Israel, AEB eta NATO zale estatu guztiak errudun, Palestinaren genozidioan (17) eta Scott Ritter

Hasiera berria / A new beginning

Oso argi geratu denez, Palestina-ren aurkako eraso guztiek helburu bakarra daukate: genozidioa. Ezin da beste modu batez definitu.

Beraz, hemendik aurrera, genozidioaz arituko gara. Ea egoera eta epe berri batean sartuta gauden, to know whether we are in a new time or not.

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“I SWEAR TO BE LOYAL TO THE GOVERNMENT OF PALESTINE” SIGNED BY ISRAELIS WHEN EMIGRATING FROM EUROPE IN THE 1930s

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Lord Rothschild Claims His Family Created Israel

Bideoa: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lUpZT5hEh8Q

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maria@maria_mhr07

Alison Weir reveals the secret of Israel’s creation:

Bideoa: https://x.com/i/status/1807269838907224331

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Read the resolutions text here: https://www.un.org/unispal/icj-and-question-of-palestine

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Dr. Anastasia Maria Loupis@DrLoupis

The occupation of Palestinian land began 107 years ago today, in 1917.

The Balfour Declaration, issued by the British government on November 2, 1917, expressed support for the establishment of “a national home for the Jewish people” in Palestine.

This declaration was conveyed through a letter written by then-Foreign Secretary Arthur James Balfour to Lord Lionel Walter Rothschild, a prominent figure in the British Jewish community.

The declaration states:

“His Majesty’s Government view with favour the establishment in Palestine of a national home for the Jewish people, and will use their best endeavours to facilitate the achievement of this object, it being clearly understood that nothing shall be done which may prejudice the civil and religious rights of existing non-Jewish communities in Palestine, or the rights and political status enjoyed by Jews in any other country.”

This date represents the first official support for Zionist goals, ultimately leading, 30 years later, to the establishment of the State of Israel on occupied Palestinian land.

The Balfour Declaration played a significant role in shaping more than a century of ongoing war and chaos in the Middle East, culminating in the establishment of an Israeli state on Palestinian territory in 1948.

Today, the Balfour Declaration, in its outcomes, is seen as the foundation for the ongoing genocide, which in the past year alone has resulted in the death of more than 40,000 Palestinians, reflecting a failure to protect the historical and human rights of the Palestinian population in the region.

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(https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vuK97E07b2Q)

?La creación del Estado de Israel no responde a un desarrollo lógico de la historia, sino que la creación de este Estado es fruto de las confabulaciones políticas internacionales en las que participaron gustosamente los sionistas. Theodor Herzl fijó una hoja de ruta para crear el Estado judío y sus seguidores continuaron su legado. Antes de la creación de Israel en mayo de 1948, los británicos pusieron la primera piedra con la Declaración Balfour, la cual permitió crear el Hogar Nacional Judío, pero ¿cómo se gestó la Declaración Balfour? Quedaros hasta el final porque en este video os voy a hablar sobre la Declaración Balfour y todo lo que hubo detrás de esta promesa británica. ?

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Bideoa: https://x.com/i/status/1855599445863223457

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Hadi@HadiNasrallah

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Francesca Albanese, UN Special Rapporteur oPt@FranceskAlbs

Bideoa: https://x.com/i/status/1862539526658220360

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Bideoa: https://x.com/i/status/1862796571785453590

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sarah@sahouraxo

Bideoa: https://x.com/i/status/1862594632476938568

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Bideoa: https://x.com/i/status/1862884716006834579

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This TRUTH About NATO Will Blow Your Mind. Only Argument You Need. | Dr. Jan Oberg

(https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=V-8HrXfnyxg)

NATO is a criminal organisation according to its own charter and it‘s belligerent ideology is build on a pile of ideological nonsense. Listen to Dr. Jan Oberg, a prolific and outspoken Danish conflict researcher. In this straight forward talk, Dr. Oberg completely obliterates both NATO and the Collective West war-derranged hypocrisy.

Dr. Oberg holds a PhD in sociology from Lund University and an honorary doctorate from Soka University in Tokyo. He held teaching positions in Japan, Spain, Austria, Burundi, and Switzerland, and he is the co-founder and director of the Transnational Foundation for Peace & Future Research.

Transkripzioa:

0:00

if countries and organizations could just follow the laws that would be nice NATO is a criminal organization since

0:06

the bombing of Yugoslavia where it had nothing to do according to its own Charter it has been violating its own

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Charter secondly why have we accepted that self-defense means offensive

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deterrence the main thing we need to change is the idea that we deter

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somebody and we do it offensively that means as far away from ourselves responsible when I if I say to you my

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defense here will be able to Smash Up Japan where you sit I’ve already said that I consider you an enemy what I’m

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saying is the whole concept that we call defense today and security politics is

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wrong because it is by definition offensive it cannot but lead to Arms races and warfare everything NATO is

0:53

built on is intellectual [Music]

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hello everybody this is Pascal from neutrality studies and today I’m talking to Dr Yan orber a Danish and Swedish

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peace researcher Dr orber holds a PhD in sociology from Lund University and an

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honorary doctorate from Soka University in Tokyo he held teaching positions in

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Japan Spain Austria Burundi and Switzerland and he is a co-founder and director of the transnational foundation

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for peace and future research he’s also an outspoken critic of the current War mentality in Europe and the US so today

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we want to discuss the big picture of War peace and maybe neutrality as well Dr OBC Yan welcome thank you so much I’m

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guilty of much as you here well um let’s start with yourself because you’ve been

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researching conflicts for over 40 years I think if if I saw that correctly can

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you tell us a little bit about your work and what you what this led you to over

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the years you know in terms of insights about how conflict and Wars actually work what’s the framework that you’re

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using to understand what’s going on well um let me just quickly say that

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we are all inspired and standing on the shoulders of someone else and I had a Headmaster in my high school who was a

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10 mark leading pacifist and he was one of the the leaders of bringing seven ,000 Jews

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during the second world war in safety to Sweden which was a dangerous thing to do and then I studied sociology came to

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Sweden and there I had my first Mentor hawen verberg who was a professor of

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Sociology here and gave a little course in peace research and then I ran into Johan gon who sadly died earlier this

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year at the age of 93 and I was a friend of his over 50 years so I’ve been in

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very good hands when it comes to the Academia and I’m strong believer in the

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idea that peace research means to exactly like medicine reduce the

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baddies and in this case it is to reduce all types of violence um and that is what Johan would

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call the negative peace uh get rid of war and things like that but also gender

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violence and violence against nature and all that and then the freed resources from that goes into positive peace what

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kind of potential do societies have when they kind of put you know violence behind them because we

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we we waste incredible sums on violence today particularly in the western world

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and particularly in the US NATO system so I’m committed to uh if you will

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nonviolence and uh believe that uh the biggest curse the Western world has at

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the moment de developed itself because it has no enemies it makes enemies it

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makes others enemies like China and Russia Etc by its own behavior but I’m a

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stonch Believer in learning peace peace can be learned peace can be learned in

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the sense that we could teach each other how to deal with conflicts conflicts are okay there will always be conflicts in a

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lively Dy dynamic system whether a marriage or school or a political party or a democracy but we must get rid of to

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survive as humanity and spend our resources better is to get rid of violence reduce violence so the parallel

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I see is medicine you do diagnosis prognosis and treatment and what most

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peace researchers and most peace people and other good-hearted ones that don’t get to is what are we going to do about

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it so you have a lot of people who are sitting now crying about in the third world war and it will blow up and blah

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blah blah we don’t know and I believe in not believing in

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that because people in power wants us to give up and be you know become deist and

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take another wine instead of working for Alternatives there are only Alternatives that people once

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said well said well said there are and there there are ideas of what to do now

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one of the ideas and you talked about this in another talk was is the United Nations the idea of top down enforced

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peace pyramid like like a like a Central State it’s the dream of Emmanuel Kant right the Perpetual peace under a world

