Scott Ritter (10)

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Ritter’s Rant 038: The Dead Hand https://open.substack.com/pub/scottritte

Ritter’s Rant 038: The Dead Hand

(https://scottritter.substack.com/p/ritters-rant-038-the-dead-hand?r=1vhv3f&triedRedirect=true)

Jul 31, 2025

Trump belittles Russia and issues unspecified threats. Medvedev alludes to the apocalypse. It’s time to tone down the rhetoric.

Transkripzioa:

Hello and welcome to this episode of Ritter’s Rant. Today, I’m going to be discussing the term dead. Now, that’s sort of morbid, but there’s a reason. You see, we have the President of the United States talking about dead economies, sort of mocking the economy of India and Russia. And you have the former Russian president, Dmitry Medvedev,

talking about the dead hand, which is a system, according to Dmitry Medvedev, doesn’t exist. It does. Which, if true, if the stories about it are true, represents sort of a fail-safe method of… of ensuring the total destruction of anybody who dares attack Russia. Now, why would Dmitry Medvedev be speaking about the dead hand?

And why is Donald Trump speaking about dead economies? Because they’ve got into a social media spat. Donald Trump on his Real Truth social media outlet put out a posting that was very critical of Russia and India, basically talking about Russia’s perceived immunity against anything the United States does to its economy.

And the notion that India may not bend the knee and, you know, yield to American demands that they stop selling oil to Russia. The president seems to be very frustrated by this because he was sold a bill of goods and said that if he threatened Russia’s economy by seeking secondary

sanctions against nations like India who buy Russian oil, that the Indians would back down and the Russians, faced with imminent economic collapse, would give in to all of America’s demands on what they’re doing in Ukraine. Turns out, though, that… Truth is a lot harder than fiction. This president is not happy about it.

And he’s not happy about the needling that former president, current deputy of the National Security Council of Russia, Dmitry Medvedev, has been giving Donald Trump in this regard. And so he told Dmitry Medvedev that he needs to watch what he says, that he’s entering into very dangerous ground.

And then Dmitry Medvedev responded on X, what do you mean by dangerous ground? Are you threatening us? And he reminded the United States that maybe Donald Trump should take a closer look at shows like The Walking Dead, which is a show that talks about a zombie-like future in an apocalyptic world, and also reflect on the dead hand.

even though according to the D.C.M. It doesn’t exist, but it does. The dead hand is a system that was devised during the Soviet Union, during the Cold War. It came out of a concern that, on the part of the Soviets, that the United States, with the development of new weapons systems like the Trident missile,

which is launched from submarines, that they could get these submarines close enough to Russian shores, fire these missiles on a very flat trajectory that avoided early detection, and rapidly strike with extreme precision Russia’s strategic nuclear forces, thereby decapitating Russia’s ability to strike or launch or counter-strike the United States.

And you combine this with the ability of the United States using B-52 bombers and Pershing-2 missiles that would be based in Europe to take out Russian leadership within 7 to 12 minutes of launch of these respective weapon systems, you have the potential for a decapitation strike.

So the dead hand was created so that if the United States ever attempted a decapitation strike, the Russians could guarantee that the United States would be destroyed by a Russian nuclear retaliation, even if the decapitation was successful. And fortunately, the Cold War ended. We never had to test the dead hand. But the dead hand is real.

It’s part of what they call the perimeter system. I know it’s real because I inspected missiles coming out of Vodkens that were linked to this perimeter system. Modified SS-25 missiles designed to carry not warheads, but rather a… a radio transmitter that would broadcast the nuclear launch codes.

If the dead hand system was to be activated, the missiles were real. The broadcast system was real. Dead hand is real. And it exists to this day. And I think the point that, uh, Dimitri Medvedev was making is that, um, you know, if the United States thinks they can intimidate Russia and by, you know,

threatening with a preemptive strike that takes out Russian leadership, think again that Russia will retaliate and it’ll be the end of the United States. Why would Dmitry Medvedev even think like this? Well, the problem is we have a president of the United States who believes in his mind that he’s capable of threatening Russia. Russian President Vladimir Putin.

I mean, there’s a recording of the president making a statement during the 2024 election where he threatened to bomb the bovine excrement out of Moscow if Putin dared make a move on Kiev. The president, Trump, claims that he made this statement to the president Putin’s face. The conversation never took place. It’s an figment of Donald Trump’s imagination,

but the fact that Trump believes that this conversation took place indicates that he believes that he can bully Russian President Vladimir Putin. This president is heavily influenced by advisors in the United States and outside who have bought into the notion of decapitation as a principal element of any military campaign. The Israelis call it the Nasrallah effect,

named after the assassination of Hassan Nasrallah, the head of Hezbollah, which was combined with this pager attack against the intermediate and senior leadership of Hezbollah, led to the collapse of Hezbollah. The United States believes that they can achieve the same result. They tried to achieve it through Israel as a proxy in Iran.

