim and
19:43
came out netanyahu released it on national TV made reference to it as if to condemn Hamas he’s now under
19:49
investigation for violating state secrets and for lying uh straight to the Israeli people this hostage issue is
19:55
emotional you have the family of the hostages recognizing that this prime minister will kill their people and so
20:03
the United States had been respectful of Netanyahu’s policy prerogatives because of course uh the Trump administration
20:09
has you know staffed itself with more pro-Israeli Zionists per square inch than any other administration um but
20:17
that doesn’t mean that Donald Trump is a pro-Israeli Zionist it means he’s a politician who understands the
20:23
importance of the pro-Israeli lobby and facilitating his victory etc but when
20:29
Netanyahu lied to him Trump now has the the the weapons he has how do you
20:35
demonstrate the weakness of Benjamin Netanyahu and uh how he blames Hamas
20:40
what Trump did is he said “I’ll negotiate direct with Hamas and I’ll get the American freed.” And it happened
20:48
boom which proves all at once all Netanyahu had to agree to is negotiations and he could get the
20:54
hostages freed that the problem isn’t Hamas the problem is Netanyahu now Netanyahu has a huge political problem
20:59
and that’s what Trump wants and now Netanyahu is desperate he’s panicking he’s talking about an all-out war on
21:06
Gaza i can’t predict like like Professor Morani said “Wait 24 hours who knows
21:11
what Trump’s going to tweet or post on Truth Social.” But I would I will say this uh Trump has said that he the
21:18
United States will not support further military operations in the Gaza and if Netanyahu seeks to do that we may be
21:24
looking at a strategic break with Israel a strategic break not because it’s the
21:30
policy of the United States because Michael Corleion has decided to put a bullet in the back of Fredo’s head as
21:36
long as Netanyahu is the prime minister of Israel and if he does things that are against what Donald Trump wants there
21:42
will be a price to be paid you know Netanyahu is talking about you know detoxing Israel from um American
21:50
security good luck with that BB uh we run your damn country we own your
21:55
country this is what I’ve said all along everybody’s like “Israel owns America.” I said “No it doesn’t not even close we
22:01
own Israel israel can’t do anything without us and if Netanyahu wants to try to be independent to he’s betting on
22:08
support from uh an American establishment that isn’t going to go
22:14
against Donald Trump on this one uh Donald Trump has made some choices i don’t know how far this is going to go
22:20
like you said Marco Rubio could come whisper in his ear tomorrow and Trump’s gonna you know Benjamin Netanyahu is the
22:26
greatest person in the world i love him like a brother he’s great then the next day Witco comes in and tells him
22:31
something benjamin Daniel is the scum of the earth he should be shot on site who knows what this manchild who is the
22:37
president of the United States is going to do because that’s what he is a manchild this isn’t an adult this is a
22:43
manchild with adult-like capability this is the danger of giving a 5-year-old kid a loaded pistol um and and that’s what
22:51
we’ve done by electing this man as our president this is an embarrassment i have never been more embarrassed in my
22:56
life than the performance of this president because it’s not the performance of a rational actor it’s a
23:02
performance of a narcissist egoomania egoomaniac who puts his own
23:07
personal interests ahead of the nation that he’s supposed to lead but when it comes to Gaza and when it comes to
23:15
Hamas I mean how do we assess this i mean you want me to say something like “It’s amazing that the United States is
23:21
now negotiating directly with Hamas.” Well it is amazing that we’re doing that i agree but what does it mean is it
23:28
reflective of a strategic shift that says we now recognize Hamas as a
23:34
legitimate political body within the Palestinian uh nation uh and when Trump
23:39
says maybe he’ll talk to the Saudis about recognizing the a Palestinian
23:44
state that Hamas will be part of that governing authority because that goes directly against every pronouncement ever made by Trump about
23:51
Hamas so is this formal policy or is this just the manchild doing something
23:57
to get revenge on Netanyahu it’s impossible for me to say at this juncture
24:03
professor Miranda your take on Hamas
24:08
i just wanted to explain something that Scott said i think that document if I’m
24:14
not mistaken uh was misused by
24:21
uh Netanyahu and his team and misinterpreted for the public to to
24:27
imply that uh uh the martyr Yahinir wanted to leave and take them uh
24:35
take the the the prisoners with him but in reality was saying something
24:40
different he wanted to imply that it was his that but uh but I I think it’s I
24:46
think what Scott is saying is is absolutely correct but again as he also
24:51
pointed out we don’t know what’s going to happen in a few hours from now we don’t know what Trump is going to post
24:57
on truth social even if for example we do have a nuclear deal with the United
25:02
States it wouldn’t be the JCPOA because uh I was saying today to someone it
25:07
would have to be the JCPOA plus us in the sense that it would have to recognize Iran’s technological
25:14
advancements over the last few years because it came at a great price scientists were martyed and Iran was
25:20
under sanctions and Americans are not going to compensate for that and also it’s going to have to end the loopholes
25:26
that existed in the original JCPOA where which Obama used to cheat Iran and so
25:32
did Trump until he tore up the deal uh the United States whenever would cheat Iran there were no consequences for for
25:40
uh for their actions they they paid no political price let alone any other price uh so the the a potential nuclear
25:49
deal if we ever get there and that’s not for certain of course uh would be substantially different from the JCPO it
25:56
have to be be under it would have to be more it would have to take these issues into account but even if we do have a
26:03
deal with the United States the problem goes back again to what Scott was saying and that is you sign a deal
26:10
hypothetically and then tomorrow you have something on truth social which completely negates everything and says
26:16
well no I don’t like this deal and uh and we’re going to have to do something
26:22
else so it makes working with the United States uh very very difficult i don’t want to
26:28
say impossible because I don’t want to you know rule out any success uh it just
26:35
it just shows how complicated it is even the negotiations with China what Trump did was he he went back
26:44
to where the United States was before liberation day uh we have the same
26:50
tariffs uh that existed back then the only difference now is that a lot of
26:55
besides the fact that a lot of damage has been caused but also uh there’s now
27:01
a three-month period where the two sides have to negotiate and during these three months business people uh don’t really
27:09