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government um a lot of people now are saying like that that dream is not only over it’s a nightmare and we should get

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rid of the UN in generally because it’s obviously not working I’ve seen you in another talk where you argued look it’s

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not perfect but we can work with it can you maybe tell us about like what do you think of how we could work with this

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imperfect institution of the UN well I wonder why we don’t have

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similar discussions about NATO which doesn’t work etc now and most governments that don’t work I according

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to people’s wishes um I am totally against those people who say we just

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closed down the UN because if there’s nothing else left there is the normative

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the nor normative power of the UN and international law that is embedded with the UN and that is a charter and the

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charter has wonderful things such as and this most gandan document that governments have ever signed it says

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that war shall be abolished in the Preamble and in article one it says that peace shall be established by peaceful means

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and third chapter 7 says that when everything has been tried with civilian

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nonviolent means then the UN can organize a military force let’s say to

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get an aggressor out of a country or prevent the genocide or whatever now that to me is a brilliant piece of paper

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and if we don’t have that if we scrap the whole thing then we are you know I

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wouldn’t say in the J because the jungle is a more beautiful system a well organized organic system but you know what I mean we will have a US World

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instead of a un world so you can go back to the first Secretary General of the

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United Nations the Norwegian TR V and he said what he’s probably in my view the

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most fundamental about the UN the UN will never be stronger or better than the member states wants to make it so

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those who would want to have a discussion about the UN I tell them let’s have a discussion of how how your

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country is a UN member how much it every day 24/7 violates the UN Charter do what

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you should as a UN member and the UN will be a brilliant organization give it 100 times bigger budget because as you

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know as a final part of of answering your question we spent the world spent

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three to 400 times more money on the militarism and warfare than it does on

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the UN now I worked with the UN here and there not been employed but I’ve worked with a for instance in former

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Yugoslavia they always get blurred mandates they all get some very bad soldiers from member states they all get

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some kind of you know we can cancel the whole thing if you don’t do what we want and they got this stupid agenda for

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peace which said that peace could be enforced by violent means Etc I worked against it behind the scenes but they

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did get that there are lots of problems with the UN but for Christ’s sake before you have something better make it better

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until you have something better don’t scrap it I would support that and people

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people say uh you know international law is just as outdated as the UN because it

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doesn’t work but I need to ask you so the problem that it doesn’t work as it is intended to what do you say about

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that and secondly you are right the UN Charter is a wonderful document and it Outlaws war and so on and so forth but

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it brings it back in it sneaks it back in through article 51 through through the back door by saying that you know uh

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it’s you’re still allowed countries are still allowed to violently defend themselves and even worse collectively

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defend themselves which is what all the NATO countries right now are preaching from their pulpits right we are only

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helping Ukraine to defend itself in accordance with the UN Charter article 51 um and every goddamn War since the

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second world war has been fought basically more or less on uh with the excuse of article 51 how can we Rectify

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that one that is a difficult one I agree and of course this is the um the jumping ground

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that they are using that is article 51 about the right to self-defense you even hear Israel argue that about that of the

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moment when it does a genocide in the name of selfdefense but the long story short about this is who said that we

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should have self-defense the way we have it now question mark If you read the NATO

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treaty I think you and I could sign that tomorrow or today it is totally

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defensive it’s a copy of the UN Charter it says in paragraph Article Five of the

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NATO treaty that our only extra obligation is to support a country which

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a member state of the alliance who have been attacked now that is a defensive

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thing that’s the first thing if again if if countries and organizations could

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could just follow the laws that would be nice uh NATO is a criminal organization since the bombing of Yugoslavia where it

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had nothing to do according to its own Charter it has been violating its own Charter and somebody somewhere in the

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international uh system should investigate NATO for you know for 25

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years having broken its own um agenda its own statutes that’s a serious thing

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secondly why have we accepted that self-defense means of defensive

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deterrence most countries argue today that my defense consists in being able to kill you 5,000 kilm away within my

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missiles that’s not defense if you want to deter it must be

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defensive if you want to have defensiv and as long as it’s a democracy where some people want to carry weapons we

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have to accept that there are some people who carry weapons and therefore you must have a compet defense but the

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main thing we need to change is the idea that we deter somebody and we do it

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offensively that means as far away from ourselves as possible when I if I say to

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you my defens will be able to Smash Up Japan where you sit I’ve already said

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that I consider you an enemy if there if instead I built a Chinese wall you know with modern

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technology and I’m not saying the wall physically but it’s a it’s a symbol of of defensive defense it only works when

12:01

somebody comes to you and try to do something bad to you then we’ll give you hell so defensive defense is a

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combination of smaller destructive power short range density and Mobility if you

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want to talk military terms I don’t mind that I would like to see a world only with nonviolent defense and non

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nonviolent conflict resolution and all that but in a democracy you know some people want to carry weapons so we have

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to accommodate those people on until everybody comes to their senses and decide that we don’t need a military like Costa Rica or whatever but I I what

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I’m saying is the whole concept that we call defense today and security politics

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is wrong because it is by definition offensive it cannot but lead to Arms

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races and warfare everything NATO is built on is intellectual it

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cannot make peace by that theory of offensive deterrence and then adding you know that

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every country around the world is our enemy because as they say about China at the moment at its homepage it’s a it’s a

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challenge because they are different from us and have different values from us I mean in that case there are many

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many countries where your enemies so this missionary idea is sick

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but it’s it suits the idea of offensive deterrence and that creates enemies

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where as self-defense according to article 51 could be constructed so that

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it was only self-defense until we can face out Military completely finally let

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me quote youran galon don’t start out with security leading to

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peace start out make peace and secure it by alternative defense civilian and

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Military you know we have a security discussion all the time in the western world today you cannot mention the word

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peace you cannot say the word peace you cannot ask a prime minister how does that make peace because the answer will

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be in that it was also St B’s of NATO’s argument the road to peace is

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Warfare I mean we’re in a sick sick culture that things like that but there are lots of Alternatives but we’re not

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supposed to discuss them there are lots of ways of securing and making peace in the world that we could do but the

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military industrial media academic complex mimac prevents us from doing

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that also because of the influence they have on the media to make you believe that the only way to solve Ukraine is to

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bomb and to OCC and to even risk a nuclear war very well said very well said the

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the thing that doesn’t that that I cannot explain to myself is how it is

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that within that framework that you just laid out for us which a lot of people in

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the collective West if we want to use that term um certainly in Europe in in

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in North America in especially in the universities where they teach international relations security studies

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what doesn’t get into my mind or what I don’t understand is like why is it that in this environment It is Well

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understood and it’s a basic tenant that the security dilemma is a real thing and

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the security dilemma is of course what gives rise to this my offensive defense

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is your is your uh uh threat and and that threat perception will lead you to

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one up the other one and you land up in an arms race and you you you end up in

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um well in in in in great great danger of great Great War right and this is

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understood and the same people who research on who then tell you but we need the bigger bombs than the other one

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and if the other one builds a new bomb they they they say like but they are evil they’re evil but they teach it and

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i’ I’ve seen that I’ve heard that in Japan people who teach the security dilemma and do not understand that if

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Japan upgrades its military it its military forces that then China will

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perceive that as a threat they keep arguing but China should know that this is just self-defensive

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we do does this can you explain this okay maybe this is too much of a question of psychology but maybe you’ve

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come across yeah but that’s see oh it’s very much a matter of

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psychology because you built up the image with citizens that we are

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threatened that there are enemies all over the place I mean let me just quote you one of the more bizarre absurd

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theater arguments uh the couple of weeks ago the Danish Prime Minister had the

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guts to say she’s she’s a Social Democratic woman she had the guts to say that if we don’t stop Hamas in the

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Middle East they will come to Denmark too you know that’s the level we’re at

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so there’s psychology to it if you I mean it’s called furology if you make

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people through the media through the you know concerted efforts of the mimac I mentioned the military industrial media

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academic complex make people believe that they are threatened they will accept whatever you look at you look at