It didn’t work, but that’s only because Israel screwed it up. According to Donald Trump, had America been doing it, we would have successfully decapitated the Iranian leadership. Now, why is decapitation suddenly something that the president’s thinking about when it comes to Russia? It’s because all of his other policies have failed.

The president thought that he could intimidate Russia into backing down in Ukraine. He can’t. The president now understands that the strategic objective of achieving the strategic defeat of Russia using Ukraine as a proxy will no longer work. And when confronted with this failure and confronted with the reality that Russia

has emerged from the Ukrainian conflict stronger than they went in, Donald Trump now has to either admit that our policy has failed, his policy has failed, or come up with a different way to implement this policy. And he has people advising him that nuclear preemption, a decapitation strike against Russia, is sound policy,

is something that should be pursued. The Russians are aware of this, hence Dmitry Medvedev’s statement about the dead hand. Look, unless we all want to be dead men walking or dead women walking, we need to find a way to get an off ramp from this horrible policy decisions being made by the president.

This isn’t just a social media exchange between a former Russian president and the current American president. This is a statement of the hazards that we collectively face when we talk about U.S.-Russian relations today. We have to change the tenor. We have to change the content of the dialogues.

We have to change the direction so that the United States is no longer talking about the strategic defeat of Russia, but finding a way to strategically coexist with Russia, peaceful cohabitation of the world we live in. This is going to require an entirely new lexicon, one that does include concepts of dead economies, failed presidents, dead men walking,

or the dead hand. That’s my rant. Next time a thought crosses my mind, I’ll be sure to let you know. Thanks.

oooooo

@tobararbulu # mmt@tobararbulu

Ritter’s Rant 039: Elections Matter

(https://scottritter.substack.com/p/ritters-rant-039-elections-matter?r=1vhv3f)

Aug 01, 2025

The Biden Department of Justice ordered the FBI to raid my home. They did so, seizing my personal property. Today, under the Trump Department of Justice, the FBI began returning this material.

Transkripzioa:

Hello, welcome to this edition of Ritter’s Rant. Today we’ll be exploring the reason why elections matter. Now, elections are political events, and politics is whatever a citizen wants politics to be. So elections matter to different people in different ways. Some people will participate in an election in the hopes that they better their economic situation.

Some people believe in certain policy options, right to life, free speech. There’s 340 million Americans, and I would imagine there’s 340 different reasons why people vote and why elections matter to these people. And sometimes it takes… a little bit of a reminder of why elections are important to you. As people who watch this video might know, um,

about a year ago, I was visited by the FBI and they came to my home, uh, a large number of them, um, heavily armed with a search warrant and they searched my home and they seized a number of electronics. Uh, they seized a whole bunch of documents and, uh, they took them away. Um,

It later turned out that the FBI was acting upon, um, directions of the department of justice that had, uh, considered me to be a Russian agent, an agent of the Russian government who was working with the Russian government to somehow, um, impact the 2024 presidential elections. In short, I was deemed to be a threat against American democracy.

Uh, the election took place, uh, One candidate, Donald Trump, won. The other candidate, Kamala Harris, who was the vice president of Joe Biden, the president who had directed the FBI through the Department of Justice to enter my home, they lost. Elections matter. Today I was visited by the FBI again.

Not an army of them, just two FBI agents, and they had a box. In the box were two iPads that they had seized a year ago, several flash drives, an SD card, a telephone, not mine, my father-in-law’s. But they returned them. They said they had been reviewed and there’s nothing there. They’re returning them.

And they indicated that there was an active process underway to complete the review of everything else that they had seized. But, you know, this is a good sign. I’m pleased by this. But it was something one of the FBI agents said sort of in a side conversation.

He said, as you know, there was an election and our priorities have changed. Elections matter. You see, had Kamala Harris won the 2024 presidential election, the Department of Justice would still view me as a Russian agent. I wouldn’t have gotten anything back. They would be working to fabricate a case, and we know that this is the case.

We know what the FBI did under Joe Biden. We know what they did under Barack Obama. The truth is coming out about how they fabricated a case of collusion against then candidate Donald Trump, now president Donald Trump. But now there was an election.

Apparently, there’s a new team in charge at the Department of Justice and at the FBI. And the instructions that were given by the former leadership, apparently… no longer apply. This doesn’t mean that the FBI is not going to do their job. The two agents that came to my house are professionals.

And when they seize the material, they can’t just make it go away. They have to review it. They have to make sure that whatever it is they were looking for isn’t there anymore, but elections matter. You see, now their instructions are, if there’s nothing there, return it, get it over with. Let’s close this chapter.

That’s not done yet. They have a job to do. Um, They claim there was classified material on some of the documents they had and on some of the hard drives they had. I explained to them how that could not be the case. We have a difference of opinion here, but they have to complete their review.

But as things stand, elections matter. There’s a new leadership in Washington, D.C., and they’ve basically said that the old instructions of harassing American citizens for their free speech are no longer viable or no longer valid. that the FBI now has to pursue legitimate criminal activity. And nothing that took place in my home was criminal activity.