don’t know what to do they won’t know to p whether to purchase goods to move their factories to invest not to invest
27:16
because there’s always there will be this sense of um un you know it’s
27:22
ambiguous where things will be uh in the in the weeks and months ahead it’s unclear uh and I think that that’s a a
27:30
problem that we’re going to face with the United States in Iran it’s a problem that Ansarah will have to face it’s I if
27:37
I was an law which I’m I’m sure they would right now they’re
27:43
uh upgrading their military capabilities are bringing in new weapons they’re
27:48
developing new technology why because we don’t know and they don’t know definitely what’s going to happen in the
27:54
weeks ahead so this is the problem with Trump they uh his his supporters call it
28:01
strategic uncertainty but I I think it’s more the manchild definition i think the
28:08
manchild definition of Scott is more accurate i think it this is more it’s more more of chaos than anything else
28:15
and this is something that we’re going to have to deal with not just Iran the the Russians i mean one one other very
28:23
interesting thing has been how Trump has sort of evolved uh over the past few
28:28
months over with regards to Russia he could have on day one ended the war
28:34
because he had momentum he had won all the swing states he he won the popular vote and he said during his campaign
28:42
that he’s going to end the war he could have stopped it he could have given the Russians the key concessions that they
28:47
needed russians probably would have given him some concessions to to get this over with but he he would have had
28:54
to give most most of what Russia wanted and then it would have been over but he
29:02
didn’t do that and now he’s gradually not completely but he’s sometimes he’s
29:07
sounding more like Biden uh nowadays now he’s not he’s not Biden he’s not there
29:13
but we but Kellogg obviously he’s seems to be as as if he’s a Biden uh employee
29:21
uh so so the point is that we don’t know where Trump is going to be on Russia on
29:26
Ukraine uh where he’s going to be on China where he’s going to be on global
29:31
trade where he’s going to be on uh Iran uh Yemen Palestine in the weeks ahead
29:39
everything is ambiguous this in my opinion is actually in the long run
29:45
beneficial to countries like Iran because this uncertainty is is causing countries to start to make
29:54
increasingly think about making decisions and excluding the United States now of course the the trade war
30:02
itself was an incentive for this and other issues also created this incentive
30:07
the sanctions and so on but I think that this this chaos in Washington is a
30:14
further ca another catalyst that will push the global majority the global
30:19
south perhaps some in Europe who knows to uh to
30:26
rethink their place in the global order and I think that’s going to speeden the
30:33
tilt away from the United States scott how much you’ve mentioned the
30:39
recognition of a Palestinian state how much of a game game changer that would
30:44
be if the United States under the Trump administration decides to do that
30:50
we come to the problem decides to do what i mean today he
30:55
says you know he’s in Saudi Arabia right now who knows today tomorrow he and the
31:01
Saudis may sit down and and get the grand bargain that that some people are talking about where Saudi Arabia says
31:07
“We will recognize the state of Israel we will normalize relations with the state of Israel which is the fulfillment
31:13
of the Abrams accord.” Um in exchange for Trump saying “I recognize a
31:19
Palestinian state a two-state solution.” Okay and then the next day when Hamas
31:25
says “Well we’re ready.” and he goes “Well no Hamas doesn’t get to uh doesn’t get to participate in this.” Well how
31:31
can you talk about a Palestinian state without Hamas they haven’t been beaten you know there sort of if there was an
31:37
election you believe in democracy don’t you Mr president i mean we hear JD Vance and everybody else talking to the Europeans shame on you Europe for not
31:44
being a good free democratic society is suppressing AFD suppressing Marina Le Pen suppressing Georgescu in Romania you
31:52
guys aren’t democratic at all but we’re going to suppress the hell out of Hamas because we don’t respect the Palestinian
31:58
people we don’t respect their ability to choose their leader this is what happens when you
32:05
have a man who knows nothing about anything making policy decisions about
32:11
some of the most complex issues there are out there is there a solution to the Hamas issue yes china’s been working on
32:18
one russia’s been working on it they’ve brought people I think it was 14 different factions together to try and
32:24
come up with some sort of singularity that included Hamas but wasn’t called Hamas um and Hamas was part of that
32:30
discussion why doesn’t the United States respect this why does why don’t we participate in that ask to be briefed on
32:37
that um help facilitate that so when we sit down with the Saudis we say “We could support a Palestinian state but we
32:45
need the Chinese model of governance here.” Um gee that would imply that you actually know something about the
32:51
problem and you’re prepared to come up with a solution but Trump is just simply he hasn’t reversed any of the policy
32:57
statements he made about Hamas hasn’t reversed a single one we’re negotiating with them although supposedly we don’t
33:03
negotiate with terrorists but I’m I’m you know we’ll let that one slide for a moment because America’s always negotiated with terrorists or what we
33:10
call terrorists um but what is the policy on Hamas because you can’t talk
33:15
about a Palestinian state unless you have a policy on Hamas uh a two-state solution implies there will be a
33:21
Palestinian government if there’s an election today the Palestinian people would vote overwhelmingly for Hamas how
33:28
do we handle that um so I don’t know it
33:33
I’m I’m at wits in because for a 100 days I called a truce and you know this
33:40
Nemo you know that I did this you know that I did my very best to be fair
33:46
towards the Trump administration to give the Trump administration a chance to act out on the you know policies that Trump
33:55
was articulating during the campaign for Trump to build a team uh capable of
34:01
fulfilling these campaign promises turning them into you know policy that can be implemented and it was very
34:08
difficult um you know watching Trump move forward on this because it just
34:13
vacasillated day Russia I mean professor Mariah is
34:19
right he’s all over the map on Russia the jackalinhide nature of the
34:24
Trump administration’s playing itself out and that according to the latest news Steve Woodoff and Keith Kellogg are
34:32
both going to be in Istanbul as observers
34:37
Um but I mean this is literally you know two-face that character from from Batman
34:44
you know one face is good one face is ugly and which face are we going to get are we getting both
34:50
faces this is stupidity stupidity it shows immaturity first of all Marco
34:55
Rubio should say “No I am going to be there.” Or if you’re going to pick a
35:00
special envoy pick one tell the world where you stand but this this notion
35:06