17:01

all the taxpayers in Europe now whose money are being being wasted in the billions the hundreds of billions of

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Euros on a war that is already lost and which should never have happened because

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it would not have happened if NATO had not tried to expand first of all you know 10 countries and then trying

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Ukraine also against all the promises we gave goach it’s that’s a long story but

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the idea that you can threaten people make them feel

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You Know The Enemy is coming around the corner Russia is terrible they’re going to eat us all right now I’ve been living

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since 51 and I’ve been hearing that the Russians are coming there’s not one example of Russia having invaded a NATO

17:44

country or a neutral State it’s all invention it’s all you know it’s it’s

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it’s it’s um narratives that have taken over reality these guys don’t live in the reality anymore you have top leading

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Swedish people where I say said Swedish military top brass who says we must prepare for Putin Putin Vladimir Putin

18:06

Russia Russia invading and doing a partial occupation of Southern

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Sweden you know I’d like to see the scenario there’s no media people who even ask the question excuse me what is

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the scenario that leads Russia to to land on the coast of Southern Sweden where I Happ to basically

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say there’s nobody answering the question because you have the media

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academic complex you have the media as part of the Warfare and the

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furology and that’s why it’s very difficult we’re just small Corners around the world where we’re discussing

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alternatives to this because you can’t get through with it you can’t do that at state finance Institute you could look

18:48

at cpri in Stockholm the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute they don’t do peace research anymore if they ever did but they certainly don’t

18:55

do it they do security studies you can even see it on top of their homepage it now says that it’s it’s a it’s a leading

19:01

Source on International Security the peace has been dropped and they are working with the Munich security

19:07

conference Etc I mean Alva MLL who was the brain behind it when starting it whom I had the honor to meet a couple of

19:13

times must be rotated in in in her grave most of the peace Research Institute in Scandinavia don’t do peace research in

19:19

the sense I defined it as reducing violence so it’s not so strange that this is difficult because they have a

19:26

monopoly on telling you citizens that you must fear and we take

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care of your security if you pay us your taxpayers money and enough of it and now you have a situation because we have

19:38

made history’s biggest blunder in trying to make Ukraine a member of NATO you

19:44

spend more and more and more on a war that will not succeed and you will not

19:50

succeed in breaking up Russia and all these kinds of bizarre ideas but who

19:56

pays the bill that’s why I think a very effective movement would be a peace

20:01

movement that um refused to pay that percentage of the country’s National

20:07

budget that goes to the military put it into a a fund and said when you behave yourself and you do people

20:14

security um security that we can see a result of then when you make peace we’ll pay out what isn’t that and until then

20:22

the military can go and make you know bake sales and sell coffee and things like that to finance the wars they want

20:28

to have you know we we we’re talking about something which is a

20:34

fundamental uh what do you call that or is Lessing called is shikasta you know

20:40

the the great civilization of malaise that we believe in

20:45

militarism and now it’s come because the us is going down um and the Empire is going down it’s it’s now coming to the

20:53

top because that is the last thing the West is good at that is to produce weapons we’ve lost all the wars but but

20:58

we are very good at at developing the military-industrial media academic complex so I’m not so surprised that

21:04

it’s difficult but it’s going to happen at some point I would say when the US Empire Falls NATO Falls and then we have

21:09

all opportunities to create a globally Humanity security

21:16

system but we Europeans have been screwing it up for the last 500 years I mean we have a history of screwing on

21:23

peace time and again we managed to lose the peace after the call wall and we we

21:30

it didn’t just it didn’t just slip through our fingers we we threw it on the floor we stepped on it and then

21:38

anyone and then we shunned anyone who who pointed out that that we we are not acting responsibly here um it’s just I

21:46

can’t wrap my head around the fact that so many people go along with this that

21:53

okay I understand that you and I we we have these professions and we we we think about these matters on a on a

21:59

daily basis but that it is so easy to feed such dumb narratives such stupid

22:06

versions of reality like the Russians are the baddies and the ukrainians are the goodies and and and the Americans

22:12

are the other other white the white knight on a shining on on the the The

22:17

Shining Knight on a white horse or whatever you know this this this victimhood narrative The victimhood Narrative of the Israelis of like no no

22:23

this genocide is necessary because they’re just protecting themselves against evil that just wants to randomly

22:29

kill uh poor Jews is it’s so dumb and is so transparently dumb and actually a

22:34

large part of the world sees it and the Europeans we just they they like not everybody I mean 25 30% don’t go along

22:42

but 70% just nod and say like yeah that’s what we need why you could add to that which is

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new I totally agree with you NATO should have been abolished in ‘ 91 because well the wara

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pack and Soviet Union disappeared and I remember when I excuse me when I wrote

23:03

my dissertation in the 70s um I went down to Nato as a young student and

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interviewed people there not at the very highest level but reasonably high level they all said the same I come from a

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generation my parents knew what war was I’m sitting here at NATO because we don’t want it to happen again there must

23:21

never be War again and the main thing is or the reason we are here is the Soviet

23:27

Union and the wara and so I logically drew the conclusion that NATO would disappear when the waro

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back and Soviet Union disaar and these FS of course around

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particular the clle called not one inch uh 550 Pages uh I’m just right now

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forgetting sorry the author but is called not one inch and they say oh well

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Dr ented that what we did instead was to do exactly what we promised gasa not to

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do that was to expand NATO and NATO of course it today the only resonet of NATO

24:09

is expansion it has nothing to give the world anymore its concept its philosophy

24:14

it’s theories and concepts are totally as I said intellectual but that

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cannot it’s a church it’s for people who believe it’s not for people who have an intellectual mind and look at what is

24:25

would be useful for the world so um the banality of this let me say this at a

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deeper level Pascal has also to do with the fact that we are Christian culture

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everything is divided into dichotomies good and bad left and right and you can

24:44

go online women or men or whatever you know and that applies to the Russia also

24:49

which is basically Western culture or Western World and want to by the way be part of the West now long story short

24:55

when you have those underlying social cosmology or what you would call

25:01

it and you add to that the ability to dominate by military means because you

25:07

have been the leader of the world you have a very dangerous cocktail and you

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don’t see it you know cosmology is defined by something we operate on but it’s not that easy to see it you can see

25:19

it from the outside now if you take the Chinese they build on the five principles of peaceful coexistence that

25:25

Jan Li and and Nero put together uh 70 years ago and that’s a completely

25:31

different way of thinking that is noninterference in somebody else’s political system that’s why you don’t

25:37

see the Chinese exporting today the idea of you know one party systems or mixed

25:42

economies or confusion ISM they simply say we don’t care what kind of people

25:47

you are but can we do some business together and can we do benefits can we do win-win with a kind of equal sharing

25:53

of the benefits it’s a completely different way of going it’s a much more defensive way of thinking the the

25:59

Chinese have not built bases around the world the Americans have 650 bases in

26:05

130 countries you can go on like that I mean we I think to answer your question

26:10

about how is it possible it is possible because what we do is so much inside the

26:16

ways we think in western civilization if it is a civilization but the cosmology is it’s natural what we do it’s natural

26:24

that we go out and dominate everybody and go and go make

26:31

anybody our consumers of Coca-Cola or democracy or human rights

26:36

or whatever and that is now coming to an end because things like the like the

26:42

different Wars the war on terror um the Gaza genocide the Ukraine war the

26:49

destruction of rstream are all Nails in the coffee of that Western dominance I’m

26:57

not so pessimistic about the future because the West is unfortunately into a self-destructive

27:04

process we do all the things and we are 12 11 12% of humanity all the other 88%

27:12

see what we do in gasa and they say they cannot lead the world in the future it’s

27:17

very sad it’s very very sad I’ve never been anti-western I’m a product of the western culture and cosmology and I see

27:24

only self-destruction the Chinese are the Russians are not going to be destroyed by this we are going to destroy ourselves because we have all

27:30

these enemy images we waste our money on militarism and our societies will break apart there’s nothing that works in the