They have a job to do, and they’re doing their job. And today was proof positive. I was visited by two FBI agents. They began the process of returning the items that they had seized from me about a year ago. Elections matter. They matter for everybody in different ways. For me, it’s about restoring, I guess, my public reputation.

You see, when the FBI came to my home last year, wild speculation about why they came, what was going on, where there’s smoke, there’s fire. It wasn’t no smoke, guys. We know that this was a fabricated case put down by a politicized Department of Justice, and the FBI was executing the orders they had been given. Elections matter.

New bosses, new instructions, new outcomes. I can’t say that I’m unhappy. This is a pleasant turn of events. There’s still work to be done. But for the first time in a long time, I’m going to carry out a public conversation where I don’t condemn the FBI. These are two professionals that showed up doing their job.

And they did the right thing. They began the process of returning my property to me. And I look forward to them continuing this process down the road. anyways that’s my rant for today next time a thought crosses my mind i’ll be sure to let you know

oooooo

Ritter’s Rant 040: Durak (Idiot)

(https://scottritter.substack.com/p/ritters-rant-040-durak-idiot?r=1vhv3f)

Aug 01, 2025

An American President deploys nuclear armed submarines in response to an X post by a former Russian President. That makes him a Durak (Idiot)

Transkripzioa:

Hello and welcome to this special edition of Ritter’s Rant. I normally like to do one a day, but today something so, I guess, remarkable has happened that it warrants a second rant. And when I say remarkable, I don’t mean in a good way. I mean in a bad way.

So the term that we’ll be exploring today is durak. Now, That’s a Russian word. Let me introduce it to you. Durak, you don’t want to call people. The fact is, my wife, if she’s been calling people Durak, she gets very mad. It means idiot. It’s not a nice word, and it doesn’t mean idiot in a good way.

It means idiot in the worst possible way. So why am I using the term Durak, and why have I decided to use the Russian variant of the word? Because I imagine that this is a… What about 150 million Russians are saying right now about President Donald J. Trump, the American president, Durak, Durak, in the worst possible way.

Why would they be calling the American president a Durak? Because according to Donald Trump, he has just ordered two Ohio class submarines, each one armed with a bunch of Trident submarine launch ballistic missiles on top of which are loaded. pretty powerful thermonuclear warheads. He’s ordered two Trident-carrying Ohio-class submarines into the appropriate areas. That means to strike Russia.

Why? Because of what former Russian president and deputy head of the National Security Council, Dmitry Medvedev, tweeted out yesterday in response to some lunacy by Donald Trump. about the dead hand. I did a rant about it and discussed it. It’s serious. But people should understand that the dead hand is not an offensive nuclear capability.

The dead hand happens when, oh, let’s see, the United States deploys Ohio-class submarines carrying Trident nuclear missiles to the appropriate areas off the Russian coast and launched a preemptive strike against Russia to decapitate the Russian leadership. And then the deadhead kicks in, firing off code carrying missiles that sends all the Russian surviving nuclear


arsenal towards the United States. So Donald Trump’s mad that Dmitry Medvedev dare say hey look we have a dead hand to deal with any preemptive attack by the united states so what does he do deploy the very systems that would carry out a preemptive attack duroc duroc duroc the man is an idiot a certifiable idiot now

before we start to panic too much though just to reinforce the point that this man is truly a certified duroc Let me remind the president of the United States, maybe he doesn’t know this already, so I’ll just remind him. You already have four frickin’ Ohio-class submarines on station as we speak. At any given moment,

there are at least four, sometimes six, Ohio-class submarines deployed in the quote-unquote appropriate areas as a deterrence. against other nuclear-armed nations like China, Russia, North Korea. They’re already there, Mr. President. They’re already on station. You don’t have to worry about Dmitry Medvedev’s words. You don’t need to overreact, you turak.

You have the capability out there, just like the Russians do. That’s why we live in a dangerous world, Mr. President. I mean, this is just kind of foolish stuff. First of all, is he deploying two additional submarines? And when he says appropriate areas, are these the standard patrol areas that they have in the Atlantic and the Pacific?

Or has he sent them to the forward deployed ones? You know, the ones that the Russians get mad. Now, that’s his prerogative as president. But hey, Durak. You’re telling the Russians that you’re sending two additional Ohio-class submarines to the appropriate areas. Now imagine if you’re the Ohio-class submarine captain and you’ve just been told to

deploy to a forward area. Very dangerous deployment because the Russians are going to have all their hunter-killer submarines out there looking for you. Thank you, Mr. President, for telling the Russians that you’re sending us forward to carry out a possible preemptive nuclear strike against Russia. Durak! Not only is it destabilizing, not only is it provocative,

it’s suicidal for the poor American submariners that are out there. If they are in fact deploying to a non-conventional area, the Russians are going to be looking for them. You don’t want this, Mr. President. You don’t want to tell the Russians that you’re sending your Ohio-class submarines to the appropriate areas,

because all you’ve told the Russians to do is hunt them down and have a submarine standing off the ass end of it to kill it in case it ever tries to launch a preemptive Trident missile attack against Russia. Durak. Literally, this is just foolish stuff. This is nonsense. I don’t know how the Russians are going to respond.