that Trump’s a genius Trump’s a master he’s sending Whit and Kellogg in so that
35:12
the Ukrainians the Russians the Turks and everybody have no idea what he’s doing that’s because Trump has no idea
35:18
what he’s doing because Trump isn’t a leader enough to tell Keith Kellogg sit down and shut up if you ever open your
35:24
mouth again while I’m having a guy speak about Russian policy which Kellogg has done repeatedly repeatedly trump will
35:31
have Witoff or somebody make a statement about the progress made and Kellogg shows up on TV and says something that
35:37
undermines everything now either Trump wants that to happen
35:44
or Trump isn’t a strong enough leader to fire Kell because that’s firing offense
35:49
any other administration Kellogg would be fired for that any other administration Kellogg would be fired
35:55
for that because that’s stabbing the president in the back trump is now rewarding this man by sending him uh
36:02
with co-equal status with Steve Witco who is the problem solver which tells me that Trump doesn’t want to solve the
36:08
problem that Trump’s there to muddy the waters um does Trump want a solution
36:14
does he want a p I don’t think Trump knows what he wants i think Trump is scared this is where I personally stand
36:19
the manchild is scared he he doesn’t understand the complexities of this problem and so what he’s going to do is
36:27
sabotage the process so that there’s failure so he can walk away that’s what I think
36:34
Trump wants because he’s not a leader he’s not a man of courage he’s a coward
36:41
who has gotten himself into a situation that’s outside his capacity to understand and he’s going to withdraw
36:47
from it and I’m concerned that this could be a p you know because quitters
36:54
that’s that’s a pattern of behavior and Donald Trump’s a quitter when it comes to these decisive issues i’m worried
36:59
about the Iran negotiations because there will come a time if this thing is going to reach fruition donald Trump is
37:05
going to have to give his stamp of approval on some very bold
37:11
um conclusions that give Iran capabilities that Trump is on record
37:16
saying he will never allow Israel definitely won’t allow this uh or doesn’t want it um and does Trump have
37:22
the courage to actually say yes this is what I stand for etc or as Professor
37:27
Miranda said will somebody sign a document and the next day when everybody starts attacking Trump does the manchild
37:33
get his feelings hurt and come out and say something completely different um it’s impossible impossible at this
37:41
juncture to speak responsibly about Donald Trump and foreign policy because we just don’t know what this man’s going
37:47
to do yeah Professor Mandi Donald Trump called the Iranian negotiators as
37:55
intelligent and what does he mean and what is the outcome of the latest talks
38:02
between Iran and the United States we know that the foreign minister of Iran said that was difficult but useful what
38:10
does that mean to you it’s very difficult to say Nemo i I uh
38:17
on the one hand as as we were discussing earlier Wickoff right before the latest
38:23
round he made some statements that uh were unacceptable to the Iranians the
38:29
Iranian foreign minister responded basically saying that if this continues that we’re going to go make similar
38:36
public statements as well and then right after the negotiations we see Trump making this
38:44
sort of statement and others making similar statements uh which raise questions if if Wickoff was
38:52
insisting at the negotiating cap well they’re indirect talks of course but if if Witoff was insisting that there’s
38:58
going to be no enrichment then I think that that would have led to the talks
39:05
ending or at least the two sides would have just been sending messages back and forth
39:11
uh that would not change anything so
39:17
possibly Whit at uh in Oman was not saying the same thing that he was saying
39:24
to Breitbart and that he was being more flexible but difficult i’m just guessing
39:31
this is you know the the taxi driver outside you
39:36
know driving by our house his guess is as good as mine but my my guess would be
39:43
that Witco is what he’s saying in Oman is not the exact thing that he said to
39:51
Breitbart can Can I just jump in with my taxi cab version of this um imagine me being a uh
39:59
Iranian cab driver right now first of all don’t get in my cab because I don’t know the city well enough and we’ll just get lost um but if you want to ask me
40:07
about the nuclear pro I would say this the third round one of the interesting
40:12
ways that it was described was that they were beginning to have technical
40:17
discussions you don’t have technical discussions about broad policy issues technical discussions come when you
40:23
start talking about brass tax in terms of monitoring regime of a nuclear
40:29
enrichment program uh and Wickoff was part of that this happened before he
40:35
made the statements and when they left the when they left the third round both
40:40
sides were optimistic they’re like “Okay things things are happening.” Then Wickoff said what he said i think that’s
40:47
because Trump came under a lot of pressure from Israel and I think that Wickoff’s statements were directly
40:52
linked to the Israeli government’s uh posture now that Trump’s had his um spat
40:58
with um Netanyahu um we’re now moving into a fourth round of negotiations and
41:05
again uh the technical aspect is very much part of this so and I think
41:12
Witoff has come out and said some things just this morning uh where he said that
41:18
um the key thing is that Iran will not have a nuclear weapons
41:23
program that’s saying that Iran will have a nuclear energy program a nuclear
41:29
enrichment program um so I I I think that the Trump administration has made
41:36
decisions uh that say no we we are going to have a deal if a deal can be
41:41
finalized uh that’s premised on Iran retaining nuclear enrichment now once
41:48
once you accept that that’s the big hurdle for the United States now it
41:53
comes down to how do we build a nuclear enrichment program that gives Iran what
42:00
it wants while providing political cover from us meaning that so that we can go out and explain to people how this is
42:06
not a nuclear weapons program um and that’s where they’re at right now that’s
42:11
complicated it’s difficult but that ain’t nearly as difficult as overcoming that first hurdle because as profess
42:18
professor morane said if the going in position United States is no enrichment then there is no need to further these
42:24
discussions so obviously I believe the United States Steve Witco has made a decision that we are looking for a deal
42:30
that includes enrichment and um I’m very very very um pleased by this because
42:37
this is exactly what needs to happen to resolve this issue but let’s look at Russia witkov came out of discussions
42:44
with the Russians saying “I fully understand the Russian position i understand what the Russians are talking
42:50
about in terms of territory i understand we we know what the Russian position is.” And believe me Professor Morande
42:57
makes it out clear that the Iranian position is non-negotiable the Russian position is
43:03