27:37

western world anymore I don’t I haven’t can’t remember having been on a train in Sweden that goes on time it did when I

27:43

came to Sweden 52 years ago that was an order and things work it doesn’t work today the fear that I have we

27:50

undermining our own strengths the fear the fear that I have is that um the Western cosmology itself

27:59

and I think that’s a good expression of it is although highly violent and and

28:05

quite destructive and even to a good degree self-destructive it it is extremely good at creating the very

28:13

environment that it itself uh conjures up you know to create your own enemies

28:19

right that that’s part of what this cosmology needs right it’s it’s you need an enemy you need a significant other

28:25

and and unfortunately it’s quite good at forming those and just like as we see

28:32

now you know um the West basically okay attack attacks on uh on Russia and then

28:38

Russia shoots back a new a new kind of missile and then the West goes like look we told you they’re so evil they are

28:44

they’re exactly the enemies that we’ve told you they are and they do the same with the Chinese so it it sucks in the

28:51

others right so aren’t you worried that we might we might land ourselves in the

28:56

third world war that we conjure up ourselves yes I am and I’ve always made the

29:05

probably provocative um comparison what would Hitler have done

29:11

in his bunker in Berlin if he had had nuclear weapons you know goov was a very decent

29:17

Visionary person he knew that his system was going down and he wanted to work with the

29:23

West um and I consider him a very great Statesman although he then made some

29:28

mistakes and the eyes of the Chinese he did the terrible mistake in multi party system and all that that’s a long story

29:33

but he did recognize and that the his system was over and that he needed to get the best

29:41

out of it including leaving Afghanistan and you know putting letting sakarov be

29:47

on free foot Etc and then he said hey how are we going to cooperate how do we create a new European home where we

29:53

don’t have this militarism and this block confrontation and all that

29:58

so uh that’s what I am not sure or rather I’m sure we don’t have such

30:04

personalities such leaders in the Western World in the NATO countries in the United States so yes uh that means

30:11

you may see two um scenarios very roughly more of course but one scenario

30:18

would be the United States Empire implodes it it it kind of disintegrates

30:24

from the inside things that doesn’t work anymore um infrastructure that doesn’t work um

30:30

nobody obeying anymore too many conflicts inside NATO Etc the other one

30:35

of course is the explosion scenario and that is when you find out that your system is at the end and your Empire has

30:43

come to what all Empires do they go down there’s no Empire that lasts forever and

30:48

this by the way will be the last because the Chinese are not so stupid that they will build a new Empire and try to rule

30:54

the world and it’s not in their genes I it’s not in their cos ology to do that

31:00

um then you may see somebody sitting in the White House blowing up the whole

31:05

thing you know throwing tactical nuclear weapons somewhere else and when we talk

31:10

about Europe I must say I wonder which is even to me a larger Enigma than the

31:16

one you mentioned before how come that the European politicians leaders

31:22

whatever and citizens accept to be slaughtered in the nuclear war for in

31:28

Europe started by NATO which is led by the US you know we have a around if if

31:35

God forbid if Ukraine leads to an exchange of very serious Conventional Weapons or tactical nuclear weapons in

31:42

Europe we are the ones paying the price not the not the Americans This is not going to be intercontinental ballistic

31:49

missiles it’ll be on the battlefield of Europe where you where I’m sitting I

31:54

can’t understand that there’s not even that sense of De y among European leaders to say we are not going to be

32:02

the victims of this policy that NATO has now been doing for 30 years trying to

32:07

get Ukraine into it they’re all supporting this we’re going to win over Russia and we were going to make Ukraine

32:13

in NATO and all that it’s completely inside the narrative it has nothing to do with real and that when when when

32:21

when a whole civilization and people in power people who sits on tons of weapons including nuclear power

32:28

nuclear weapons are no longer using rational analysis but are into emotional

32:34

group think then it is dangerous and I’m not sitting here saying it’s not dangerous but I refuse to be deterred by

32:41

the danger and give up that’s why I see it as my job as a peace researcher to say hey there are 300 alternatives to

32:48

this road down nuclear I’m very glad that you’re doing that and I very much

32:53

agree um I I am very um I am very afraid that EUR at at the moment is at this ideological moment which actually the

33:01

you know the greater EUR Europe has uh once in a while and actually not just Europe actually the Eurasia in general

33:08

maybe it’s it’s it’s a general thing like there are there are ideological moments where entire civilizations start

33:15

destroying themselves the Russians did so uh between like 1917 and then the

33:24

1950s which with the bolik Revolution and and also the per of their own people

33:29

the Chinese did it too the I mean the Great Leap Forward the cultural revolution Great Leap Forward those were

33:35

moments when they destroyed their own cultural heritage and the Soviet Union basically eroded from from from within

33:43

and maybe right now Europe is in that thing and this is going to be extremely dangerous I mean the Nazis were in that

33:49

I mean I mean genociding like millions of your own people you don’t do that when you’re a healthy Society right the

33:56

Israelis are probably there as well well um because these are the same people like living living on the same plot of

34:01

land right you’re killing the people that that you you’re part of your Prosperity is built upon so

34:09

um sure I think that’s a very very valid Global comparison you’re making why do

34:16

Empires fall they fall not because only because they are conquered or invaded by

34:22

somebody else they fall but because of internal factors they overdo something

34:27

um they become self-destructive uh and I’m afraid that nobody in the western

34:33

political sphere I mean the formal political sphere sees how self-destructive the whole thing is at

34:38

the moment I don’t think Madame feline has any idea about anything but we’re going to win no matter the pricee Danish

34:46

Prime Minister I mentioned has the same attitude now Sweden and Finland as you know are NATO members they don’t have

34:52

any independent thoughts left they just go with the with the flock and the flock says we’re going to you know win in over

35:00

Russia in Ukraine that could go madly wrong but it can also simply fall apart for them that’s what I still hope for

35:07

but the main thing is that those people who work against all this should become constructive they should become doctors

35:14

they should look at healing and treatment even if it sounds unrealistic because and that’s what I

35:20

always quote the Queen of Peace research Elisa baling always said you cannot make

35:27

people work for something that they cannot imagine so you know all these peace

35:33

people and Security Experts and others who sit and have seminars these very weeks and months about you know the

35:39

third world war and nuclear war and it’s coming soon and all that I say shut

35:46

up this is not helpful one you don’t know what will release a nuclear war two

35:52

you don’t know that it will happen three think of something else be more constructive because because the more

35:58

you talk about the risk of nuclear war the more you support the military-industrial media academic

36:03

complex and all the bastards were militarizing this culture to death you

36:08

participating because you lack creativity about possible Alternatives

36:15

and Pascal if you and I go to a doctor and he or she makes a diagnosis and a prognosis say you’ll be dead in one year

36:22

because you have this and that disease you don’t think it’s a very good doctor you’ll go to another one and say hm what

36:28

can be done about it so I don’t die and that’s what peace movement people and others should begin to do and they are

36:34

not peace movements they are anti-militarist movements it sounds now like I’m very critical I know it’s part

36:40

of the same thing you have to do critical thinking you have to do diagnosis what will happen if this

36:45

continues and then you have to come up with Alternatives the last part is what the military industrial complex thrives

36:53

from that so few researchers movements Etc and politicians are

37:01

thinking of the Poss the perfectly possible alternatives to this road you

37:07

cannot you cannot get a discussion going at the moment I’m totally excluded from Danish and Swedish media which had was

37:13

not 20 30 years ago because they know that I will say it’s easy to make peace

37:19

in in Ukraine you know if if I begin to say that people think this is really

37:25

dangerous stop that man for what reason reason the reason is that decision

37:30

makers politicians parliamentarians they always criticize each other they criticized by the media and editorials

37:37

editors in Chief they are criticized by the people critic criticism doesn’t change the world what changes the world

37:45

is that people say hey it could be done differently we could do it this much more smart way that’s when politicians