Obviously, the appropriate thing to do is to find out what the hell the president’s talking about. Is this an escalation or is the president just having been told, oh, Mr. President, we already have four submarines out there. Well, make sure at least two of them are ready to go because he’s a Durak.

He doesn’t know that all four are ready to go. I don’t know what he’s doing. Has he ordered these submarines to put on the Russian strike package? You know, because there was a time when we sort of had our submarines out there and we didn’t have the targets programmed in. Does he reprogram the targets?

Is he sending the targets as we speak using super secret communication methods with the submarines? I don’t know. Why would he say this? Let me remind the president of something he said just a few days ago. I think it was July 29th in response to a question from a task correspondent.

That means a Russian correspondent about the status of the New START treaty. the last remaining arms control treaty between the United States and Russia. The president said that’s a treaty we don’t want to allow to expire. No shit, Sherlock. Why don’t you want it to expire? Because you’ll have, I don’t know, a nuclear arms race? Destabilization?

So if you have enough brain matter up there to understand that the expiration of the last remaining arms control treaty is a bad thing, why are you responding to the harmless statements of Dmitry Medvedev, who has a history of putting out provocative posts on his ex-platform, just like you do, Mr. President? He’s sort of your Russian doppelganger.

You know, you both like to go out there and tweak the other people using social media. But here what you’ve done is you’ve taken harmless poking and you’ve turned it into Armageddon-like reality. Did you really order two Ohio-class submarines? to be deployed to the appropriate areas in response to a statement made by a former Russian president?

How do you think the current Russian president should respond to this, Mr. President? Should he send two Russian submarines to the appropriate areas in response to your posting? When will it stop? Will you then send American bombers to the appropriate areas? Will you put the Minuteman missile on a high alert to target the appropriate regions in Russia?

How do you think they’ll respond to that? Could their response be to put their nuclear forces on a higher alert, targeting the appropriate areas here in the United States? And when you say appropriate areas, that means what? You’re going to hit them with nuclear weapons. You’re threatening a nuclear response against Russia. How does Russia respond to that?

Guys, this is stupid. Durak. Duraki. Duraki. multiple durocs everybody involved in this needs to take a chill pill and calm down we aren’t supposed to be heading in this direction and let me also remind the president that you’re deploying these nuclear submarines in a moment when you’re

getting ready to send your special envoy steve whitkoff to russia to meet with the russians about ukraine where you’ve put on this arbitrary deadline that expires august 8th uh Could your deployment of nuclear submarines have anything to do with the hardening of the posture that you have towards Russia?

Are you indeed threatening Vladimir Putin and the Russian leadership if they don’t bend the knee to your will? Durak, the Russians will never bend the knee. Why are we going through this? I guess this is a good time, as good a time as any, to remind everybody of my Project 38.

Now, a lot of people might have thought about Project 38 and said, well, that’s nice. It’s just a cute little project. Scott Ritter’s running around pretending he’s trying to save the world. Project 38 is about this very freaking situation. It derived from the 38 minutes of terror felt by the citizen. Why?

When a missile was declared to be heading in their direction. Now, we can basically postulate this missile heading in the direction to anybody in the United States and Russia right now. All of you should be concerned about it because the idiot president of the United States, a Durak,

has deployed two missile carrying submarines because a former president of Russia got under his skin about a statement made about a theoretical Russian defensive capability. What happens if these missiles are told to fly? If that happens, ladies and gentlemen, it’s all over. The world ends. There’s no coming back from it.

If any of those missiles are launched from the Ohio class submarine, Medvedev’s dead hand becomes a reality. The Russian perimeter system kicks in and the totality of Russia’s nuclear arsenal lands on American targets. And there ain’t no calling these missiles back. So if we survive this momentary madness, everybody in America should be asking themselves,

how the hell do we stop those missiles from firing? And the answer is Project 38 or something like it. If somebody else out there has a better idea, I’m ready to hear it. I haven’t heard a better idea yet. So Project 38 is about what would you do to stop those missiles from firing if you

could go back in time six months? And what you need to do is promote arms control, nuclear disarmament. That very treaty, New Star Treaty that Donald Trump said can’t be allowed to expire, can’t be allowed to expire. And so we need to move forward.

We need to get into the ear of the president and remind him of what he said, help reinforce that notion. And that’s what Project 38 is about. It’s putting together a team B of experts who will seek an audience with the president or his senior leadership to promote the idea of extending new start, of promoting arms control.

The Russians were just asked about this the other day. A deputy foreign minister said, there is no movement on this. There’s no discussions. There’s nothing. you can’t extend a treaty if there’s no movement on it how do we begin to get this

movement what is necessary to do this how do we get the russians to say we’re ready to do this how do we get the united states to say we’re ready to do this and how do we make them come together i’m not here to you know serve as a diplomat that’s not

my job i’m not a negotiator i’m just a world citizen an american citizen who’s pretty damn concerned about the fact that the president united states just ordered two nuclear-armed submarines off the coast of russia the appropriate areas in response to a tweet put out by a former Russian president. This is insanity. Insanity.