equally non-negotiable and so when Witco comes in and tells the president what the Russian position is and reflects the
43:10
reality that it’s non-negotiable and then the president turns around allows Steve Kellogg to articulate things are the exact opposite
43:16
of what the Russian position is imply that that is American policy when the president speaks about Europe as if the
43:22
European uh disagreements with Russia are valid and and carry weight that means that whatever WhitF said whatever
43:29
he negotiated ready to discuss with the Russians doesn’t matter in the mind of the manchild which means that whatever
43:37
WhitF comes out of in these discussions with Iran they could come out with the
43:42
perfect deal in fact is I have enough faith and confidence in Steve Whit and
43:47
his Iranian counterparts that they that they can craft a deal that is
43:53
workable can the manchild can the manchild um accept this can he can he
43:59
withstand the criticism that’s always going to be the big question not the quality of the deal the deal is going to
44:04
be a good deal if they can finish this the question is what is the manchild going to do when people start attacking him is he gonna throw a temper tantrum
44:11
start crying start complaining to mommy um and and and then say “No no no i
44:16
reject that i’m taking my ball and I’m going home.” Yeah I I I agree with Scott that by the
44:24
way that the Russians are not going to give any serious concessions to the West but if if Trump on day one had made the
44:32
decision to accept uh President Putin’s demands President Putin could have made it easier for him
44:38
on smaller issues to to make to give him to make it easier for him to convince the public even though he had a mandate
44:45
back then and he could have done it anyway but he could have given it him uh something to make it easier but now uh
44:53
what we’re what’s what’s pro probably going to happen is that we’re going to have a war where the Russian they where
44:59
the Russians uh go further and perhaps go all the way to Adessa and it’s and if
45:05
there is going to be a deal it’s going to be uh more difficult for Trump to
45:11
convince his the public the the elites because he’s lost that momentum and the
45:16
Russians are going to make bigger demands because if they take more territory and they lose more men and uh
45:24
then they go back to the negotiating table it’s not going to be like what it was a few weeks ago or a few a couple of
45:30
months ago there are a number of things here that I find interesting but I don’t
45:36
have any they don’t necessarily uh help me reach a conclusion
45:41
possibly one of the reasons why we see that this round of negotiations has been
45:47
more positive than expected
45:53
uh which again doesn’t mean that we’re going to have a deal but at this stage it it seems to because a lot of people
45:59
were saying well after what Wikov said then there’s there’s not not going to be any progress may have to do with the fact
46:07
that Trump is deeply irritated or angry with Netanyahu or even further than that
46:15
that as Scott is implying but then again if that changes that could mean
46:23
that US policy with regards to the negotiations would change too so it’s
46:31
unclear again it goes back to what I was saying about China trump basically when he when he
46:39
made this move everyone was wondering it was a very daring move in my opinion a
46:45
very foolish move but a very daring move but he retreated you know very no one was
46:53
expecting this agreement to take place with the Chinese so swiftly everyone was
46:58
saying well they’re going to speak and then we’ll have to see what happens and then we saw you know they they literally
47:04
announced a deal well not a provisional deal or a deal of sorts because they as I said they went back to where they were
47:11
before liberation day and this is going to be a 3-month process and who what’s
47:16
who knows what’s going to happen then but the point is that
47:23
um this does show as I said earlier that Trump is
47:28
flexible china uh for example the Ansar law but and it it does show possibly
47:37
that his flexibility towards Ansar Hamas and Iran has is is possible and that it
47:45
may be linked to Netanyahu uh it probably is linked to his relationship with Netanyahu but I
47:52
can’t say for certain but all of this can be reversed just like the talks with China can be reversed just like Russia
48:00
we already seen that they’ve been reversed russia the the war in Ukraine
48:06
had a solution and now we are miles away from that solution and we may not have a
48:12
solution anytime soon this year may be a year of war and again who knows maybe
48:18
Trump will shift course on Ukraine tomorrow it’s so so confusing and it
48:26
makes me more cautious than ever before to talk about anything because you don’t
48:32
I’d always get things wrong and now I’m sure I’m going to get things wrong but uh but the the war in Ukraine is for me
48:41
at this stage a very bad sign of of of of what can happen because it was a a it
48:51
it could have had a good decent ending and now it’s going to possibly have a
48:59
very bloody ending on the other hand you have China which was going to lead us to a global
49:07
economic catastrophe which was which we still were going are going to see the
49:13
consequences in the coming weeks according to economists uh but he was able to shift
49:20
uh policy and decrease uh the damage who knows
49:26
what’s going to happen with with the ne with the nuclear program is it going to go down the Ukraine Russia road or is it
49:34
going to go down the uh US uh China road
49:40
which all of these could change by the way tomorrow but I’m what I’m saying is that we’re seeing a lot of
49:46
unpredictability and things that we were hoping or expecting to happen did not happen it did not materialize in Ukraine
49:53
and things that we did not expect to turn in a positive way at least with with China it did happen so what does
49:59
that mean for the nuclear deal the good thing the good news is that the Iranian
50:07
side knows the the details of of the nuclear program and and I’m sure I don’t
50:14
know who Trump is using or who Witoff is using for his
50:19
negotiations the nuclear program has been negotiated many times
50:25
most recently it was negotiated in depth with between Dr uh Bogari who was a
50:32
deputy foreign minister and head of the file and they almost had a deal with the P4 plus1 with the Americans you know
50:39
guiding the Europeans from behind in Vienna we almost had a
50:44
deal dr adchi was the deputy of Dr zadif he was he knows exactly what’s going on
50:50
so at even though there’s a lot of details and there are lots of
50:57
complexities it would if the two sides want to have a deal uh and I’m sure the
51:02
Iranians want to with within the framework of their principles if there is the will to have a deal it is
51:09
achievable uh more swiftly than before because
51:14
everything has been every everything is is known all the roots have been explored all the debate have been taking
51:21
have taken place in the past so it doesn’t have to be something that goes on for for many months and uh and and
51:29