37:52

say oh oops somebody has better ideas than we think we have so I always quote

37:58

and sorry if you heard me say this before but I think it’s so precisely a diagnosis of our time it’s George

38:05

Bernard sure the Irish duin Dublin author who said most people think of the

38:10

look at the world and ask why you know why is it has it all these problems what we should do is to look at the world as

38:15

it could be and ask why not this is that’s what I do and that’s what I think peace search is about it’s

38:23

it’s a good approach it’s a good approach and since you are already like throwing over the medical met metaphor I

38:29

would like to throw back this my basic um motivation to do what I do which is

38:36

that I look at War as a Cancer and if the cancer gets too bad it will devour

38:42

the entire body of the of humanity and there’s two approaches to he to work with that one is to try to heal the

38:49

cancer and to make it go away completely which to me is the United Nations approach the top down let’s get rid of

38:55

War uh the other way is an older way and but that’s one that we F that we are not

39:01

using anymore which is to try to isolate it don’t try to radiate it away try to make sure that it doesn’t spread and

39:07

neutrality is actually the antidote for that if you keep if you if you spread cord and sanitars of neutrality then you

39:14

might not get rid of all the wars but they might remain small and local and resolve because they will run out of

39:20

steam what is your thought on that I think your idea the way you distinguish

39:27

between the two approaches is brilliant Pascal thank you for giving me that um I

39:33

think that that um if you say isolation uh you could say

39:40

I and I’m just trying this on you as two intellectuals uh throwing things at each

39:46

other and see how the other reacts you know a good dialogue ends with question marks not with exclamation

39:52

marks um I would say don’t you see the present 11 12% of the world who we call

39:59

the West as isolating itself you know I don’t see around the

40:05

world I don’t when I’m in China and talk with people I don’t see any fascination

40:11

with the military I don’t see any fascination with Warfare they talk peace

40:16

I was just invited to this celebration of the five principles I’m sat there listening in the people’s H to the to

40:25

president Xi Jinping and the for Minister Etc all talking for hours about

40:31

peace how to structure the world so we can be more peaceful how not to dominate

40:36

other countries Etc and people say okay you paid by the Communist party no I’m not well I’m just saying there’s such a

40:42

different approach to it whereas anybody you listen to in the western world today is talking about Warfare and the risk of

40:49

war and threats and what we must guard ourselves against I mean I’ve written it and I stand for it the Western world has

40:56

become me Mally ill and that’s very sad but I think that isolation is coming people are sick and

41:04

tired of looking at 650 us bases around the world go to aava close to where you

41:09

sit I’ve been there so the long story short is militarism when it gets

41:15

overboard when it it get overdeveloped will be its own cancer eating of itself

41:22

and then you can say that’s very sad and yes if the West does not have the

41:27

intellectual capacity to rescue itself from over militarization to militarize

41:32

itself to death there’s nothing we can do about it it’s just one more Empire going down and as I said it will be the

41:39

last because it’s not in the genes of the Japanese or the Chinese to build

41:44

Empires because the Empire is built on missionary thinking others must be like us if you look at what the Chinese are

41:51

saying they don’t want others to be like the Chinese Chinese want like the Japanese want to be specific unique and

41:58

themselves they’re not trying to make everybody confusionists or something like that it’s very fascinating because

42:03

people always say with a new multipolar multinodal work oh China will just

42:09

become the new Empire how naive you are Yan I think it’s very naive to believe

42:14

that the Chinese will build an Empire modeled upon the United States of America or the British Empire or you

42:21

know I don’t think they will I can’t prove that they won’t but I see nothing in their social cos ology that would

42:28

lead to them yeah this is this is where you and and and Jeffrey sucks would agree with each other and where you

42:34

stand in like in opposite to John mimer because John mimer for all the brilliant

42:39

analysis which is rooted in reality and in actual in in recognition of the

42:45

different the different actors and and and their motivational factors he still at the end of the day projects European

42:53

motivations into the Chinese which is why he think they will Act exact like the European of which you

42:59

know the greatest respect for him but I think he’s wrong on that one so um this

43:06

is I mean this is very useful the question then just is how can

43:12

we help and by we I mean really mean the we as you and I plus everybody listening

43:18

who are sitting in who are sitting in in in China in Indonesia in Thailand in but

43:24

also in the US and in the UK and and and in Europe the people who actually share this Vision how do we help to lay the

43:33

old euroamerican Empire to rest in a peaceful way let it let it let it let it

43:40

go down peacefully way more oress the Soviet Union went peacefully away um

43:46

without you know blowing up to me this is like it’s like it’s like raw X and if one of them drops then boom so how do we

43:53

not drop the eggs that’s a very good question again Pascal I enjoy this conversation which

43:59

is not an interview but a conversation um I think that that I wrote some years

44:05

ago also inspired by Yan galon who said is there anybody who can help the United

44:11

States you know he predicted it it would fall as an Empire we not let me make that clear to

44:17

your viewers I’m not talking about the us as a society I’m talking about the Empire and of course Empires cost so

44:25

much that they eat up the resources at some point that you need for your own society and that’s what you can see in

44:31

the infrastructure in the United States today and the poverty and all that but but he said who can help the United

44:37

States and the answer was only its friends and I think that unfortunately

44:45

the friends of the United States which is basically Europe and allies in the in the NATO countries are not able to do

44:52

that I thought of that some years ago I thought it was a good idea a good point of view you who can help well you can

44:58

tell a friend you on the wrong tracks you’re drinking too much you’re spending too much weapons money um but I’m not

45:05

sure because Europe has proved to now if not before proved that it doesn’t have

45:11

an independent policy of the United States it accepts you know things like the destruction on nordstream it accepts

45:16

the sanctions Etc so I’m pretty pessimistic on that one my hope would be

45:23

that simply things slowly but in reasonably orderly

45:28

way falls apart in the Western World so that at some point somebody will come up in the western world and say let’s join

45:35

them because we can’t beat them and that should happen before the United States and NATO Etc has has

45:42

crumbled completely in a war and you and I can only sit and speculate about that because the war we all fear but which I

45:50

refuse to be detered by in my work and my private life could happen this afternoon

45:57

you got to you got to recognize that that is the situation we’re in but that

46:02

also should lead everyone who is paid tons of money to the military system

46:08

called NATO to ask why the hell did that Alliance who promised us peace end up

46:14

being the main actor and the main fighter of Wars so I mean the the

46:20

process down could be something that makes people think we were told blah blah blah blah and today we in the

46:27

opposite situation we were told that peace would come with money and weapons it doesn’t and as somebody said if if

46:33

weapons were a road to peace we would have had peace long ago so the first thing is self reflection what has gone

46:41

so wrong compared with what we were told and the other thing will be then to sit

46:46

down and have future seminars it will be to do white books it will do to talk

46:52

only about uh Alternatives the reason being as long as we talk about the war

46:58

we talk the we are within the agenda and the discourse of the militarists and we

47:04

are in a defensive prision saying we are against NATO membership for Sweden or we are against this weapon or we’re against

47:09

War we’re against this that they set the agenda if you begin to say hey we could

47:15

do things completely differently look here there are good examples in the world it can be done differently conflict resolution nonviolence thinking

47:22

in the future Better World Order multipolar poity alternative defense

47:28

maybe somebody I can only hope for that maybe somebody will fall out their ears and say oh I never thought of that

47:36

and that’s what makes the world change that’s when people say I’ve never thought of that it doesn’t make the

47:42

world changeed to say that the war is coming tomorrow that’s where I’m very hesitant to say what I just said to you

47:48

but on the other hand I’m not sitting here playing naive and believing that there cannot be a war because there could very well be a war because of

47:54

Ukraine of course no but this is because of Ukraine sorry but but the conflict formation that led to the war in Ukraine

48:02

and now let me be precise no completely agree this is probably where we just at

48:07

some point have to use a uh an advice I once got from my best philosophy

48:13

professor as an undergrad say like if you want to if you want to disagree with somebody and you want them not to shut