The president wants to be somebody who is awarded the Nobel Peace Prize. not if he’s a durak, not if he’s an idiot, not if he’s promoting nuclear war. Mr. President, if you want somebody to give you this Nobel Peace Prize, if you want to earn this Nobel Peace Prize, then stop promoting nuclear war.

Stop working to prevent nuclear war. Start doing things like seeking the extension of the New START Treaty. And if you’re an American citizen out there and you want to help push the president in the right direction, Go to my Substack page, go to the donations, and send a donation to help promote Project 38. It’s alive, it’s well,

it’s living, we’re moving forward, and there’s more need for this project now than ever before. Because we got a Durak in the White House sending nuclear-armed submarines to the appropriate areas that threaten the Russian government because a former president put out a tweet that made little Donald Trump unhappy. Anyways, that was my rant.

Next time a thought crosses my mind, if we’re still alive, I’ll be more happy to share it with you.

oooooo

Ritter’s Rant 041: Hope

(https://scottritter.substack.com/p/ritters-rant-041-hope?r=1vhv3f)

Aug 07, 2025

Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin are talking about a face-t-face meeting, perhaps as early as next week. Last week we were talking about the threat of nuclear war. Today we speak of the hope for peace.

Transkripzioa:

Hello and welcome to this edition of Ritter’s Rant. Uh, the word and concept that I’ll, uh, delve in today is, is hope. Um, and what gives me hope is the surprising outcome of the meeting that took place yesterday, um, between Steve Witkoff, Donald Trump’s special envoy, uh, to Russia. And, um, Russian President Vladimir Putin. You know,

even 12 hours before this meeting took place, the speculation was that Woodcoff would not be traveling to Moscow. Basically, you know, the Russian rejection of Donald Trump’s bullying had made such a trip moot. There was no reason for it to take place because the answer was clear.

And yet, as if Vladimir Putin was monitoring the situation and decided to throw a curveball, the Russian president suddenly gave a press conference where he said, look, if you want a ceasefire, and let’s just be clear, Donald Trump is desperate for a ceasefire in Ukraine,

not for all the reasons that he articulates about the dead and the suffering and this and that. It’s because this would be a feather in the cap of his effort to get the Nobel Peace Prize. This is what Donald Trump wants more than anything else in the world.

But he’s not going to get it without getting a ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine. And the Russian president knows this. And so he basically said, if you want a ceasefire, it’s really easy. You just have to get the Ukrainians to leave the totality of the territory of Kherson, Zaporizhia, Donetsk, and Lugansk,

and to agree that they will not be part of NATO. The moment this is done, the moment this is done, you have your ceasefire. Now, this is a massive departure from the Russian position prior to the Russian president speaking. Prior to this, as was noted in three separate Istanbul meetings between the Russian negotiation

teams and Ukrainian negotiation teams, The Russians would only consider a ceasefire if the root causes of the conflict were identified and resolved. So it wasn’t just about leaving the four territories that Russia assumed control of constitutionally back in the fall of 2022. It’s not just NATO. We’re talking about

demilitarization the reduction of the ukrainian armed forces from you know 700 000 today to a force of around 50 000 about denazification literally the purging of the banderist ideology from ukrainian politics and ukrainian society um a new election that the the russians had said that it’s impossible to talk about a deal with uh You know,

a government headed by a president, Vladimir Zelensky, who has no legitimacy constitutionally. And there were other, you know, commitments there, buffer zones, et cetera. Now, these haven’t gone away. I’ve been watching, you know, the naysayers and the critics. Oh, Vladimir Putin caved in. Oh, he gave up everything. No, no. All these conditions remain.


The only difference now is that they will be dealt with in a post ceasefire negotiation. Um, it doesn’t mean that Russia has forgotten this, that Russia is going to drop the ball. They won’t. These demands are all there and there are things that have to be worked through. But again, here’s the genius of the Russian president,

because if he can get this, the United States to commit to making this ceasefire reality, putting pressure on the Ukrainians, putting pressure on Europe and NATO, um, Trump will have won a great victory, political victory for himself, and he will immediately delegate conflict termination to others. This won’t be the front burner issue anymore.

He will have won his Peace Prize, and then he will make sure that nobody messes with his Peace Prize. So the Russians will then just turn to people and say, have to yield to our demands our demands are non-negotiable and the ukrainians and their european masters won’t have daddy to look up to because daddy already walked

away daddy got what daddy wanted um and without u.s backing There’s really nothing more that they can do. They can threaten to return to war. But I have a feeling, too, that the Russians know what they’re doing here as well. That once this ceasefire takes place and the Ukrainian people have a chance to

pause and understand the reality of what has happened to them because of this war, they won’t allow their president to take them back down that path. So I think that, you know, I am hopeful. that we are on a road towards the end of this conflict.