just drag on but and so that is the good news but the the problem is that for
51:36
Trump it can be hours literally hours truth so on Truth Social he says
51:42
something and everything changes i I’ll just throw this in there
51:47
i think the good news for the Iranian program is that Iran has mature leadership that is
51:55
sincerely looking out for the vested interest of the Iranian nation the Iranian people and that they recognize
52:03
that war or a path towards war is not um is not a solution that finding a path
52:10
towards peace is the solution and so I think they’ll be far more tolerant of um
52:16
the inconsistencies of the American uh Trump administration um and I say the
52:23
same thing about China very mature leadership uh they don’t want a devastating trade war with the United
52:29
States that doesn’t meet China’s goals and objectives at all um and I think the
52:34
Chinese are going to show a lot more maturity and patience with uh the
52:41
tempestuous uh nature of Trump russia has shown extreme patience with with
52:48
with Trump um the problem though is that Trump isn’t dealing with Russia alone
52:54
you have Zalinsky who is just a failure of a leader who doesn’t care about his people and um is is negotiating as a
53:03
tool of Europe and Europe is in a in a very compromised position um where they
53:10
are committed to the strategic defeat of Russia and they’re not willing to back down from that position even though it’s
53:15
unattainable uh their committ I thought when you meant compromise you were talking about the train u issue
53:25
i mean um if if the European media is not going to go crazy about you know the
53:30
possibility of their u senior leadership um stimulating themselves artificially
53:37
then you know maybe that’s the norm uh in in Europe i don’t know um but the the
53:44
fact is Europe I mean Europe is not a a a partner in this process
53:53
europe is a is a disruptor and Trump has allowed Europe Trump could have cut
53:58
Europe out in a heartbeat i mean just sliced them right off and said you’re just not a factor in any of this um but
54:05
Trump has brought them in and allowed them to inject themselves even today as before we came on i still have to figure
54:10
out what it what it meant but Kellogg is now saying “Yeah America may support the
54:15
deployment of European troops into uh Ukraine.” What part of dead European
54:21
troops don’t you understand and this is why Kellogg should be permanently silenced or fired let him if he wants to
54:28
speak let him go on Fox News as a private citizen and say what Steve Kellogg wishes would happen but as long
54:35
as he’s a special envoy I mean this directly contradicts what Donald Trump has already said on this issue it
54:42
directly contradicts what the Secretary of Defense has said on this issue and now Steve Kag’s out there uh you know
54:49
articulating policy at a very critical
54:54
time do you want to sabotage any potential of a peace negotiation say
54:59
that it’s America’s position that Europeans once you get this magical mythical 30-day ceasefire that European
55:06
peacekeepers will deploy west of the Neper River russia will say no they won’t therefore they won’t be it’s
55:13
sabotaging this this is why I think this is deliberate by Trump he is afraid
55:21
of getting the peace that could happen because it requires him to concede to
55:27
Russia things that once they’re conceded will open him up for attack in Europe
55:32
and here at the United States and Trump isn’t man enough to take that attack a true leader would absorb that attack go
55:38
on national TV and explain to the American people why he did what he did trump is a manchild and a manchild can
55:44
just have a temper tantrum and um and and and run to his room and and hide that’s Donald Trump and that’s why there
55:52
won’t be peace in uh in Ukraine and I agree with Professor Morande there if you want to ask me to commit to this
55:57
there nothing will come out of out of uh Istanbul on Thursday except this the
56:03
Russians will leave knowing there is no path towards peace this is such a
56:09
clarifying moment for the Russians and a necessary moment for the Russians and
56:14
again I don’t want to predict the future but if I were the Russians I would come back from that and say since there is no
56:20
path for peace what we’re seeing is the United States and Europe and Ukraine
56:25
buying time to rebuild military capacity uh to put us in a weakened position that
56:31
we have never been stronger than we are right now so right now is the moment to
56:36
exploit our strength and change the strategic dynamic of this conflict by
56:43
maybe transitioning from a special military operation to an active state of war that puts Kiev under the firing line
56:50
etc but do something to break this this this this paradigm that exists right now
56:55
russia is winning a war of attrition but a war of attrition is a very bloody thing for both sides russia’s winning
57:03
but it’s sustainability over time especially if the United States and Europe are trying to you know boost
57:10
Ukrainian killing capacity um why would Russia want to do that so I think Russia
57:16
is going to leave this with more clarity about what needs to be done and I think this summer we’re going to see the
57:22
nature of the conflict in Ukraine change dramatically it’ll be horrible it’ll be
57:29
bloody uh there it it you know it will be awful uh but it’s the only way Russia
57:35
is going to bring an end to this conflict this war will end on terms dictated to Ukraine by Russia and the
57:42
United States and NATO will be outside looking in we’re not going to be a part of how this conflict terminates
57:49
so if we take Scott’s logic and put it to what’s going on in in the region I I
57:56
agree i I think the way things are going Russia will have no option but to
58:02
mobilize and it’s already mobilized it’s it’s preparing itself for a summer offensive uh they will have to they will
58:10
probably take a very different route they will hit hard and they will start
58:15
pressing forward and that could break the back or probably will break the back of the Ukrainian army but the casualties
58:22
will be huge they will be it will be very very bloody and it will be like an
58:29
earthquake uh for European politics and for for the
58:34
world because uh and this could have been stopped it could have been prevented 2 three months ago but if we
58:40
take this logic and go back come back to the region that should make us very
58:45
cautious about the future because if if the Europeans and Zalinski and the deep
58:51
state let’s call it the deep state in Europe and the United States don’t want
58:57
peace in Ukraine then imagine how the neocons Zionists
59:04
Netanyahu and the these forces uh will be working to undermine any any degree
59:11
of raproma between Iran and the United States any decreasing intentions because ultimately the problem in the region
59:18
between Iran and the United States is not about the nuclear program it’s not about terrorism it’s not about human
59:25
rights it’s not about children’s rights it’s not about global warming it’s about Israel and so the nuclear program is one
59:34
of the key tools used by Iran’s antagonists Iran’s opponents to put
59:41