48:19

down you just need to lie to their faces and tell them I completely agree with you and and whatever comes after the end

48:26

can be the opposite of what they just told you but you need to tell them first that you agree with them in order to

48:32

keep them open to the suggestion um we have to keep this discussion open Yan um

48:37

but I do have to leave so um if people want to read your writings or to follow you where should they

48:43

go well we are basically in two places we are at transnational

48:50

dolive the our main homepage the foundation homepage with um archives

48:56

back to 1986 when we started this work which is devoted to the Article One

49:02

Making Peace by peaceful means that’s what we are here for and then we have a um fast growing um presence on

49:11

substack also now with a lot of videos because I belong to the expanding group

49:16

of people who now been uh thrown out of YouTube as well as um Vio and you can’t

49:23

log in you cannot do this so we put all the videos for instance the video you outp put on on neutrality studies videos

49:30

on your YouTube channel we will take over and and post on substack so uh

49:36

that’s what we do and then we are frequently on all kinds of social media too we’re trying to use the the

49:42

opportunities that they give us but we are also getting smaller and smaller for instance on Facebook um we can live with

49:49

that we’re growing very fast in um in Chinese and other nonwestern media

49:54

because the West the rest of the world is looking for peace and the Western world is looking for more more

50:00

militarism so I’m fairly optimistic but transnational doli is where you will

50:06

have the road into everything else we do okay okay I’ll put all of that into the into the description below uh Yan olber

50:13

thank you very much for your time today well thank you so much for the good conversation I really enjoyed it

oooooo

ooo

(https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iSPf6h2rgBk)

Can Israel recover from this setback? Former UN Weapons Inspector and US Marine Corps Intelligence Officer Scott Ritter & CIA analyst Ray McGovern EXPOSE Israel’s massive defeat at the hands of Hezbollah as Netanyahu begs for a ceasefire to stop the fighting along the Lebanese-Israel border. This must see video breaks down just how badly the IDF is suffering on the ground in Lebanon and why this development has changed everything in the Middle East.

Transkripzioa:

0:00

October 1st when Iran struck Israel just

0:03

a day before that Israel announced this

0:05

ground operation into Lebanon we know

0:10

that Hezbollah has not been defeated and

0:13

now Israel is also talking about

0:14

wrapping this ground operation up and I

0:16

believe now there’s talks about a

0:18

ceasefire which confuses me a bit

0:20

because Israel has been avoiding any

0:23

kind of ceasefire throughout this whole

0:25

period after October 7th maybe I get you

0:28

and Scott first about the overall milary

0:30

situation as well as what you know about

0:32

this ceasefire conversation when it

0:35

comes to Lebanon well I mean I’ll go

0:37

real quick uh look Israel had hoped that

0:40

by killing Hassan ASA by um neutralizing

0:45

um hb’s senior leadership by uh

0:48

paralyzing middle management um with

0:51

this pager this ingenious yet you know

0:54

criminal pager uh and you know radio

0:58

attack uh that Hezbollah was you know a

1:02

a ship without a Rudder um and that they

1:05

would be able to come in and make short

1:08

work of um you know the the Hezbollah

1:11

forces in southern Lebanon push them

1:13

back north of the Lani River and then

1:17

caused the collapse of Hezbollah is a

1:19

viable uh resistance organization

1:21

thereby diminishing its uh its its

1:24

attractiveness as a political movement

1:27

in Le Lebanon and you know affect ly

1:30

nullifying it that was the objective um

1:34

they also again in typical Israeli

1:37

fashion um took this this this objective

1:41

and they they said um but we’re also

1:43

really doing this to get to 60,000

1:45

Israeli settlers who have been compelled

1:47

to leave their homes because of the

1:48

ongoing violence to return home that

1:50

this is all about the return of the

1:52

Settler’s home um Israel’s just been

1:55

wrong on their assessment of Hezbollah

1:58

yes they took out the leadership yes

2:00

there was some um momentary uh chaos

2:04

when you have you know thousand guys go

2:06

down you with injuries from pagers um

2:10

but um not a single settler has returned

2:13

home moreover tens of thousands more are

2:15

going to be evacuated um Hezbollah has

2:18

not been defeated like any mature um

2:23

military organization uh they have

2:26

extreme resilience you have um you know

2:29

every every Commander has a deputy you

2:31

kill the commander the deputy steps up

2:34

and that Deputy has a deputy you kill

2:36

the deputy the deputy steps up I mean

2:38

anybody who’s been in the military knows

2:40

that kill the colonel you get the

2:41

lieutenant colonel kill the lieutenant

2:43

colonel you get the major you have to

2:44

kill a couple majors and you’re G to get

2:46

the senior Captain you kill enough

2:47

senior captains you get Junior captains

2:49

then you get first lieutenants then you

2:51

get second lieutenants then you get the

2:52

first sergeants and it never ends until

2:55

at the end of the day you know a lance

2:57

corporal is going to step up and take

2:59

charge and then the war is over because

3:01

once the Lance corporals are in charge

3:03

nobody can beat the Marine Corps um but

3:05

you know Hezbollah is that way they have

3:08

depth um they tremendous depth chars

3:10

they have deep bench and um they’ve

3:13

recovered and they are rocking and

3:16

rolling their their military

3:18

capabilities have not been uh destroyed

3:21

or diminished they’re rocketing Israel

3:23

on a daily basis not haphazardly not

3:26

doing what Israel is doing to the

3:27

Lebanese people Collective punishment

3:30

Etc hitting military targets with great

3:32

efficiency and now they’re telling the

3:34

people of kirat Shimona leave not

3:37

because we’re going to blow up your

3:38

homes because the Israeli military is

3:40

using your village your town as an

3:43

assembly point and we’re now going to

3:45

reain death and destruction down upon

3:47

them um this means that not only has

3:50

Netanyahu failed to return to 60,000

3:53

he’s now going to have 20 to 30

3:55

additional thousands of Israelis leave

3:58

their homes this is a strategic defeat

4:00

for Israel across the board the

4:03

ceasefire is an act of desperation the

4:05

ceasefire isn’t linked at all to what’s

4:07

going on with Hamas the ceasefire is

4:10

Israel and Hezbollah Israel is begging

4:12

Hezbollah to stop fighting because they

4:16

it’s out of control as I said their

4:18

military doesn’t want to do this anymore

4:21

the Israeli military is starting to

4:23

refuse orders refuse you’re seeing a

4:25

Revolt of the generals saying this is

4:28

unobtainable we can’t do this um and so

4:32

it’s it’s an act hezb will not accept

4:34

the ceasefire I can’t speak on behalf of

4:36

HB I’m not affiliate with them with

4:38

shape or form but Hezbollah why would

4:40

you accept this ceas fire you’re winning

4:42

that’s what people don’t understand

4:44

Hezbollah is winning how can they win

4:46

Scott they lost Nala Nala doesn’t matter

4:48

never did asala admitted it himself I am

4:53

a dead man walking I am a living martyr

4:56

they are trying to kill me and one day

4:57

they will kill me and it doesn’t

5:00

matter none of these lives matter

5:02

because once we die others will step up

5:05

the resistance movement will never be

5:07

defeated because it’s not about a person

5:10

it’s not a cult of personality it’s

5:12

about an ideology it’s about a belief

5:15

and the Hezbollah faithful are as

5:18

committed to their to their mission as

5:21

anybody so they’re not going to accept a

5:24

ceasefire they are going to continue

5:27

doing what they’re doing until which

5:28

time

5:30

Hamas emerges Victorious and hamas’s

5:34

victory will be judged by the creation

5:37

of a Palestinian State then what happens

5:40

to Netanyahu is is the real real

5:42

question here seems to me that uh

5:46

Netanyahu has been uh

5:49

grievously um guilty of the old uh Greek

5:55

classical flaw tragic flaw in the

5:59

tragedy of

6:00

hubris uh he’s had this thing going with

6:03

the United States

6:05

forever uh but there are limits to how

6:09

much he can accomplish in Israel all

6:13

these people that had been up there not

6:16

by Lebanon still not going home Scott

6:20

predicts that 30,000 more will not be

6:22

able to to stay there uh Hamas is not

6:27

dead and uh so

6:30

what does a person like Netanyahu do in

6:33

such

6:34

circumstances uh that’s really scary

6:38

uh because you know he thought well this

6:41

is what he said

6:43

in was it

6:45

2001 he was in a private home with some

6:50

some real supporters for his party and

6:53

the there was a videographer there and

6:55

he said turn that thing off turn that

6:57

thing off but he forgot to turn it off

6:59

and I’ve watched that video more than

7:01

once I transcribed it this is what

7:04

Netanyahu said see if you find a tinge

7:07

of hubris behind it the main thing this

7:11

is a quote main thing first and foremost

7:14

is hit those Palestinians hard not just

7:17

one hit but many painful so that the

7:19

price will be

7:21

unbearable the price is not unbearable

7:25

yet a total assault on the Palestinians

7:28

to bring them to a a state of panic that

7:31

everything is collapsing fear that

7:34

everything will collapse that’s what we

7:36

bring them

7:37

to a woman interrupts wait a minute at

7:40

that point the whole world is going to

7:41

say what are you

7:44

occupiers the world will say nothing

7:47

says Netanyahu the world will say that

7:51

Israel has the right to defend itself

7:56

woman but so you’re not afraid of the

7:58

world BB

8:00

no quote especially now with America I

8:04

know what America is America is a thing

8:08

that can easily be moved moved in the

8:12

right direction the Americans will not

8:14

bother us let’s suppose they the

8:16

Americans will say something to us

8:19

Israelis so they say it so what

8:24

80% of the American people support us

8:28

it’s absur

8:30

we have such great support there and we

8:33

say what will we do now with such

8:37

support why do I give a rendition of

8:41

this not only to illustrate hubris on

8:46

steroids but to say I don’t think it’s

8:49

80% any longer I think there are enough

8:52

Americans that are just horrified as I

8:55

am and as Scott is at the notion that

8:57

our country is not only supporting but

9:00

enabling genocide that this guy

9:03

Netanyahu is going to lose the support

9:05

of a lot of Americans despite the lobby

9:07

and despite all the campaign

9:09

contributions the the the bets are off

9:12

after this election we’ll have to see we

9:14

know that uh that there’s no real

9:16

prospect that Trump if he wins will be

9:19

any any better than Biden with respect

9:22

to being an arch Zionist but those

9:25

things change and while on the ground n

9:29

yaho is in is increasingly unsuccessful

9:33

and while he’s challenged more and more

9:35

not only from the right that he should

9:36

finish these people off but from the

9:39

from what remains of the left in Israel

9:42

well my fear of course is that he’ll

9:44

resort to the Samson option which you

9:48

probably know is using his nuclear

9:51

weapons and uh you know this kind of

9:54

mentality is not above doing precisely

9:57

that or at least threatening to do

10:00

precisely that so there’s talk now about

10:03

Iran developing a nuclear weapon uh as

10:07

I’m sure you know Danny and Scott has

10:09

written they’re very close to being able

10:11

to do that it’s been an anomaly for 20

10:15

years as to why they haven’t done that

10:17

but it was a National Intelligence

10:19

estimate in November of

10:22

2007 that said they stopped working on a

10:25

nuclear weapon in

10:28

2003 and had not resumed work on a

10:31

nuclear weapon some rep reputable

10:34

Scholars like uh uh uh some some reput

10:38

say they never were working on a nuclear

10:40

weapon okay so will they do it now well

10:43

there are voices within Iran that say

10:45

well maybe we got to do that that’s the

10:48

guarantee I don’t know what they’ll do

10:50

this fwa the religious edict against it

10:52

is reversible it comes from homei way

10:55

back then so I don’t know I’d ask Scott

10:59

Scott do you think that the that the

11:01

Iranians will feel the need to reverse

11:04

their fatwa and go ahead and and do

11:06

what’s necessary to to construct a

11:09

nuclear weapon with as opposed to the

11:12

nuclear material which they very clear

11:14

to having they have the the enriched

11:17

uranium all set to go what do you think

11:20

Scott under what circumstances would

11:22

heun with Iran actually start working on

11:25

the nuclear weapon part of the nuclear

11:28

force

11:30

I believe the fwa has already been

11:32

reversed um the reason why I say that is

11:34

that uh the conversation that’s taking

11:38

place in Iran is being done um within

11:42

the circles of people who advise the

11:45

supreme leader it’s not you know like

11:48

you know in in the United States where

11:50

you know you have a think tank here and

11:53

a think tank there and a think tank here

11:55

speculating when when you

11:58

have a former foreign minister Who

12:01

currently sits on the expediency

12:03

discernment Council um which is a close

12:06

advisory body to the Supreme Leader um

12:10

saying that the fatwa is reversible

12:12

under certain circumstances and these

12:14

circumstances have been met you don’t

12:17

have somebody uh who you know is that

12:20

close to the Supreme Leader talking

12:22

about something that’s the exclusive