This isn’t just about ending the conflict between the Russians and the Ukrainians. This is about ending a proxy war between Russia and the United States. I mean, Marco Rubio, the Secretary of State, has called it this. I’m not putting words in anybody’s mouth. He has said that the Ukrainian conflict is a proxy war between the United States

and Russia with Ukraine as the proxy. This is about ending… a state of near open hostility between nato and europe and russia allowing europe now to liberate itself from the chains of conflict that it has wrapped itself in i mean europe today is talking about the possibility of war with russia because of the ukraine conflict

Nate was talking about the need to enlarge and be able to threaten Russia, including the exclave of Kaliningrad because of Ukraine. But if you could take the Ukraine conflict off, and if from the Ukraine conflict there’s a potential to redefine what a European security framework would look like that’s acceptable to all parties,

I think some of the impetus towards NATO to be aggressive towards Russia will be eliminated. And then the fiscal irresponsibility of trying to build a military in a time of peace will become obvious to the citizens of nations who are being asked to give up their pensions, give up their vacations,

give up the social safety nets that they’ve enjoyed for decades. i think that uh you’re going to see europe going through its own transformation away from conflict towards peace and for the united states you know there’s a reason why uh kirill dimitriev is um the the guy who is um you know interfacing

with steve whitkoff and donald trump and that’s because he’s a businessman and he understands the potential of the economic benefits that can accrue if this conflict can be brought to an end. And that will be to the benefit of the United States and Russia. I think, start creating an atmosphere of reality.

Peace is far more realistic than war. War brings about fantasy, visions of grandeur, the artificiality of dominance and things of this nature. Peace is about coexistence, compromise. And if you can eliminate the Ukrainian conflict and get the U.S.-Russian relationship now defined by parameters premised in peace, You know, the hostility that Donald Trump has, for instance, to BRICS,

the hostility he has to, you know, China, China, Chinese economy. This hostility can be, I think, reduced, softened. Is this going to happen? Probably not. I mean, you know, Donald Trump is his own worst enemy. Already we see Secretary of State Marco Rubio downplaying, you know, Steve Witkoff’s visit, trying to create obstacles about, you know,

Ukrainian and other parties. I think he means Europe’s potential, you know, opposition to this. And Donald Trump himself can say one thing one day, but say something completely different the other day. You know, I think that, you know, the odds are against, you know, getting this this wonderful utopian outcome. But this time last week,

we were talking about Ohio class submarines being moved up to the Russian border. Earlier this week, we were talking about the Russians lifting their self-imposed moratorium on the deployment of intermediate-range missiles, the deployment of the Arashnik missiles, the deployment of B61-12 nuclear bombs to Great Britain. We were talking about the possibility, the real possibility of nuclear war.

We ain’t talking about that, right? about peace. We’re talking about the possibility of a meeting between President Donald Trump of the United States and President Vladimir Putin of Russia. And the United Arab Emirates, I mean, I don’t think it’s a coincidence that you have a senior official from the Emirati government in Moscow as we speak.

And I think there’s open talk about the United Arab Emirates serving as the host for a potential meeting that could take place as soon as next week. And if Trump and Putin can actually sit down and meet each other face to face, the sky’s the limit. probably good.

You know, President Trump historically has not shown an ability to stand up to Vladimir Putin. Let’s forget about his made up conversation about how he told Putin that he would bomb the bovine excrement out of Moscow, etc. We know that when they did meet face to face in Helsinki, that Vladimir Putin emerged dominant in that meeting.

One only has to look at the body language of the two leaders as they emerge from their one-on-one meeting to see that Putin was very confident and Donald Trump was less confident. Now, I’m hopeful that out of this meeting, Donald Trump will emerge confident because I’m hopeful of a positive outcome. I’m hopeful.

Hope doesn’t mean it’s going to happen, but it does mean that you want it to happen. I do want peace more than I want a continuation of this conflict. Anyways, that’s my rant. Next time a thought crosses my mind, I’ll be sure to let you know.

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@tobararbulu # mmt@tobararbulu

Return to Russia

Last year the US government tried to silence me from speaking out about Russia by seizing my passport and criminalizing my speech. Today I have passport in hand and have returned to Russia.

Aug 09, 2025

The Author visiting Votkinsk, May 2023

On June 3, 2024, I was preparing to board a plane at New York City’s JFK airport that would take me t

o St. Petersburg, Russia, where I was scheduled to speak at the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum. From there I was going to embark on a 40-day tour of Russia, engaging in the vital work of citizen diplomacy—waging peace—that I had undertaken since my initial visit to Russia, back in April-May 2023.

It was not to be.

Three armed Customs and Border Patrol agents pulled me aside and, without further explanation, seized my passport.

No charges were made, no allegations of wrongdoing offered.

They simply seized the same passport that I had used for my two previous trips to Russia.

They didn’t even provide a receipt.

It was clear my visiting Russia was deemed a threat by the United States government—at that time headed by the administration of President Joe Biden.

Two months later, scores of armed FBI agents showed up at my home, carrying a search warrant that empowered them to seize my personal electronics.