pressure on the country because of Iran support for the Palestinian cause you don’t see Turkey sanctioned you don’t
59:47
see uh Doha or Qatar sanctioned you don’t see any of these countries sanctioned because none of them are are
59:53
are really the governments are are sincerely working to the to the
1:00:00
detriment of uh the Israeli regime or in in prison may maybe to the detriment of
1:00:06
politician but not to the the regime itself iran has been targeted and put
1:00:12
under maximum pressure and and maximum sanctions and and threatened and
1:00:18
antagonized and you know regime change operations have been
1:00:24
carried out and terrorist attacks have been carried out because of Israel so when you have this degree of
1:00:32
antagonism then the negotiations uh that take place in Oman or with Oman
1:00:39
present in if it’s at an Oban Omani embassy somewhere in Europe they’re very
1:00:46
vulnerable and the same is true with the ceasefire between the United States
1:00:52
and the Yemen armed forces too and the same is true with regards to Hamas i
1:00:58
think Scott alluded to this earlier that yes it is a big shift that the United
1:01:04
States is directly negotiating with Hamas this time around they didn’t back off or they didn’t back down when the
1:01:11
Israelis found out and started putting pressure on them but that doesn’t mean
1:01:16
that the United States next week is going to continue down the road of this
1:01:22
what appears to be some sort of policy change it could just simply be a blip on the radar we don’t know i personally
1:01:30
believe though this is the only prediction that I can make i think that the United
1:01:36
States is going to continue to decline i think the way in which the trade war is
1:01:42
being engineered is to the detriment of the United States i think although Trump
1:01:47
made a smart move to retreat but I think that the momentum he he’s he’s put
1:01:52
things into motion across the world that will not be good for the United States
1:01:58
the fact that China was able to force Trump to go to the day before uh
1:02:04
liberation day is going to embolden all those countries who are going to sit down with Americans and negotiate over
1:02:11
tariffs because all of them will see that China literally got what it wanted so now we can do the same they’re going
1:02:18
to be a they’re going to have more cards to play with than China did i think in because of because of what China
1:02:26
did on the other hand the war in Ukraine is going to have very negative
1:02:31
consequences for the United States and for Europe it’s going to be very bad and
1:02:36
very bloody if this if they don’t quickly shift gear so we’re this year is
1:02:42
going to be a very important year 2025 and I think that Iran while it is going
1:02:48
to hope for the best and work for the best but it’s going to be preparing itself for the worst iran is going is
1:02:55
going to as my understanding is that Iran is preparing itself for some sort of military confrontation with the
1:03:01
United States that doesn’t mean it’s going to happen i’m not saying that but it is preparing itself i don’t believe
1:03:07
there’s going to be war between Iran and the United States the United States does not have that ability it’s the world has
1:03:13
changed the United States would have to bring in a million and a half people you know 1990 that sort of thing but much
1:03:20
bigger but the world has changed the US economy has changed Iran has changed everything has changed Iran’s relations
1:03:27
soon president we now hear that uh the Russian president Putin is coming to
1:03:33
Iran Iran the Iranian president is going to go on a state visit to China shortly
1:03:40
and then he’s going to go there again for the I think the Shanghai cooperation organization things have changed and so
1:03:49
in the region the Israelis they’re they’re much diminished i’m not saying they’re going to fall apart tomorrow but
1:03:55
they’re much diminished things are not looking good for the United States economically militarily public diplomacy
1:04:02
wise when it comes to Gaza the world blames the West uh this year is going to be a very key year I think in in in in
1:04:11
contemporary history because so many things are in play but the Iranians are preparing themselves they the Iranians
1:04:17
are not going to be the ones to leave the negotiating they will even though it’s in direct talks but the the
1:04:23
negotiating table is something that the Iranians are sitting at for two reasons one is in the
1:04:30
hope that there will be a deal a decent deal where Iran’s rights are respected and Iran will continue with its peaceful
1:04:37
nuclear program and there will be a decrease in tensions but the second path
1:04:42
is confrontation or at least a continuation of what we have today where Trump constantly threatens Iran but I
1:04:50
think there is also possibility of the United States carrying out strikes against Iran which I think would not end
1:04:56
well for the United States i don’t think it will end well for Israel but Trump could be pushed into doing this uh who
1:05:04
knows he after all he murdered General Solmani and uh I think it’s I I I’ve
1:05:11
never really heard the story but ever since he said that Netanyahu pulled out
1:05:17
at the last moment and that sort of thing the first time I heard that I think it it for me it was clear that
1:05:24
this that the Israeli regime pushed him into And this is something that could happen
1:05:29
again in future so again I I sorry I mean all I’ve been saying during this
1:05:36
hour or so of of the discussion is I don’t know i don’t know what’s going to
1:05:42
happen uh but I think Iran is going to continue to negotiate until we get a
1:05:48
deal or until the United States chooses to discontinue with the negotiations
1:05:53
yeah Nema you need to name this program i don’t know because I think that’s uh the the the mutual conclusion
1:06:00
is when it comes to Trump I don’t know who does not even Trump not even I don’t
1:06:07
think Trump knows I I ag I I I agree 100% i do not think that the people
1:06:13
around Trump can predict what he’s going to do and I don’t think Trump knows what he’s going to do no I’m not saying he’s
1:06:20
completely mad i’m not saying it’s complete chaos but I do think that’s who he is i think he I don’t think he knows
1:06:27
what he’s going to do i I think this is not strategic uh uncertainty as they
1:06:33
like to see it i do think it is chaos now whether it’s the the you know what some have said and Scott alluded to that
1:06:39
whether it’s the last person who speaks to him has the greatest influence i don’t know how it works i’m sure it’s
1:06:45
many things together but whatever it is when whatever these factors are that
1:06:51
make Trump who he is and what he is it just makes it very difficult uh to to
1:06:58
predict the future but one thing as I as I said earlier and I’m repeating myself but I think it’s important one thing
1:07:04
that it will do for certain is it is that it will make countries think about
1:07:10
their relationships with one another without the United States this is going
1:07:15
to strengthen the bond between Iran and Russia Russia and China it is even going
1:07:20