12:24

purview of the supreme leader the fatwa

12:27

um and talking about it being versible

12:29

unless that conversation’s already been

12:31

had with the supreme leader and a

12:34

decision has been made under which

12:36

circumstances the fatwa would be

12:38

reversed um we had you know a a very

12:41

senior member of the um uh Iranian

12:45

revolutionary guard command the man

12:47

responsible for you know for the nuclear

12:50

aspect of it say the same thing that

12:53

this is reversible and that we can do

12:55

this we you have the um people in the uh

12:59

in the parliament um saying that and

13:02

writing a letter to the Supreme Leader

13:04

saying we advise you to reverse this

13:06

fatwa to begin uh preparation for the

13:09

bond again none of this stuff happens in

13:11

a vacuum it’s happened because this

13:13

conversation is already taken place

13:16

inside the inner Circles of uh the

13:18

Iranian leadership and a decision has

13:20

been made that the fatwa is

13:23

reversible uh and they’ve specified the

13:25

conditions under which it will be

13:27

reversed and several of these advisers

13:29

have said those conditions have been met

13:32

so I believe that the decision has been

13:35

made um uh to reverse this um that

13:40

doesn’t you know that doesn’t mean

13:42

they’ve actually done that yet because

13:44

you know in order to do this you know in

13:47

order to build a nuclear weapon Iran

13:49

will have to withdraw from the nuclear

13:50

nonproliferation treaty they will have

13:52

to end their safeguards agreements with

13:54

uh the IAA inspectors U kick the

13:57

inspectors out and then do a major

13:59

diversion program it would only take

14:01

them a matter of days uh to run enough

14:04

60% highly enriched uranium hexif fluide

14:07

feed stock through the advanced ir6 and

14:10

ir8 uh Center fuge Cascades that they’ve

14:13

put in uh to get it up to you know the

14:16

the 90 plus percent uh you know level

14:19

needed for um you know for a nuclear

14:21

weapon it doesn’t take that long at all

14:24

uh Iran has all the processes in place

14:27

they’ve installed the centrifuge cast

14:29

skade already they that went in back in

14:31

July um it’s there it’s ready to be used

14:35

as I said they can they can get enough

14:37

physi material for a bomb within three

14:39

days they can have enough for three to

14:41

five bombs within a little bit more than

14:42

a week um and they this you if you use a

14:47

gun design uh which is just so simple we

14:50

you know even in World War II the you

14:52

know the bomb we dropped on Hiroshima

14:55

was a gun design it wasn’t the design

14:57

that was tested at the in alag Gordo

15:00

that was a plutonium design an implosion

15:02

weapon very sophisticated very difficult

15:04

to produce gun design is so easy so

15:07

basic you didn’t have to test it you

15:08

knew it was going to work so everybody

15:11

you know saying well the Iranians will

15:12

have to test it they’ll have to do this

15:13

not a gun design and a gun design will

15:16

take 75 to 150 pounds of uh of high

15:20

enriched uranium um you can turn that

15:23

into a weapon you know let’s say you use

15:25

100 pounds of 125 pounds of Highly

15:28

enriched uranium you’ll need a a weapon

15:31

of around 600 800 900 PBS um to you know

15:35

to you know that go on a warhead the

15:38

fatat 2 Warhead uh can carry a 900 pound

15:43

payload um so they already have a

15:45

missile capable of carrying a a gun size

15:49

design now people say Scott the gun

15:51

design that we dropped on uh hirosima

15:53

weighed a lot a lot more than than that

15:57

yeah but you know again Iranians aren’t

15:59

stupid uh the gun design that we used in

16:02

16inch shells weighed 600 lb so I’m here

16:06

to tell you right now that it’s possible

16:07

to build a 20 kiloton uh gun uh uranium

16:12

bomb that can fit on a existing Warhead

16:14

design uh of an existing Iranian missile

16:17

and we already saw that the Iranians can

16:20

hit any Target they want to in Israel

16:21

any time they want to um so I think the

16:24

decision’s been made and if Israel’s

16:26

stupid enough to move forward and attack

16:28

Iranian nuclear infrastructure or Target

16:31

Iranian leadership or or do something

16:34

that puts Iran’s

16:36

existential um you know existence into

16:38

play then the fatwa will be immediately

16:41

revoked and Iran already has all the

16:44

pieces in place to have a nuclear

16:46

warhead on a missile within a week ready

16:49

to deliver against

16:51

Israel Dany could I ask one more

16:54

question of course great of getting an

16:57

education here um so the Israelis

17:01

capability for intelligence gathering

17:03

will know exactly when and what the uh

17:07

Iranians are doing in terms of reversing

17:09

the fatwa and building a nuclear weapon

17:12

will they let them do it or will they

17:14

strike first with their own nuclear

17:17

weapon you know that’s that’s the uh the

17:19

million dooll question I think the

17:21

Iranians have U built into their uh

17:26

their their scenario the potential of an

17:28

Israel

17:29

nuclear First Strike um what what many

17:34

in the west don’t realize is that uh at

17:37

the end of the when when we invaded Iraq

17:39

back in 2003 you remember General Wesley

17:42

Clark talking about a meeting at the

17:44

Pentagon and the Seven you know this was

17:46

the first of going to be you know a

17:49

cascading um you know reign of democracy

17:53

coming down on the Middle East as

17:55

regimes were overturned and one of the

17:57

governments that was up for Target was

17:59

the Iranian government we wanted to

18:01

overthrow them um and the Iranians were

18:05

convinced that the United States after

18:07

they took care of Saddam um and maybe

18:09

after they took care of Syria was going

18:12

to turn on and invade Iran and so they

18:16

went underground with everything they uh

18:19

they brought in North Korean Specialists

18:21

and they um broke Iran into independent

18:26

military districts uh capable of

18:29

you know Sovereign operations meaning

18:31

that if the United States did take out

18:33

leadership in

18:35

tyon these military districts will

18:38

continue to resist on their own um

18:41

they’re self- sustain sustaining uh

18:44

capable of not just of defensive

18:45

operations but offensive operations

18:49

um and everything went underground

18:53

and they designed specific capabilities

18:56

uh including their continuity of

18:58

government and if you go to the mashad

19:00

out west you know it’s an underground

19:02

city built to survive an Israeli nuclear

19:05

strike an American nuclear strike the

19:07

feos nuclear uh enrichment facility is

19:11

designed to to survive a nuclear strike

19:15

um and

19:16

so my point is I think the Iranians have

19:20

built in resilience in this nuclear

19:24

weaponization program if it is activated

19:28

um that allows it to absorb an Israeli

19:32

nuclear strike and still be able to

19:34

produce a weapon capable of being

19:36

delivered against Israel moreover um and

19:39

it’s not talked about too much Pakistan

19:41

has let it be known through various

19:44

channels um that if Israel uses a

19:47

nuclear weapon against Iran a Muslim

19:50

weapon will be used against Israel you

19:53

can read that any way you want to um

19:56

meaning that I I think what the Pakistan

19:58

you’re saying is you know if Israel

20:00

strikes Iran with a nuclear weapon

20:02

that’s striking a Muslim nation and

20:04

Pakistan will never allow that to happen

20:07

without consequence and Pakistan will

20:09

take Israel off the face of the Earth so

20:12

it’s the idea that Israel is going to be

20:14

able to do things like this the Samson

20:17

option was never meant to be preemptive

20:19

the Samson option was meant to be

20:22

reactive as Israel is going down Israel

20:25

takes out everybody just like Samson did

20:28

in the Bible

20:29

um what we’re talking about here is an

20:31

Israeli preemptive Nuclear Strike which

20:33

is the suicide of Israel um Israel will

20:36

never survive politically uh if it

20:39

carries out a preemptive Nuclear Strike

20:41

under any conditions under any

20:43

circumstances so I I don’t see Israel

20:45

doing this I don’t see Israel launching

20:48

a preemptive nuclear strike against uh

20:50

Iran and I don’t see the United States

20:52

doing it um you know Barack Obama’s

20:55

worst nightmare uh you know because if

20:58

you go back to the Joint comprehensive

21:00

plan of action the Iran nuclear deal

21:02

that was negotiated in 2015 the whole

21:04

idea was to um get a one-year breakout

21:09

window meaning that you have this plan

21:12

in place and if even if Iran decides to

21:15

violate this plan it’ll take them a year

21:18

from the moment of violation to be able

21:20

to produce enough phys material for a um

21:24

for a nuclear weapon because Obama was

21:27

looking at the you know the the

21:29

continued US policy was so ineffective

21:31

that Iran was going to get to a position

21:33

where it was literally weeks away from

21:34

having a nuclear bomb and then that

21:37

would create you know uh you know

21:38

impermissible stresses on American

21:41

decision-making on how to respond to

21:43

this we needed at least a year to be

21:44

able to do this kind of stuff guys we’re

21:47

down to

21:48

days it’s over I mean Donald Trum I

21:51

laugh every time Iran will never be

21:53

allowed to have a nuclear weapon hey

21:55

Donnie baby they got it and there’s

21:57

nothing you can do about it

21:59

you know Joe Biden not on my watch Iran

22:02

will never Joe they got it and it’s your

22:05

fault 100% your fault Joe you could have

22:07

stopped this you could have prevented

22:09

this you could have brought the jcpa

22:11

back into play we could have got the

22:13

inspectors back in we could back maybe

22:15

not to a year breakout but we could have

22:17

six months eight months with inspectors

22:20

in place and no reason for Iran to

22:22

change its f one but no you had to be

22:24

stupid and so here we are right now

22:27

where Iran has

22:30

basically wiped the Slate clean they’re

22:32

down to having a nuclear bomb within

22:35

days of the political decision being

22:37

made there’s nothing the United States

22:39

Israel or anybody can do about it it’s

22:42

over the idea that we were going to

22:43

checkm made Iran and prevent them from

22:45

going nuclear it’s over Iran will go

22:48

nuclear anytime it wants to go nuclear

22:51

and I have to say that until which time

22:54

you know the world has the wherewithal

22:56

to talk about the n nuclearization of

22:59

Israel you’re never going to get Iran to

23:01

walk its nuclear program bracket never

23:03

it will never ever ever ever happen

23:07

because it’s the only thing that keeps

23:09

them alive

oooooo

We Basques do need a real Basque independent State in the Western Pyrenees, just a democratic lay or secular state, with all the formal characteristics of any independent State: Central Bank, Treasury, proper currency, out of the European Distopia and faraway from NAT0, maybe being a BRICS partner…

Ikus Euskal Herriaren independentzia eta Mikel Torka

ooooooo

MMT: Modern Monetary Theory

Understanding how money works so that we can address climate change easily and prosperously plus address AI’s impact on humanity.

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@tobararbulu # mmt

@tobararbulu

oooooo