No charges were made.

But this time the FBI accused me or serving as an agent of the Russian government.

They accused me of taking direction from the Russian Ambassador, Anatoly Antonov.

And they accused me of taking direction from RT, a Russian media company.

The FBI executed at least two other search warrants during this time, one against Dmitri Simes, a well-known American journalist of Russian origin, and an unnamed RT producer based in Miami.

Together, these three FBI raids were the public face of a campaign being waged by the Department of Justice to counter what it claimed to be a massive effort undertaken by the Russian government to manipulate the 2024 Presidential election.

In short, I was being accused of undermining American democracy because of my work as a journalist.

My speech, protected under the US Constitution, was now deemed a threat to the national security of the United States.

And yet, no criminal charges were ever filed.

The Justice Department did convene a federal grand jury to investigate my relationship with the Russian government and RT.

But nothing ever came of it.

Because, frankly speaking, nothing ever could.

I had committed no crime.

I was a victim of the weaponization of law enforcement and the US intelligence community by the US government, operating at the behest of the Ukrainian government, which had labeled me an “information terrorist” and subjected me to a “black list” which sought to ban my presence on social media platforms (I was kicked off of YouTube, Twitter (X) and Facebook as a result), as well as a “hit list” (the infamous Myrotvorets list) that targeted me for death (Daria Dugina and Maxim Tatarsky, two well-known Russian journalists, were victims of this list, murdered by the Ukrainian intelligence service which manages it.)

In November 2024, the election I was accused of interfering in on behalf of the Russian government voted out the Biden administration (Kamala Harris, Biden’s Vice President, was the candidate for the Democrats), and voted in Donald Trump, who had previously served as President from 2017-2021.

Elections have consequences.

Earlier this month, I was re-visited by the FBI. This time they came to begin the process of returning the property they had seized a year ago. They acknowledged that, because of the election, their priorities had been changed.

Trying to silence the free speech of a government critic was no longer on the agenda.

And last month, after being given the silent treatment by the US government about the fate of my passport, I simply reapplied, listing my passport as having been “stolen”, and naming the US government as the perpetrator.

A new passport was immediately issued.

And now I am in Russia, completing a journey that had begun back in June 2024, but cut short by government intervention.

I am in Russia as a guest of the National Unity Club, an organization which promotes the strengthening of global peace, the maintenance of friendship and mutually respectful relations between peoples while seeking a respectful position of the world towards Russia, its history and its role in key events. The National Unity Club has as part of its mission the creation of platforms for cultural and educational exchange which promote the understanding of the historical, scientific and humanitarian achievements of Russia.

My visit fits well with the mission of the National Unity Club, and I am deeply grateful that they were willing to host and facilitate my visit and work.

This is the visit the US government did not want me to make.

And here I am.

Truth be told, a large part of my wanting to make this trip was to prove a point, to demonstrate to the US government that the tactics of intimidation would never work, especially when it came to limiting the free speech of law-abiding American citizens such as myself.

But there is a larger purpose as well.

We live in a time where the dysfunctional nature of US-Russian relations has place both nations, and indeed the entire world, at mortal risk.

The United States has implemented a proxy war with Russia in Ukraine that has led to further deterioration of relations, to the point that the US has deployed nuclear bombs to the United Kingdom, France and the UK have unified their nuclear posture to counter perceived Russian threats, and President Trump has ordered nuclear armed submarines closer to Russia’s shore. Russia has responded by re-writing its nuclear doctrine, lowering the threshold for the potential use of nuclear weapons, providing Belarus with its own nuclear deterrence capabilities, and placing a new intermediate range missile, the Oreshnik, into serial production.

The last remaining arms control vehicle that limits the size of the US and Russian strategic nuclear arsenals, the New START treaty, expires in February 2026.

And yet there is no meaningful dialogue taking place today between the US and Russia to reduce the threat of nuclear war.

Instead, we are confronted with an escalation of tensions brought on by the threats and actions of the United States, and the war-like posturing of NATO and Europe, all because Russia refuses to submit to the will of the collective west and terminate the conflict with Ukraine on terms it finds unacceptable.

The average observer might ask how my visit to Russia could impact the situation I have just spelled out. To answer this, I’m going to take you back in time, to the years following the collapse of the Soviet Union.

Back in March of 1994, E. Wayne Merry, the head of the political-internal section of the US Embassy in Moscow, authored an unsolicited analysis of American policy toward Russia in the years following the collapse of the Soviet Union. The recipient was the Secretary of State, whom Merry believed was getting bad advice and inaccurate reporting from official channels. Merry took advantage of what was known as the “dissent channel” to publish a cable containing an unvarnished assessment about the absolute failure of US policy in Russia, and what the consequences of this failure could be.

Titled “Whose Russia is it Anyway? Toward a Policy of Benign Respect”, Merry slammed the US prioritization of emphasizing market reforms over the building of democratic institutions and the rule of law as an “especially virulent case of Washington institutions trying to ram a foreign square peg into an American round hole,” warning that this policy direction ran the risk of exhausting “an already diminishing reservoir of goodwill toward America, assist anti-democratic forces, and help create an adversarial relationship between Russia and the West.”