to raise questions in capitals of countries like India about the United
1:07:26
States because if you don’t know what the person who who you’re dealing with is going to do tomorrow that makes it
1:07:32
better for you to think about at least having other options too and I may I I
1:07:38
would like to add even though this is not it’s being discussed this brief conflict between India and Pakistan
1:07:44
which I hope never happens again because uh war is not to the benefit of either
1:07:50
side both sides have you know their media has been saying a lot of nonsense and exaggerating
1:07:56
uh the only thing that came out of this I don’t think the Indians did much damage to Pakistan I don’t think the
1:08:02
Pakistanis did much damage to the Indians in fact I think both of them were exaggerating but and they were
1:08:08
being careful even though people were killed but what did come out of this is
1:08:13
that Chinese military products have shown themselves to be better than
1:08:21
people thought and that they did better than the French uh and European weapons
1:08:26
that were being used by India and I think that too is something that people
1:08:32
are going to calculate in the months in just like Deep Seek we were being told
1:08:37
that yeah the Chinese can make good cell phones and they can do this but you know the creativity is in the United States
1:08:44
and then suddenly I I use DeepSeek i don’t use anything else i mean they’re better than the other ones at for the
1:08:50
time being so Deepseek changed my and
1:08:56
the perception of many and of course it caused a huge
1:09:01
uh fall in the stock market in the United States but I think that while you
1:09:06
know the the fact that these French uh jets advanced we jets were down by not
1:09:13
so new Chinese jets and and missiles I think that is significant as well and
1:09:19
all of these combined what what’s happening in Ukraine the the genocide in
1:09:25
Gaza the ongoing genocide in Gaza uh the uh the trade war not just with China but
1:09:32
with the world and the the you know the the fact that China has emerged as
1:09:38
capable we lost Nema the China that uh the fact that China has emerged
1:09:44
technologically capable not just in AI but in with regards to its military uh
1:09:50
defense capabilities i think this is all going to have to be factored in and will be factored in by politicians across the
1:09:58
world yep you’re going to have to go i guess I got I gota I gotta pretend that I’m Nema
1:10:04
there Nema’s back okay Nema we hijacked your
1:10:10
show we’re going to call call it the Scott Muhammad show but you know we’re
1:10:16
done we solved actually we came up with global solutions and we articulated it quite well yeah you missed it all
1:10:25
you missed i think by the way I think Scott what professor Mirandi just said is so much important for the foreign
1:10:32
policy of the United States he mentioned Vladimir Putin going to be in Iran talking with Iranian leadership and
1:10:38
Iranian president going to China i would wonder what would that mean for the
1:10:44
United States in the Middle East do they really want to be on the part of Israel do they really want to reconsider their
1:10:51
policy in the long term this is huge and what’s happening right now between even
1:10:59
between Saudi Arabia and Iran and what’s going on it’s so much important in my
1:11:05
opinion in the eyes of Donald Trump and his administration how is that going to be perceived by the
1:11:13
United States in your opinion well when you say the United States who are you talking about the the American people
1:11:19
the American Congress the establishment Trump administration the president uh
1:11:24
how are we defining the United States because there’s different um levels of perception and um you know perspectives
1:11:33
um I don’t think the American people understand what’s happening to them i don’t think the United States
1:11:38
understands where we are i will always advocate uh very strongly for the United
1:11:45
States and I’ve tried to be um uh you know reality based in my uh in my
1:11:51
approach um even under Joe Biden uh who I criticized voseiferously uh I believe
1:11:59
that the United States was a relevant nation in many ways the relevant nation in the world on many issues um so even
1:12:07
when nations disagreed with us they had no choice but to deal with us that they had to take in the American perspective
1:12:14
and uh their leaders had to fly to the United States or agree to meet with the United States but the manchild has made
1:12:22
America irrelevant i mean we really have just taken ourselves out of uh the
1:12:27
running when it comes to you know the the the major issues of the day um Saudi
1:12:33
Arabia is hosting the the American president I believe not because the
1:12:38
president is there to save Saudi Arabia but Saudi Arabia is saying we have to do
1:12:44
something to prop this guy up because he’s collapsing and we don’t want to live in a world where we have an where a
1:12:51
geopolitical vacuum created by the rapid withdrawal of the United States as a
1:12:56
relevant player on the global stage which is what Trump is doing trump is forcing the issues and these retreats
1:13:03
that he’s doing makes America irrelevant we could have been the most
1:13:09
relevant player in the Ukrainian Russia U deal we could have made ourselves
1:13:14
absolutely essential to that what’s going to happen instead is that we are going to withdraw and Russia is going to
1:13:23
be the only voice heard on this issue which creates a vacuum in Europe the
1:13:28
deficit of American leadership requires Europe to come up with its own solution without America um we could be that if
1:13:35
we were more assertive with Israel we could be the defining voice but by backing out letting Netanyahu do things
1:13:42
he fills that vacuum we become irrelevant uh I’m afraid that’s what
1:13:47
we’re doing so the Saudis being the very pragmatic people they are I mean what was the first deal they came up with
1:13:54
giving Trump a victory we’re sending $600 billion we’re going to invest 600 billion in America now Trump gets to go
1:14:00
I’m the greatest thing since sliced bread i got 600 billion in from the Saudis i’m awesome i’m the manchild
1:14:07
america loves me and then what else that comes out of this nothing nothing he’s not going to get
1:14:14
what he wants on global oil prices uh he’s not going to get the Saudis to divorce their relationship with Iran
1:14:20
he’s not going to get the Saudis to back off their relationship with China he’s not going to get the Saudis to back off of anything the Saudis are there to make
1:14:27
the president look good and give him you know something to help prop him up because they don’t want a geopolitical
1:14:34
vacuum america under Donald Trump is becoming irrelevant and that’s not a good thing
1:14:40
for the world and again I think to be frank I think the Iranians recognize
1:14:46
this which is why the Iranians are bending over backwards to you know stay at the negotiating table
1:14:54
because as bad as an inconsistent Trump is America has been s has been the
1:15:02
dominant player in the world for decades the dominant player the world’s not
1:15:07