Merry criticized the quality of the experts and advisers the US was dispatching to Russia in the name of implementing reform, noting that “very few of the multitudes of American ‘advisors’ in Russia since the Bolshevik demise [i.e., the fall of the Soviet Union] acquainted themselves with even the most basic facts of the country whose destiny they proposed to shape… Even the most progressive and sympathetic of Russian officials have lost patience with the endless procession of what they call ‘assistance tourists’ who rarely bother to ask their hosts for an appraisal of Russian needs.”

Not every American was useless, however. Merry observed that “serious” visitors to Russia—“those interested in long-term relations and who can listen as well as speak”—were enjoying success. Merry noted that American businessmen who fell into this “serious” category were actually the most effective presence the United States had in Russia.

It has been more than forty years since Merry wrote what is today referred to as “the new ‘Long Telegram’—a reference to George Kennan’s famous missive, written in 1946, which is widely seen as the starting point for the policy of containment of the Soviet Union which triggered the Cold War. The failure of what passed for American policy in Russia during the 1990’s is now historical fact. And since that time, successive administrations have fumbled their way through the same policy trap that confounded the American “assistance tourists” forty years ago—the inability, due to their ignorance of all things Russia—to comprehend that policy designed in Washington, DC which was intended to appease American sensibilities had no chance of success in a Russia defined by Russian realities. In short, for more than four decades Washington institutions have been guilty of, as Merry so eloquently observed, “trying to ram a foreign square peg into an American round hole.”

Moreover, since successive generations of what passes for Russian “experts” within these same institutions have been confronted with the fruit of their ineffectual labor, the very “adversarial relationship” predicted by Merry, having become reality, produced new “experts” whose focus was no longer “fixing” Russia, but rather “containing” and “defeating” a Russia which refused to conform to American expectations. This new generation of “experts” are even more ignorant of the Russian reality than their predecessors of forty years past, instead focusing all of their attention on the figure of one man—Russian President Vladimir Putin—whom they portray in simplistic, cartoonish fashion, characterizing his recalcitrance over surrendering Russian sovereignty to a cabal of western overlords as “authoritative dictatorship”, failing to understand that the root cause of Russia’s reticence toward the West is founded in the American policies of the 1990’s, which undermined Russia’s efforts at building so-called “democratic institutions.” Even today, those who lament this failure ignore the fact that “democratic institutions” that are built on the notion of American Jeffersonian democracy can never succeed in Russia—that Russian democracy can only exist in the context of the Russian reality.

There is a vacuum of genuine Russian expertise in the United States today. Moreover, the ongoing Russophobic posture on the part of American society—the government, academia, the media, Hollywood, etc.—has toward all things Russia means that the average American citizen faces a near impossible task when it comes to deciphering the Russian reality for his or herself. The stringent sanctions that have been imposed on Russia are not just a tool to punish Russia but also to sustain Russophobia in the United States. The American businessman whom Merry rightfully recognized as possessing the appropriate skill set when it came to successfully interacting with Russians inside Russia—that unique trait of being able to “listen as well as speak”—are precluded by law from engaging with Russia.

This leaves the average American citizen as the last remaining hope of instilling a modicum on common sense when it comes to relations between the United States and Russia. This isn’t simply about restoring a sense of decorum in the interaction between our two nations, but rather a national security imperative. The Russophobic poison that has infected the brains of Americans manifests itself in failed policy. This failure, however, extends beyond dysfunctional trade and cultural isolation, and into actual conflict—hybrid, proxy, conventional and nuclear. This failure could very well trigger the means of our collective extinction.

Failure is not an option.

So here I am, back in Russia.

One American citizen fighting an uphill battle against the forces of ignorance, trying to find an antidote to Russophobia so that the American people can think more clearly about US-Russian relations, and demand better policy options from those we elect to higher office.

Thanks to the efforts of the National Unity Club, I will be provided the opportunity to interact with Russians from all walks of life. I will engage in discussions, dialogue, perhaps even debate.

But most importantly, I will listen to what they have to say.

About Russia.

About America.

About the danger of war.

About the prospects for peace.

Bad policy is generated from ignorance.

Ignorance fuels fear.

And politicians exploit fear to promulgate policies that otherwise would not pass muster with a discerning public.

By listening, I will learn.

I will empower myself with knowledge and information about the Russian reality.

I will no longer be ignorant about Russia.

I will no longer fear Russia.

Last year the US government stopped me from travelling to Russia.

They sought to criminalize my rights of free speech to silence my voice when speaking to my fellow Americans about Russia.

And now I am back in Russia.

I will neither be silent nor silenced.

And I invite you to join me on this wonderful journey of discovery and enlightenment.

Read about the danger of nuclear war and the importance of arms control in my latest book, Highway to Hell (https://www.claritypress.com/product/highway-to-hell-the-armageddon-chronicles-2015-2024/).

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