ready to operate without an America out there playing a prominent role not a
1:15:13
dominant role but a prominent role trump is in the process of even eliminating
1:15:18
that possibility he’s making America irrelevant and this is a dangerous
1:15:24
situation for a number of reasons one the world’s not ready to operate in that environment two there still is a need
1:15:29
for American leadership and three having a manchild throw a temper tantrum when he has his button on the nuclear you
1:15:36
know the finger capable of pushing the nuclear button is not a solution anyone’s the the instability that’s
1:15:43
engendered by the inconsistency of the Trump administration is uh one of the
1:15:49
greatest threats to international peace and security today
1:15:54
professor Mirandi do you believe that Russia and China are in the process of being more
1:16:02
active being more making more substantial decisions
1:16:08
about the Middle East how do they see Middle East in your opinion right now
1:16:13
has the mind has their mind changed during the past let’s say four years or
1:16:20
three years i think it’s more than just Russia and
1:16:27
China i think it’s uh what what’s happened over the last 19 months is
1:16:34
changing the has changed the way the world perceives the United States the
1:16:39
West and the Israeli regime in even inside the United States you have some key supporters of Trump
1:16:47
uh hitting at hitting out at Apac at Israel you have a you know a key
1:16:53
congresswoman you have uh key uh you know whether it’s Candace Owens
1:17:01
or who is who’s very hard-hitting on the Israeli and you have hosts of people
1:17:06
nowadays just I think hours ago Tucker Carlson I I didn’t watch it
1:17:13
but he he did another show which was highly I would assume is highly critical of um uh the Israeli regime and Israeli
1:17:22
supporters and uh this this this these these are these are this is huge you see
1:17:29
s small signs you know accumulating across Europe of of change in mentality
1:17:35
you see the Financial Times you see
1:17:40
uh see the New York Times printing things that they they wouldn’t do so I’m
1:17:46
not saying that things are you know there’s going to be a sea change but things are changing and uh that is you
1:17:53
know Russia’s role and China’s role in the region and and across the world is
1:17:58
going to change as well so as the United States continues to sacrifice itself for
1:18:07
the sake of its the elites uh whether it’s the deep state or the elites in
1:18:13
Europe or Zalinski or whatever as it continues to sacrifice itself for the
1:18:18
Israeli regime as it continues to make foolish moves in with regards to the
1:18:23
trade war which I I mean I understand some of the reasons why they want to put
1:18:29
tariffs in place it’s because the United States no longer produces anything but you know something that has been done
1:18:34
over the last 40 years is not going to be reversed in four months or four years
1:18:40
and also there’s this sort of paradox with the dollar on the one hand Trump wants it to remain the reserve currency
1:18:46
but I think one reason why the United States can’t be competitive at home is because of the dollar being the global
1:18:52
reserve currency so the United States is in this terrible position and as it
1:18:58
declines and u or Scott says becomes irrelevant or at least relatively speaking uh less relative re revalent
1:19:07
relevant uh I think that it’s it’s inevitable that China and Russia and Iran and other major players are going
1:19:14
to uh fill in that space but uh that you
1:19:20
know as empires as we’ve read in history books and as we’ve heard from people who
1:19:27
who read history well as empires decline uh they become more uh aggressive they
1:19:36
become more irrational they be they become
1:19:41
uh more hostile and the speed in which this decline this empire is declining is
1:19:47
unprecedented in world history usually in the past it would take centuries in the case of the UK Okay depending on how
1:19:54
you define it it took a a century at least uh but in the case of the United States it’s um largely because of its
1:20:01
own own goals or at least partially it’s going down very fast and um who knows
1:20:07
what that could lead to it it could lead to a very dangerous situation scott you do you want to add something
1:20:15
before wrapping up no I uh I think uh Professor Morandi and
1:20:20
I are of one mind here so yeah thank you so much Scott and Professor Mirandi for
1:20:27
being with us today great pleasure thank you very much for having us thanks i hate beating I I just have to
1:20:34
say this i have to say this on record i hate beating up on my country i really do um I love my country um I mean it
1:20:43
brings tears to my eyes to to imagine how much I love my country and um I want my country to succeed not at the expense
1:20:49
of others but I want my country to succeed i want I want the American people to thrive to prosper and I want
1:20:55
us to live up to our potential as a nation we are a good people we are a productive people we are an intelligent
1:21:00
people we are a moral people um and we are floundering we are failing um you
1:21:07
know but when you invite me on and you ask me questions I’m going to give you an honest answer but I have to say that
1:21:13
this program no matter how much smile I put on my face this program hurt me deeply um it pains me to have a program
1:21:21
like this because to be honest uh requires to say things that are critical of my country that every time I say them
1:21:29
it hurts because it’s a it’s the truth it’s the reality and it’s not the America I want it to be it’s not the
1:21:34
America it should be um but I just wanted to say that because I think I
1:21:39
tried to cover my pain with some frivolity with some humor um and with
1:21:44
good spirit but uh this program hurt me deeply it really did it it it pains me
1:21:50
this is a very painful time for me to watch as Professor Mirandi said the rapid decline of a of a country I love
1:21:58
well let’s let’s hope for better days for everyone across the globe and uh an
1:22:04
end to the genocide and to ethnic cleansing and and a more just global
1:22:09
system and better days for all people Americans Iranians Russians Europeans
1:22:14
Africans Asians Latin people from across Latin America hopefully we’ll when we
1:22:21
hopefully our children will see better days we just got to get rid of the manchild but we have three more years i
1:22:28
think we have to get a lot rid of a lot of manchild lot of things yeah we’ll start with the
1:22:33
man all right guys thanks a lot it was a pleasure take care
oooooo
Geure herriari, Euskal Herriari dagokionez, hona hemen gure apustu bakarra:
We Basques do need a real Basque independent State in the Western Pyrenees, just a democratic lay or secular state, with all the formal characteristics of any independent State: Central Bank, Treasury, proper currency1, out of the European Distopia and faraway from NATO, maybe being a BRICS partner…
Ikus Euskal Herriaren independentzia eta Mikel Torka
oooooo
1 This way, our new Basque government will have infinite money to deal with. (Gogoratzekoa: Moneta jaulkitzaileko kasu guztietan, Gobernuak infinitu diru dauka.)
